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Sweden vs France Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 69-84
24-20 14-18 16-17 15-29
Position#47
Record4-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game83.4
vs
France 🏆
Position#6
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game72.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 2· Avicii Arena
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sweden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
France winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSweden
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#19
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 71
H01/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
64avg 71
A03/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
79-85
79
85
-6
77avg 71
A06/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#49
L
80-97
80
97
-17
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#44
L
83-94
83
94
-11
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Estonia
#58
L
77-88
77
88
-11
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Estonia
#58
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
A01/03
World Cup
Czech Republic
#49
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H03/07
World Cup
Slovenia
#44
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
A06/07
World Cup
Finland
#32
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
A27/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
19-22
31-24
16-23
21-14
18-19
14-21
18-20
23-20
19-17
13-26
24-22
22-27
24-20
17-27
17-23
16-31
26-18
22-24
19-21
22-22
14-24
22-11
19-31
23-22
15-16
13-17
28-14
34-16
27-19
18-24
8-17
30-24
20-21
19-13
19-21
23-20
21-21
20-20
22-20
164.1Avg total
81.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.983.4166.3-0.657%
Season at home (3)82.386.0168.3-3.733%
Season away (4)83.281.5164.8+1.875%
Last 10 (10)81.183.0164.1-1.940%
Last 5 (5)83.478.6162.0+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.281.5155.7-7.325%
vs Similar (9)83.384.7168.0-1.344%
vs Weaker (9)80.078.3158.3+1.756%
This opponent (France) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFrance
Date
Competition
Poland
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
73avg 75
H02/09
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
114-74
114
74
+40
114avg 75
H04/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
L
70-80
70
80
-10
55avg 75
H07/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#83
W
79-63
79
63
+16
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Finland
#32
L
76-83
76
83
-7
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
74-71
74
71
+3
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
98-79
98
79
+19
no box
H01/03
World Cup
Belgium
#83
W
80-72
80
72
+8
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Finland
#32
W
98-69
98
69
+29
no box
H06/07
World Cup
Slovenia
#44
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
14-20
19-11
23-21
36-9
30-25
24-12
24-28
20-24
17-14
17-20
16-22
16-17
13-14
20-14
30-18
19-20
26-17
16-19
15-27
16-15
22-16
17-16
19-24
25-16
30-19
19-24
24-20
22-13
21-17
16-25
21-17
31-16
18-14
28-17
21-22
31-17
23-18
19-15
19-17
159.8Avg total
86.4Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.372.0157.3+13.386%
Season at home (4)91.869.5161.2+22.2100%
Season away (3)76.775.3152.0+1.367%
Last 10 (10)86.473.4159.8+13.080%
Last 5 (5)88.471.6160.0+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.281.0155.2-6.850%
vs Similar (3)78.775.3154.0+3.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.370.1155.3+15.287%
This opponent (Sweden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +7.2+7.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +7.2+7.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
SwedenFrance
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SwedenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#19
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H01/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A03/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A06/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#49
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A28/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#44
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H01/12
World Cup
Estonia
#58
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H27/02
World Cup
Estonia
#58
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A01/03
World Cup
Czech Republic
#49
W
61-35
61
35
+26
H03/07
World Cup
Slovenia
#44
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A06/07
World Cup
Finland
#32
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A27/08
World Cup
84.3Avg total
43.2Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.180.4+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.839.579.3+0.431%-
Last 30 away (17)40.640.681.2+0.059%-
Last 10 (10)43.241.184.3+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.086.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.141.879.9-3.833%-
vs Similar (9)44.742.787.3+2.044%-
vs Weaker (9)38.835.274.0+3.667%-
This opponent (France) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FranceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H02/09
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
66-34
66
34
+32
H04/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H07/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#83
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H28/11
World Cup
Finland
#32
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A01/12
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A27/02
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H01/03
World Cup
Belgium
#83
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A03/07
World Cup
Finland
#32
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H06/07
World Cup
Slovenia
#44
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H27/08
World Cup
80.2Avg total
45.7Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.034.775.7+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.835.178.9+8.773%-
Last 30 away (15)38.134.372.4+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)45.734.580.2+11.270%-
Last 5 (5)47.832.280.0+15.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.238.876.0-1.550%-
vs Similar (3)40.337.778.0+2.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.733.675.3+8.170%-
This opponent (Sweden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Swedentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.1
49.9%
-36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.0
35.0%
-27.0
🏀 Free throws19.413.5
69.6%
-13.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Francetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

France: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.5
55.1%
-43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.28.7
28.8%
-26.1
🏀 Free throws19.915.1
75.9%
-15.1
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sweden
WWWWLLLLLL
France
WWWWWLWLWW
#47
League position
#6
-6.0
Net rating
+13.1
104.0
Offensive rating
114.7
109.9
Defensive rating
101.6
51.0%
Effective FG%
49.9%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
16.7%
Turnover %
14.7%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
38.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.0%
3-point %
28.8%
68.6%
Assist %
64.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Sweden   ■ France
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sweden wins
0
France wins
No previous meetings.
Swedenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/26AFinland86-81
06/07/26ASlovenia88-79
03/07/26HCzech Republic87-76
01/03/26AEstonia79-69
27/02/26HEstonia77-88
01/12/25HSlovenia83-94
28/11/25ACzech Republic80-97
06/09/25ATurkey79-85
03/09/25ALithuania71-74
01/09/25HMontenegro81-87
Francelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/26HSlovenia92-67
06/07/26HFinland98-69
03/07/26ABelgium80-72
01/03/26HHungary98-79
27/02/26AHungary74-71
01/12/25AFinland76-83
28/11/25HBelgium79-63
07/09/25HGeorgia70-80
04/09/25HIceland114-74
02/09/25HPoland83-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sweden
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game82.982.383.2
Allowed / game83.486.081.5
Point differential-0.6-3.7+1.8
Avg total166.3168.3164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
France
World Cup 2027
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game85.391.876.7
Allowed / game72.069.575.3
Point differential+13.3+22.2+1.3
Avg total157.3161.2152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada770100%101.479.6+21.9
4 Turkey770100%89.372.6+16.7
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 Ivory Coast87188%90.574.2+16.2
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Argentina76186%86.667.9+18.7
10 Lebanon76186%90.072.6+17.4
11 Brazil76186%93.178.0+15.1
12 France76186%85.372.0+13.3
13 Mexico54180%96.683.4+13.2
14 Dominican Republic54180%91.880.2+11.6
15 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
16 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
17 South Sudan86275%82.467.8+14.6
18 Senegal86275%85.070.5+14.5
19 Mali86275%82.875.6+7.1
20 Ukraine118373%81.974.7+7.2
21 Spain75271%87.974.6+13.3
22 Uruguay75271%85.073.1+11.9
23 Japan75271%86.475.4+11.0
24 Italy75271%85.777.0+8.7
25 Serbia75271%88.780.1+8.6
26 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
27 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
28 Angola85362%86.273.4+12.9
29 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
30 Tunisia85362%71.268.8+2.5
31 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
32 Portugal74357%82.976.9+6.0
33 China74357%83.980.9+3.0
34 Georgia74357%83.781.6+2.1
35 Qatar74357%76.775.6+1.1
36 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
37 Sweden74357%82.983.4-0.6
38 Finland74357%78.481.0-2.6
39 Montenegro74357%69.376.4-7.1
40 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
41 Hungary116555%81.376.6+4.6
42 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
43 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
44 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
45 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
46 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
47 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
48 Greece73443%72.770.0+2.7
49 Bosnia & Herzegovina73443%78.977.0+1.9
50 Estonia73443%82.381.1+1.1
51 Lithuania73443%87.086.3+0.7
52 Latvia73443%83.182.9+0.3
53 Bahamas73443%92.393.6-1.3
54 Saudi Arabia73443%77.078.9-1.9
55 Slovenia73443%82.984.7-1.9
56 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
57 South Korea73443%77.480.1-2.7
58 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
59 Iceland73443%82.491.4-9.0
60 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
61 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
62 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
63 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
64 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
65 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
66 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
67 Israel72529%80.683.3-2.7
68 Puerto Rico72529%87.491.7-4.3
69 Panama72529%74.487.3-12.9
70 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sweden2414161569
France2018172984
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