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Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Ulikool Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 63-77
12-21 19-17 19-20 13-19
Position#16
Record2-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#5
Record4-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game71.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sole Spordikeskus (Tallinn)
Other2023
Meetings · Tallinna Kalev v Tartu Ulikool
01 Nov 2023
TALL63
TUL77
06 Jan 2023
TALL72
TUL78
12 Mar 2022
TALL80
TUL92
15 Dec 2021
TALL73
TUL81
20 Mar 2021
TALL v TUL
upcoming
06 Jan 2021
TALL88
TUL80
11 Oct 2020
TALL73
TUL100
19 Apr 2019
TALL97
TUL96
13 Apr 2019
TALL87
TUL70
06 Feb 2019
TALL82
TUL84
25 Mar 2018
TALL64
TUL95
03 Nov 2017
TALL85
TUL77
15 Apr 2017
TALL68
TUL94
25 Mar 2017
TALL67
TUL97
18 Feb 2017
TALL63
TUL110
03 May 2016
TALL74
TUL97
13 Feb 2016
TALL84
TUL105
30 Oct 2015
TALL76
TUL82
14 Apr 2015
TALL62
TUL101
05 Feb 2015
TALL72
TUL93
31 Oct 2014
TALL54
TUL85
03 May 2014
TALL52
TUL72
28 Mar 2014
TALL72
TUL84
14 Dec 2013
TALL65
TUL85
13 Feb 2013
TALL46
TUL88
15 Feb 2012
TALL54
TUL70
19 Oct 2011
TALL67
TUL93
22 Apr 2011
TALL70
TUL81
30 Jan 2011
TALL74
TUL58
10 Dec 2010
TALL60
TUL80
20 Nov 2010
TALL74
TUL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tallinna Kalev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tartu Ulikool winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalev
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
64-101
64
101
-37
no box
A21/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
62avg 54
A16/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
64-92
64
92
-28
54avg 54
H19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
38-84
38
84
-46
27avg 54
A22/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
80avg 54
A22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
87-79
87
79
+8
75avg 54
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
L
56-69
56
69
-13
50avg 54
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
51-98
51
98
-47
33avg 54
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
50-78
50
78
-28
41avg 54
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 54
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
13-23
15-21
23-32
22-23
24-23
17-15
10-23
16-24
18-22
10-22
20-24
9-21
11-21
7-21
11-21
27-9
14-21
22-22
15-20
25-21
14-19
25-23
23-16
18-18
14-17
16-11
8-23
16-24
13-28
14-23
8-23
12-16
6-15
12-24
20-23
21-22
25-19
10-17
17-24
147.3Avg total
63.4Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)65.879.7145.5-13.833%
Season at home (3)72.076.7148.7-4.733%
Season away (3)59.782.7142.3-23.033%
Last 10 (10)63.483.9147.3-20.520%
Last 5 (5)63.481.2144.6-17.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)66.883.2150.1-16.416%
vs Similar (7)79.682.6162.1-3.014%
vs Weaker (4)87.880.0167.8+7.850%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Parnu
#3
W
78-68
78
68
+10
72avg 72
H12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
65-71
65
71
-6
60avg 72
A18/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
62avg 72
H23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
82-89
82
89
-7
79avg 72
A27/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
64avg 72
A21/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
83-88 OT
83
88
-5
72avg 72
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
63-56
63
56
+7
64avg 72
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
74-72
74
72
+2
62avg 72
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
80-65
80
65
+15
72avg 72
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
90-71
90
71
+19
88avg 72
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-10
22-18
17-25
25-15
18-13
14-23
21-16
12-19
17-24
18-31
23-17
15-18
19-16
24-20
19-26
20-27
20-17
11-20
15-21
25-16
19-16
23-17
18-18
16-25
12-11
15-19
20-16
16-10
13-12
22-14
22-16
17-30
16-29
20-16
21-6
23-14
18-23
29-17
19-17
24-14
150.3Avg total
75.9Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.871.0147.8+5.867%
Season at home (4)77.571.8149.2+5.875%
Season away (2)75.569.5145.0+6.050%
Last 10 (10)75.974.4150.3+1.550%
Last 5 (5)78.070.4148.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.678.8149.3-8.222%
vs Similar (11)78.774.8153.5+3.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.072.0156.0+12.080%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -7.4-7.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -7.4-7.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
Tallinna KalevTartu Ulikool
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A21/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A22/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#10
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
18-31
18
31
-13
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
74.2Avg total
33.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.639.975.5-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.239.776.9-2.527%-
Last 30 away (15)33.940.274.1-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)33.141.174.2-8.020%-
Last 5 (5)32.839.872.6-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)32.740.272.8-7.521%-
vs Similar (7)41.040.081.0+1.029%-
vs Weaker (4)39.838.878.5+1.050%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#3
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A18/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A27/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A21/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
73.0Avg total
36.4Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.977.2+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.935.874.7+3.163%-
Last 30 away (11)40.041.481.4-1.436%-
Last 10 (10)36.436.673.0-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.872.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.837.671.3-3.833%-
vs Similar (11)39.638.678.3+1.055%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.937.381.2+6.670%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tallinna Kalevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tallinna Kalev: 62.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.914.9
43.9%
50.5%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.36.8
26.8%
32.1%20.3
🏀 Free throws17.912.2
68.3%
70.5%12.2
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.6
50.8%
50.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.5
33.3%
32.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.913.6
68.3%
70.5%13.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tallinna Kalev
LLLLWWLLLL
Tartu Ulikool
WWWWLLLLLW
#16
League position
#5
-26.6
Net rating
+2.8
85.3
Offensive rating
101.3
112.0
Defensive rating
98.5
42.3%
Effective FG%
50.5%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
23.1%
Turnover %
20.9%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
26.8%
3-point %
33.3%
59.0%
Assist %
52.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence85.3 · 101.3Defence112.0 · 98.5Shooting42.3% · 50.5%3-point %26.8% · 33.3%Ball care23.1% · 20.9%Off. rebounds28.2% · 31.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Tallinna Kalev   ■ Tartu Ulikool
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tallinna Kalev wins
9
Tartu Ulikool wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23HTal Tech73-82
21/10/23ARigas Zelli50-78
13/10/23ABC Kalev/Cramo51-98
08/10/23HViimsi56-69
30/09/23HValmiera Glass Via87-79
22/09/23ARapla78-72
22/04/23ABC Kalev/Cramo38-84
19/04/23HBC Kalev/Cramo64-92
16/04/23ABC Kalev/Cramo73-84
21/03/23ABC Kalev/Cramo64-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HLatvijas Universitate90-71
21/10/23ABK Ogre80-65
14/10/23HVEF Riga74-72
06/10/23HRigas Zelli63-56
29/09/23HVentspils83-88 OT
21/09/23ABC Kalev/Cramo71-74
27/05/23ABC Kalev/Cramo82-89
23/05/23HBC Kalev/Cramo73-90
18/05/23ABC Kalev/Cramo65-71
12/05/23HParnu78-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tallinna Kalev
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game65.872.059.7
Allowed / game79.776.782.7
Point differential-13.8-4.7-23.0
Avg total145.5148.7142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tartu Ulikool
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game76.877.575.5
Allowed / game71.071.869.5
Point differential+5.8+5.8+6.0
Avg total147.8149.2145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey550100%91.667.4+24.2
2 BC Kalev/Cramo660100%91.367.2+24.2
3 Tal Tech76186%86.477.9+8.6
4 Rigas Zelli65183%77.564.7+12.8
5 Parnu64267%74.768.3+6.3
6 Tartu Ulikool64267%76.871.0+5.8
7 VEF Riga63350%82.871.7+11.2
8 BK Ogre84450%79.273.6+5.6
9 BK Liepaja63350%85.889.3-3.5
10 Ventspils73443%90.390.0+0.3
11 Rapla83538%74.475.9-1.5
12 Tallinna Kalev62433%65.879.7-13.8
13 Keila KK72529%76.482.4-6.0
14 Valmiera Glass Via82625%74.286.1-11.9
15 Latvijas Universitate81712%66.185.1-19.0
16 Viimsi81712%65.688.8-23.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tallinna Kalev1219191363
Tartu Ulikool2117201977
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