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Sweden vs Germany Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 73-72
26-18 11-19 18-19 18-16
Position#26
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game82.5
Sweden 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record1-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game64.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· Hovet
Other2023
Meetings · Sweden v Germany
22 Nov 2024
SWED73
GERM72
25 Aug 2022
SWED50
GERM67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sweden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Germany winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSweden
Date
Competition
Finland
#22
L
69-85
69
85
-16
no box
A30/06
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
81-84
81
84
-3
no box
H03/07
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
50-67
50
67
-17
no box
H25/08
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
A28/08
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
71-68
71
68
+3
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
no box
A24/02
World Cup
Estonia
#55
L
71-72
71
72
-1
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Bulgaria
#13
W
84-70
84
70
+14
77avg 66
H22/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
70-95
70
95
-25
54avg 66
A25/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
17-24
8-26
15-16
17-22
24-19
20-29
20-14
9-25
20-21
13-8
8-13
24-23
28-15
18-22
25-23
27-13
12-24
20-24
28-21
17-16
20-24
16-8
18-20
19-21
12-19
14-17
21-16
16-17
14-11
14-15
27-29
29-22
21-21
12-12
22-15
24-27
13-23
20-25
13-20
152.3Avg total
74.4Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.082.5159.5-5.550%
Season at home (1)84.070.0154.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)70.095.0165.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)74.477.9152.3-3.540%
Last 5 (5)72.475.6148.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)66.975.5142.4-8.620%
vs Similar (6)81.382.7164.0-1.333%
vs Weaker (14)83.073.6156.6+9.464%
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGermany
Date
Competition
Canada
#1
L
112-113 OT
112
113
-1
no box
A13/08
DBB Supercup
Japan
#28
W
81-63
81
63
+18
no box
H25/08
World Cup
Australia
#5
W
85-82
85
82
+3
no box
A27/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
101-75
101
75
+26
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
100-73
100
73
+27
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
100-71
100
71
+29
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
H06/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H10/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#19
W
85-61
85
61
+24
79avg 73
H22/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
62-67
62
67
-5
53avg 73
A25/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
23-25
38-33
14-23
23-11
30-20
16-16
12-16
24-25
25-19
13-22
23-16
19-22
28-17
29-16
25-20
22-16
21-25
27-16
30-16
11-25
27-9
30-18
32-19
13-16
23-18
26-25
19-20
23-26
24-21
22-10
14-20
28-10
19-20
11-20
27-11
19-7
8-21
18-11
17-28
165.1Avg total
89.0Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.564.0137.5+9.550%
Season at home (1)85.061.0146.0+24.0100%
Season away (1)62.067.0129.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)89.076.1165.1+12.980%
Last 5 (5)82.271.0153.2+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.387.0164.3-9.733%
vs Similar (7)89.784.6174.3+5.186%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.573.0162.4+16.585%
This opponent (Sweden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
SwedenGermany
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SwedenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland
#22
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A30/06
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H03/07
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H25/08
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A28/08
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A11/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H14/11
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A24/02
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H27/02
World Cup
Bulgaria
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H22/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A25/02
EuroBasket
79.8Avg total
39.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.976.0+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.936.574.3+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)38.239.477.6-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.679.8-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.277.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.341.975.2-8.620%-
vs Similar (6)41.239.380.5+1.850%-
vs Weaker (14)40.134.574.6+5.671%-
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canada
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A13/08
DBB Supercup
Japan
#28
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H25/08
World Cup
Australia
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A27/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H06/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H10/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#19
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H22/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A25/02
EuroBasket
80.9Avg total
43.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.136.879.9+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.436.981.3+7.479%-
Last 30 away (11)41.036.577.5+4.573%-
Last 10 (10)43.637.380.9+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.673.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.742.786.3+1.067%-
vs Similar (7)43.143.686.7-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.033.576.5+9.590%-
This opponent (Sweden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Swedentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.0
48.6%
50.6%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.58.5
28.8%
32.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.516.5
67.3%
71.4%16.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Germanytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.817.5
56.9%
50.6%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.812.0
34.5%
32.5%36.0
🏀 Free throws25.519.5
76.5%
71.4%19.5
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/4 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sweden
LWLLWWWLLL
Germany
LWWWWWWWWL
#26
League position
#8
-7.8
Net rating
+20.4
107.1
Offensive rating
113.8
114.9
Defensive rating
93.4
46.1%
Effective FG%
54.2%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
12.7%
Turnover %
16.4%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
38.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.39
28.8%
3-point %
34.5%
54.9%
Assist %
67.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 113.8Defence114.9 · 93.4Shooting46.1% · 54.2%3-point %28.8% · 34.5%Ball care12.7% · 16.4%Off. rebounds32.9% · 38.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Sweden   ■ Germany
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sweden wins
2
Germany wins
DateGameScore
24/02/23Germany v Sweden73-66
25/08/22Sweden v Germany50-67
Swedenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24AMontenegro70-95
22/02/24HBulgaria84-70
27/02/23HEstonia71-72
24/02/23AGermany66-73
14/11/22HIsrael71-68
11/11/22AEstonia87-82
28/08/22AIsrael95-83
25/08/22HGermany50-67
03/07/22HSlovenia81-84
30/06/22AFinland69-85
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24ABulgaria62-67
22/02/24HMontenegro85-61
10/09/23HSerbia83-77
06/09/23HLatvia81-79
03/09/23HSlovenia100-71
01/09/23HGeorgia100-73
29/08/23HFinland101-75
27/08/23AAustralia85-82
25/08/23HJapan81-63
13/08/23ACanada112-113 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sweden
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.084.070.0
Allowed / game82.570.095.0
Point differential-5.5+14.0-25.0
Avg total159.5154.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Germany
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game73.585.062.0
Allowed / game64.061.067.0
Point differential+9.5+24.0-5.0
Avg total137.5146.0129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia330100%75.058.7+16.3
2 Italy220100%85.071.0+14.0
3 France330100%74.061.3+12.7
4 Slovenia220100%87.576.0+11.5
5 Latvia330100%72.766.3+6.3
6 Estonia330100%73.768.7+5.0
7 Croatia1311285%84.567.5+17.0
8 Portugal86275%82.971.6+11.2
9 Bulgaria129375%79.472.2+7.2
10 Lithuania32167%74.765.3+9.3
11 Czech Republic32167%83.376.0+7.3
12 North Macedonia96367%74.266.9+7.3
13 Belgium32167%68.362.7+5.7
14 Greece32167%72.769.7+3.0
15 Great Britain32167%84.385.3-1.0
16 Slovakia138562%73.169.3+3.8
17 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
18 Poland95456%78.474.8+3.7
19 Denmark179853%75.872.2+3.6
20 Germany21150%73.564.0+9.5
21 Iceland21150%72.570.5+2.0
22 Montenegro21150%78.077.5+0.5
23 Turkey21150%78.081.0-3.0
24 Israel21150%75.579.0-3.5
25 Sweden21150%77.082.5-5.5
26 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
27 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
28 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
29 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
30 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
31 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%79.776.3+3.3
32 Spain31233%68.069.7-1.7
33 Georgia31233%74.078.0-4.0
34 Finland31233%77.784.0-6.3
35 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
36 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
37 Cyprus151147%63.180.5-17.3
38 Ukraine2020%75.083.0-8.0
39 Netherlands3030%80.089.3-9.3
40 Hungary2020%63.576.5-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sweden2611181873
Germany1819191672
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