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Tal Tech vs Ventspils Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Projected 81-79
Projected total 160.2
Scheduled
Position#6
Record6-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game73.8
Vs
56%
44%
■ TAL 56%■ VET 44%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#5
Record6-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game83.4
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Tallinna Tehnikaulikooli spordihoone
Other2026
Meetings · Tal Tech v Ventspils
18 Nov 2026
TAL v VET
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
TAL 86
VET80
26 Oct 2024
TAL 93
VET87
14 Oct 2023
TAL 100
VET98
12 Feb 2023
TAL 91
VET84
25 Mar 2022
TAL 102
VET90
29 Sep 2018
TAL 78
VET92
20 Oct 2012
TAL 74
VET78
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Tal Tech faces Ventspils in the Latvia-Estonian League on 18 November 2026, with the model favouring Tal Tech at 56% to 44% for a close 81-79 projected score and a total of 160.2 points, a 5% chance of overtime and a 56% probability that Tal Tech covers the home line. Tal Tech is 6-4 this season, averaging 73.7 points and allowing 73.8, while Ventspils is 6-3, scoring 86.2 and conceding 82.0. At home Tal Tech is 2-2, 75.8 points for and 76.5 against, and in the last five games has 2 wins and 3 losses, including a 72-76 defeat to Spartak Pleven at home on 11 November. Ventspils is 4-2 on the road, 87.8 points for and 84.7 against, and has 3 wins and 2 losses in its last five, with a 92-88 win over BK Ogre on 24 October. Historically Tal Tech has won 7 of 10 meetings, most recently beating Ventspils 85-82 on 16 October.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tal Tech win
56.3%fair 1.77
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ventspils win
43.7%fair 2.29
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tal TechLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTech
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#2
L
70-90
70
90
-20
60avg 74
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
78-71
78
71
+7
67avg 74
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
W
85-82
85
82
+3
80avg 74
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
82-78
82
78
+4
75avg 74
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
41-65
41
65
-24
28avg 74
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
78-59
78
59
+19
76avg 74
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
W
79-58
79
58
+21
79avg 74
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEL
#4
L
67-74
67
74
-7
no box
A03/11
ENBL
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
66-92
66
92
-26
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
no box
H11/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
18-21
19-28
18-23
16-20
17-16
24-15
21-20
17-17
16-22
28-17
24-26
26-21
25-18
18-18
13-21
9-15
15-21
9-12
8-17
28-11
13-11
21-18
16-19
20-17
21-19
16-12
22-10
16-23
16-16
21-19
14-16
15-21
16-21
12-32
23-18
17-14
11-20
16-16
28-26
146.3Avg total
71.8Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.773.8147.5-0.160%
Season at home (4)75.876.5152.2-0.850%
Season away (6)72.372.0144.3+0.367%
Last 10 (10)71.874.5146.3-2.750%
Last 5 (5)72.471.8144.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)71.984.7156.7-12.813%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.478.9160.2+2.575%
vs Weaker (7)88.971.6160.4+17.3100%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
76-98
76
98
-22
65avg 80
A25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
108-92
108
92
+16
106avg 80
A28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 80
H02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 80
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
85-68
85
68
+17
78avg 80
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
82-85
82
85
-3
78avg 80
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
92-88
92
88
+4
83avg 80
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
75-60
75
60
+15
65avg 80
H30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#7
L
80-89
80
89
-9
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
85-96
85
96
-11
no box
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
21-23
19-24
16-22
27-24
26-19
34-22
21-27
25-23
27-32
20-13
20-17
14-24
26-18
24-18
22-13
28-13
15-16
27-21
15-18
17-17
22-16
17-28
26-24
23-29
29-22
23-19
17-18
20-12
21-14
15-13
19-21
17-23
22-22
21-20
20-24
26-26
19-22
13-21
27-27
169.5Avg total
86.1Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.183.4169.5+2.760%
Season at home (4)83.581.5165.0+2.050%
Season away (6)87.884.7172.5+3.267%
Last 10 (10)86.183.4169.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)82.883.6166.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.590.4167.9-12.920%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.884.2170.0+1.750%
vs Weaker (13)91.380.4171.7+10.985%
This opponent (Tal Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 159.5
Over 159.5
50.9%
Under 159.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164.5
Over 164.5
39.0%
Under 164.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169.5
Over 169.5
28.2%
Under 169.5
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Tal Tech total 79.5
Over 79.5
55.6%
Under 79.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tal Tech total 83.5
Over 83.5
40.3%
Under 83.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tal Tech total 87.5
Over 87.5
26.3%
Under 87.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ventspils total 77
Over 77
58.4%
Under 77
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ventspils total 81
Over 81
42.5%
Under 81
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ventspils total 85
Over 85
27.9%
Under 85
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Tal Tech -3
TAL -3
47.3%
VET +3
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
TAL
No market prices yet.
VET
No market prices yet.
Spread Tal Tech 0
TAL 0
56.3%
VET 0
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
TAL
No market prices yet.
VET
No market prices yet.
Spread Tal Tech +3
TAL +3
65.3%
VET -3
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
TAL
No market prices yet.
VET
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
Tal TechVentspils
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tal TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEL
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A03/11
ENBL
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H11/11
ENBL
70.9Avg total
34.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.140.378.4-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.341.083.3+1.346%-
Last 30 away (17)34.939.874.7-4.824%-
Last 10 (10)34.736.270.9-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.634.669.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.942.577.3-7.613%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.540.279.8-0.838%-
vs Weaker (7)43.635.779.3+7.971%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
86.9Avg total
44.5Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.487.7+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.941.585.4+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)46.843.390.1+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.486.9+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.683.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.346.287.5-4.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.244.589.7+0.750%-
vs Weaker (13)46.839.586.2+7.385%-
This opponent (Tal Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tal Techtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tal Tech: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.7
51.4%
52.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.8
31.1%
31.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.613.0
63.1%
68.3%13.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.2
53.0%
52.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.5
31.6%
31.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.816.7
73.2%
68.3%16.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tal Tech
LLLWWLWWWL
Ventspils
LLWWLWWWWL
#6
League position
#5
+2.5
Net rating
+3.4
86.9
Offensive rating
93.8
84.5
Defensive rating
90.5
49.4%
Effective FG%
50.5%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
16.9%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.1%
3-point %
31.6%
72.5%
Assist %
62.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.9 · 93.8Defence84.5 · 90.5Shooting49.4% · 50.5%3-point %31.1% · 31.6%Ball care16.9% · 15.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Tal Tech   ■ Ventspils
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Tal Tech wins
3
Ventspils wins
DateGameScore
16/10/26Ventspils v Tal Tech82-85
21/11/25Tal Tech v Ventspils86-80
17/10/25Ventspils v Tal Tech80-84
24/01/25Ventspils v Tal Tech96-86
26/10/24Tal Tech v Ventspils93-87
01/03/24Ventspils v Tal Tech101-90
14/10/23Tal Tech v Ventspils100-98 OT
12/02/23Tal Tech v Ventspils91-84
14/10/22Ventspils v Tal Tech84-71
25/03/22Tal Tech v Ventspils102-90
Tal Techlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HSpartak Pleven72-76
07/11/26ARigas Zelli66-92
03/11/26AAEL67-74
31/10/26AKeila KK79-58
28/10/26HLatvijas Universitate78-59
24/10/26ATartu Ulikool41-65
21/10/26HBK Ogre82-78
16/10/26AVentspils85-82
14/10/26ABK Liepaja78-71
10/10/26HVEF Riga70-90
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HVEF Riga85-96
07/11/26AParnu80-89
30/10/26HViimsi75-60
24/10/26ABK Ogre92-88
16/10/26HTal Tech82-85
11/10/26AKeila Coolbet85-68
10/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo86-73
02/10/26HTartu Ulikool92-85
28/09/26ALatvijas Universitate108-92
25/09/26AValmiera Glass Via76-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tal Tech
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game73.775.872.3
Allowed / game73.876.572.0
Point differential-0.1-0.8+0.3
Avg total147.5152.2144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL60%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game86.183.587.8
Allowed / game83.481.584.7
Point differential+2.7+2.0+3.2
Avg total169.5165.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool85362%82.876.4+6.4
5 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
6 Tal Tech106460%73.773.8-0.1
7 Parnu74357%78.978.1+0.7
8 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet9090%70.391.1-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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