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Sydney W vs Townsville W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 77-99
25-24 22-31 13-24 17-20
Position#8
Record3-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#1
Record9-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game70.0
AustraliaNBL WRound 10· Quaycentre
Women2025-26
Meetings · Sydney W v Townsville W
20 Dec 2025
SYDN77
TOWN99
12 Feb 2025
SYDN50
TOWN83
29 Dec 2023
SYDN77
TOWN74
16 Dec 2023
SYDN48
TOWN70
29 Jan 2023
SYDN78
TOWN82
15 Jan 2023
SYDN77
TOWN92
06 Feb 2022
SYDN66
TOWN86
29 Nov 2020
SYDN59
TOWN73
12 Jan 2020
SYDN76
TOWN83
07 Nov 2019
SYDN82
TOWN73
30 Dec 2018
SYDN80
TOWN93
06 Jan 2018
SYDN65
TOWN68
29 Dec 2017
SYDN107
TOWN81
02 Dec 2017
SYDN85
TOWN88
25 Feb 2017
SYDN111
TOWN69
20 Nov 2016
SYDN78
TOWN72
22 Oct 2016
SYDN69
TOWN68
13 Dec 2015
SYDN78
TOWN79
14 Feb 2015
SYDN82
TOWN80
13 Dec 2014
SYDN86
TOWN93
07 Feb 2014
SYDN71
TOWN87
02 Feb 2013
SYDN91
TOWN98
22 Dec 2012
SYDN86
TOWN71
17 Dec 2011
SYDN79
TOWN85
15 Feb 2011
SYDN64
TOWN91
05 Dec 2010
SYDN59
TOWN57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Townsville W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sydney WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
67-73
67
73
-6
56avg 65
A26/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
75-88
75
88
-13
53avg 65
A02/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
73-64
73
64
+9
60avg 65
H06/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
71-88
71
88
-17
55avg 65
A09/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
L
56-96
56
96
-40
44avg 65
A15/11
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
62avg 65
A22/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
94avg 65
H26/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
64-80
64
80
-16
58avg 65
H28/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
60-93
60
93
-33
49avg 65
A06/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
75-94
75
94
-19
65avg 65
H14/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
20-18
16-14
9-25
18-23
18-17
21-30
18-18
17-14
14-12
21-12
21-26
14-24
19-22
10-28
28-14
10-34
16-21
9-25
21-16
21-28
20-23
16-19
19-23
15-19
24-24
22-19
20-19
13-26
19-16
24-13
8-25
15-31
13-26
17-23
15-13
20-13
16-30
17-27
22-24
157.7Avg total
71.4Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.985.1158.0-12.225%
Season at home (5)77.082.6159.6-5.640%
Season away (7)70.086.9156.9-16.914%
Last 10 (10)71.486.3157.7-14.920%
Last 5 (5)74.490.8165.2-16.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)73.086.4159.4-13.418%
vs Similar (10)77.682.1159.7-4.550%
vs Weaker (3)80.373.0153.3+7.367%
This opponent (Townsville W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Townsville WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
105-70
105
70
+35
107avg 82
A25/10
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
83-89
83
89
-6
74avg 82
A31/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 82
A04/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
86-61
86
61
+25
no box
A07/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
103-69
103
69
+34
107avg 82
H15/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
101-61
101
61
+40
102avg 82
H22/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
90-64
90
64
+26
88avg 82
A25/11
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
84-63
84
63
+21
78avg 82
H29/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
93-60
93
60
+33
89avg 82
H06/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
68avg 82
H14/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
26-12
21-25
30-12
14-19
24-17
14-21
31-32
26-17
18-26
18-7
17-20
25-15
20-12
17-24
24-10
26-22
21-21
31-15
25-11
26-18
31-13
23-13
21-17
26-19
21-17
22-9
21-19
23-18
16-16
18-15
27-14
31-15
26-13
23-17
13-15
26-25
23-24
19-25
13-23
160.9Avg total
90.5Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.070.0159.0+19.082%
Season at home (5)92.470.0162.4+22.480%
Season away (6)86.270.0156.2+16.283%
Last 10 (10)90.570.4160.9+20.180%
Last 5 (5)89.869.0158.8+20.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)78.279.1157.3-0.933%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.066.9155.0+21.195%
This opponent (Sydney W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +4.9+4.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +4.9+4.9
Sydney WTownsville W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A26/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A02/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H06/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A09/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
L
26-55
26
55
-29
A15/11
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A22/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H26/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H28/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
28-57
28
57
-29
A06/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/12
NBL W
78.1Avg total
34.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.743.682.3-5.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.541.381.8-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)36.945.982.8-9.127%-
Last 10 (10)34.443.778.1-9.320%-
Last 5 (5)35.247.282.4-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.547.584.9-10.018%-
vs Similar (10)38.739.578.2-0.850%-
vs Weaker (3)45.335.781.0+9.767%-
This opponent (Townsville W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Townsville WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A25/10
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A31/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A04/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A07/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H15/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H22/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A25/11
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H29/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
57-28
57
28
+29
H06/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H14/12
NBL W
83.7Avg total
47.7Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.935.480.3+9.587%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.835.180.9+10.781%-
Last 30 away (14)43.935.879.6+8.193%-
Last 10 (10)47.736.083.7+11.790%-
Last 5 (5)49.835.685.4+14.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)40.639.480.0+1.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.833.780.5+13.095%-
This opponent (Sydney W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydney Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney W: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.715.7
36.8%
47.8%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.8
32.6%
32.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.612.5
75.3%
73.3%12.5
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Townsville Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Townsville W: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.8
50.9%
47.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.9
35.5%
32.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.015.4
73.3%
73.3%15.4
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney W
LLLWLLLWLL
Townsville W
LWWWWWWWLW
#8
League position
#1
-17.8
Net rating
+17.7
89.4
Offensive rating
108.8
107.2
Defensive rating
91.1
41.5%
Effective FG%
51.7%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
23.3%
Turnover %
19.0%
36.5%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.6%
3-point %
35.5%
71.4%
Assist %
65.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence89.4 · 108.8Defence107.2 · 91.1Shooting41.5% · 51.7%3-point %32.6% · 35.5%Ball care23.3% · 19.0%Off. rebounds36.5% · 34.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Sydney W   ■ Townsville W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sydney W wins
9
Townsville W wins
Sydney Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HAdelaide Lightning W75-94
06/12/25ATownsville W60-93
28/11/25HBendigo W64-80
26/11/25HGeelong Venom W97-94 OT
22/11/25ASouthside W76-93
15/11/25ACanberra Capitals W56-96
09/11/25AAdelaide Lightning W71-88
06/11/25HCanberra Capitals W73-64
02/11/25ABendigo W75-88
26/10/25APerth Lynx W67-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HPerth Lynx W81-97
06/12/25HSydney W93-60
29/11/25HSouthside W84-63
25/11/25AAdelaide Lightning W90-64
22/11/25HCanberra Capitals W101-61
15/11/25HAdelaide Lightning W103-69
07/11/25AGeelong Venom W86-61
04/11/25APerth Lynx W79-70
31/10/25ASouthside W83-89
25/10/25ACanberra Capitals W105-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %25%40%14%
Points / game72.977.070.0
Allowed / game85.182.686.9
Point differential-12.2-5.6-16.9
Avg total158.0159.6156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %8%20%0%
Townsville W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL82%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%80%83%
Points / game89.092.486.2
Allowed / game70.070.070.0
Point differential+19.0+22.4+16.2
Avg total159.0162.4156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W1311285%76.467.5+8.8
2 Townsville W119282%89.070.0+19.0
3 Perth Lynx W118373%78.776.2+2.5
4 Canberra Capitals W115645%74.878.2-3.4
5 Southside W114736%75.679.3-3.6
6 Adelaide Lightning W124833%76.082.2-6.2
7 Sydney W123925%72.985.1-12.2
8 Geelong Venom W1331023%75.579.8-4.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney W2522131777
Townsville W2431242099
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