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Sydney W vs Canberra Capitals W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 73-64
17-14 14-12 21-12 21-26
Position#8
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.8
Sydney W 🏆
Australia
vs
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game83.0
AustraliaNBL WRound 4· Quaycentre
Women2025-26
Meetings · Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W
10 Jan 2026
SYDN84
CANB72
06 Nov 2025
SYDN73
CANB64
03 Nov 2024
SYDN102
CANB85
19 Jan 2024
SYDN90
CANB65
15 Nov 2023
SYDN86
CANB81
30 Dec 2022
SYDN81
CANB70
23 Dec 2022
SYDN87
CANB72
05 Dec 2021
SYDN55
CANB58
21 Nov 2020
SYDN63
CANB68
27 Oct 2019
SYDN81
CANB75
13 Jan 2019
SYDN79
CANB99
12 Oct 2018
SYDN78
CANB97
02 Nov 2017
SYDN81
CANB62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sydney WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
80avg 67
A30/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
86-71
86
71
+15
83avg 67
A09/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
50-83
50
83
-33
34avg 67
H12/02
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
67-83
67
83
-16
54avg 67
H15/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
57avg 67
A23/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
69avg 67
H27/02
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
85-77
85
77
+8
88avg 67
A18/10
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
66avg 67
H24/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
67-73
67
73
-6
56avg 67
A26/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
75-88
75
88
-13
53avg 67
A02/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-30
16-15
19-19
17-16
16-17
22-19
16-14
32-21
15-27
11-21
12-23
12-12
23-18
15-22
19-24
10-19
15-27
13-24
21-16
18-9
31-23
13-30
23-20
7-18
26-22
22-8
16-22
21-25
28-22
15-21
16-19
17-19
22-16
20-18
16-14
9-25
18-23
18-17
21-30
18-18
155.0Avg total
73.9Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.879.8155.5-4.025%
Season at home (1)76.081.0157.0-5.00%
Season away (3)75.779.3155.0-3.733%
Last 10 (10)73.981.1155.0-7.230%
Last 5 (5)75.482.0157.4-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.285.8158.9-12.612%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.980.6163.5+2.355%
vs Weaker (3)80.373.0153.3+7.367%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
86avg 67
H11/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
71-105
71
105
-34
59avg 67
A18/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
94-79
94
79
+15
86avg 67
H25/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
73avg 67
H30/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
91-77
91
77
+14
85avg 67
A01/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
71-86
71
86
-15
60avg 67
H09/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
83-74
83
74
+9
76avg 67
H15/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
80-71
80
71
+9
76avg 67
A18/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
70-105
70
105
-35
58avg 67
H25/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
65-73
65
73
-8
54avg 67
A01/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
15-21
23-18
25-23
27-30
13-23
18-31
13-21
24-20
24-20
21-19
25-20
30-28
15-16
19-19
16-17
28-25
18-16
24-13
21-23
17-16
19-22
14-16
21-32
17-17
22-21
21-21
23-15
24-16
24-22
18-18
14-15
21-28
12-26
25-21
12-30
21-22
19-19
10-17
15-15
164.2Avg total
80.4Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.783.0154.7-11.333%
Season at home (1)70.0105.0175.0-35.00%
Season away (2)72.572.0144.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)80.483.8164.2-3.450%
Last 5 (5)73.881.8155.6-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.088.4163.4-13.418%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.484.0164.4-3.630%
vs Weaker (3)84.368.7153.0+15.7100%
This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
Sydney WCanberra Capitals W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A30/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A09/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H12/02
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H15/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A23/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H27/02
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A18/10
NBL W
Southside W
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H24/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A26/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A02/11
NBL W
80.7Avg total
38.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.284.7-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.142.987.0+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)38.743.682.3-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)38.742.080.7-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.082.6+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.247.686.8-8.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.639.082.6+4.664%-
vs Weaker (3)45.335.781.0+9.767%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H11/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A18/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H30/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A01/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H09/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H15/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A18/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H25/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A01/11
NBL W
84.0Avg total
41.8Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.444.785.1-4.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.443.585.9-1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.445.984.3-7.527%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.284.0-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.881.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)39.847.186.9-7.435%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.842.783.5-1.940%-
vs Weaker (3)42.737.780.3+5.067%-
This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydney Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney W: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.715.6
41.4%
47.8%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.1
34.0%
32.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws14.911.3
75.8%
73.3%11.3
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.323.5
49.7%
47.8%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.6
28.1%
32.8%19.8
🏀 Free throws17.713.0
73.4%
73.3%13.0
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney W
LLLWLLLLWW
Canberra Capitals W
LLWWLWLWLW
#8
League position
#5
-9.9
Net rating
-3.4
93.1
Offensive rating
97.3
103.0
Defensive rating
100.7
45.6%
Effective FG%
47.2%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
20.9%
Turnover %
18.5%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.0%
3-point %
28.1%
65.4%
Assist %
58.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.1 · 97.3Defence103.0 · 100.7Shooting45.6% · 47.2%3-point %34.0% · 28.1%Ball care20.9% · 18.5%Off. rebounds28.7% · 28.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Sydney W   ■ Canberra Capitals W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Sydney W wins
1
Canberra Capitals W wins
DateGameScore
09/02/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W71-86
30/01/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W88-92 OT
03/11/24Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W102-85
19/01/24Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W90-65
08/12/23Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W70-72
15/11/23Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W86-81
30/12/22Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W81-70
23/12/22Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W87-72
10/12/22Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W80-92
28/01/22Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W86-54
Sydney Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25ABendigo W75-88
26/10/25APerth Lynx W67-73
24/10/25HSouthside W76-81
18/10/25AGeelong Venom W85-77
27/02/25HBendigo W74-91
23/02/25ABendigo W67-76
15/02/25HSouthside W67-83
12/02/25HTownsville W50-83
09/02/25ACanberra Capitals W86-71
30/01/25ACanberra Capitals W92-88 OT
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25AAdelaide Lightning W65-73
25/10/25HTownsville W70-105
18/10/25ASouthside W80-71
15/02/25HBendigo W83-74
09/02/25HSydney W71-86
01/02/25AGeelong United W91-77
30/01/25HSydney W88-92 OT
25/01/25HSouthside W94-79
18/01/25ATownsville W71-105
11/01/25HAdelaide Lightning W91-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game75.876.075.7
Allowed / game79.881.079.3
Point differential-4.0-5.0-3.7
Avg total155.5157.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game71.770.072.5
Allowed / game83.0105.072.0
Point differential-11.3-35.0+0.5
Avg total154.7175.0144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W43175%85.273.8+11.5
2 Perth Lynx W43175%73.873.5+0.2
3 Bendigo W32167%72.068.0+4.0
4 Southside W32167%80.379.7+0.7
5 Adelaide Lightning W31233%73.783.3-9.7
6 Canberra Capitals W31233%71.783.0-11.3
7 Geelong Venom W41325%79.575.0+4.5
8 Sydney W41325%75.879.8-4.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney W1714212173
Canberra Capitals W1412122664
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