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Canberra Capitals W vs Sydney W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 96-56
34-10 21-16 25-9 16-21
Position#5
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game79.0
Canberra Capitals W 🏆
Australia
vs
Sydney W
Australia
Position#8
Record2-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game78.5
AustraliaNBL WRound 5· AIS Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W
27 Dec 2025
CANB61
SYDN91
15 Nov 2025
CANB96
SYDN56
09 Feb 2025
CANB71
SYDN86
30 Jan 2025
CANB88
SYDN92
08 Dec 2023
CANB70
SYDN72
10 Dec 2022
CANB80
SYDN92
28 Jan 2022
CANB86
SYDN54
05 Jan 2022
CANB v SYDN
upcoming
25 Nov 2020
CANB v SYDN
upcoming
26 Jan 2020
CANB82
SYDN66
02 Nov 2019
CANB91
SYDN66
04 Nov 2018
CANB84
SYDN79
07 Dec 2017
CANB67
SYDN73
04 Nov 2017
CANB72
SYDN81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra Capitals W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Southside W
#7
W
94-79
94
79
+15
86avg 66
H25/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
73avg 66
H30/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
91-77
91
77
+14
85avg 66
A01/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
71-86
71
86
-15
60avg 66
H09/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
83-74
83
74
+9
76avg 66
H15/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
80-71
80
71
+9
76avg 66
A18/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
70-105
70
105
-35
58avg 66
H25/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
65-73
65
73
-8
54avg 66
A01/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
64-73
64
73
-9
55avg 66
A06/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
71-73
71
73
-2
59avg 66
A08/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
24-20
21-19
25-20
30-28
15-16
19-19
16-17
28-25
18-16
24-13
21-23
17-16
19-22
14-16
21-32
17-17
22-21
21-21
23-15
24-16
24-22
18-18
14-15
21-28
12-26
25-21
12-30
21-22
19-19
10-17
15-15
14-17
12-14
12-21
26-21
18-28
19-16
21-11
13-18
158.0Avg total
77.7Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.079.0149.0-9.020%
Season at home (1)70.0105.0175.0-35.00%
Season away (4)70.072.5142.5-2.525%
Last 10 (10)77.780.3158.0-2.640%
Last 5 (5)70.079.0149.0-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.287.4162.7-12.219%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.983.0161.9-4.127%
vs Weaker (3)84.368.7153.0+15.7100%
This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sydney WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#3
L
50-83
50
83
-33
34avg 67
H12/02
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
67-83
67
83
-16
54avg 67
H15/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
57avg 67
A23/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
69avg 67
H27/02
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
85-77
85
77
+8
88avg 67
A18/10
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
66avg 67
H24/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
67-73
67
73
-6
56avg 67
A26/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
75-88
75
88
-13
53avg 67
A02/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
73-64
73
64
+9
60avg 67
H06/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
71-88
71
88
-17
55avg 67
A09/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
11-21
12-23
12-12
23-18
15-22
19-24
10-19
15-27
13-24
21-16
18-9
31-23
13-30
23-20
7-18
26-22
22-8
16-22
21-25
28-22
15-21
16-19
17-19
22-16
20-18
16-14
9-25
18-23
18-17
21-30
18-18
17-14
14-12
21-12
21-26
14-24
19-22
10-28
28-14
150.9Avg total
70.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.578.5153.0-4.033%
Season at home (2)74.572.5147.0+2.050%
Season away (4)74.581.5156.0-7.025%
Last 10 (10)70.580.4150.9-9.920%
Last 5 (5)72.478.8151.2-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.285.8158.9-12.612%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.679.7159.4-0.155%
vs Weaker (3)80.373.0153.3+7.367%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
Canberra Capitals WSydney W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southside W
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H30/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A01/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H09/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H15/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A18/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H25/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A01/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A06/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/11
NBL W
80.7Avg total
39.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.844.183.9-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.443.585.9-1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.244.781.9-7.520%-
Last 10 (10)39.840.980.7-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.678.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.547.086.5-7.531%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.541.681.1-2.236%-
vs Weaker (3)42.737.780.3+5.067%-
This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#3
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H12/02
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H15/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A23/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H27/02
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A18/10
NBL W
Southside W
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H24/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A26/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A02/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H06/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A09/11
NBL W
78.0Avg total
36.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.183.4-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.542.384.8+0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)38.443.882.1-5.431%-
Last 10 (10)36.941.178.0-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.874.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.247.686.8-8.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.538.579.1+2.055%-
vs Weaker (3)45.335.781.0+9.767%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.222.0
47.6%
47.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.2
29.9%
32.8%21.6
🏀 Free throws16.211.3
69.8%
73.3%11.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydney Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney W: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.915.8
39.6%
47.8%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.1
32.9%
32.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws13.910.5
75.5%
73.3%10.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Canberra Capitals W
LLLLWWLWLW
Sydney W
LWLLLWLLLL
#5
League position
#8
-2.8
Net rating
-13.2
95.2
Offensive rating
90.1
98.0
Defensive rating
103.3
46.7%
Effective FG%
43.6%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
19.9%
Turnover %
22.0%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.21
29.9%
3-point %
32.9%
57.9%
Assist %
66.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 90.1Defence98.0 · 103.3Shooting46.7% · 43.6%3-point %29.9% · 32.9%Ball care19.9% · 22.0%Off. rebounds30.3% · 31.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Canberra Capitals W   ■ Sydney W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Canberra Capitals W wins
10
Sydney W wins
DateGameScore
06/11/25Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W73-64
09/02/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W71-86
30/01/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W88-92 OT
03/11/24Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W102-85
19/01/24Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W90-65
08/12/23Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W70-72
15/11/23Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W86-81
30/12/22Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W81-70
23/12/22Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W87-72
10/12/22Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W80-92
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25ABendigo W71-73
06/11/25ASydney W64-73
01/11/25AAdelaide Lightning W65-73
25/10/25HTownsville W70-105
18/10/25ASouthside W80-71
15/02/25HBendigo W83-74
09/02/25HSydney W71-86
01/02/25AGeelong United W91-77
30/01/25HSydney W88-92 OT
25/01/25HSouthside W94-79
Sydney Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25AAdelaide Lightning W71-88
06/11/25HCanberra Capitals W73-64
02/11/25ABendigo W75-88
26/10/25APerth Lynx W67-73
24/10/25HSouthside W76-81
18/10/25AGeelong Venom W85-77
27/02/25HBendigo W74-91
23/02/25ABendigo W67-76
15/02/25HSouthside W67-83
12/02/25HTownsville W50-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %20%0%25%
Points / game70.070.070.0
Allowed / game79.0105.072.5
Point differential-9.0-35.0-2.5
Avg total149.0175.0142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game74.574.574.5
Allowed / game78.572.581.5
Point differential-4.0+2.0-7.0
Avg total153.0147.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W54180%85.471.2+14.2
2 Bendigo W43175%72.268.8+3.5
3 Perth Lynx W64267%73.876.3-2.5
4 Adelaide Lightning W42250%77.280.2-3.0
5 Geelong Venom W73443%76.172.7+3.4
6 Southside W52340%74.276.8-2.6
7 Sydney W62433%74.578.5-4.0
8 Canberra Capitals W51420%70.079.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra Capitals W3421251696
Sydney W101692156
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