PythiaBasketballBETA
Super League· STC Tambov
On 15 November 2026 the Super League will see Tambov host Khimki M., with the model favouring Khimki M. at 78% because their 5-3 record and 82.5 points per game outpace Tambov's 2-5 record and 73.7 points per game; Khimki M. also lead the league at position 6 versus Tambov's 10. Tambov's season shows a 2-5 record, 73.7 points scored and 76.1 allowed, while at home they are 2-1, 80.3 points scored and 74.0 allowed, and their last five games were 2-3; they recently lost to Novosibirsk 88-90 away, lost to Barnaul 67-78 away, and beat Izhevsk 83-76 at home. Khimki M. have a 5-3 record, 82.5 points scored and 75.6 allowed, 2-2 on the road with 76.0 points scored and 71.8 allowed, and their last five games were 3-2; they recently beat Metallurg 74-64 at home, beat Chelyabinsk 117-82 at home, and lost to CSKA Moscow 68-72 away. In their 10-meeting history Khimki M. have won 7 times to Tambov's 3, though Tambov last beat Khimki M. 73-67 on 3 February 2026. Pythia projects a 73-82 score for Tambov-Khimki M., a total of 155.1 points, a 22% chance of a Tambov win, an 78% chance for Khimki M., and a 4% overtime probability.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 75.5 | 76.4 | 151.9 | -0.9 | 38% |
| Season at home (4) | 82.2 | 75.0 | 157.2 | +7.2 | 75% |
| Season away (4) | 68.8 | 77.8 | 146.5 | -9.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.9 | 78.9 | 155.8 | -2.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.2 | 82.4 | 164.6 | -0.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (22) | 74.1 | 88.4 | 162.5 | -14.2 | 23% |
| vs Similar (5) | 72.8 | 75.2 | 148.0 | -2.4 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 86.3 | 81.3 | 167.7 | +5.0 | 67% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 82.9 | 74.9 | 157.8 | +8.0 | 67% |
| Season at home (4) | 89.0 | 79.5 | 168.5 | +9.5 | 75% |
| Season away (5) | 78.0 | 71.2 | 149.2 | +6.8 | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.7 | 75.3 | 156.0 | +5.4 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.0 | 76.0 | 161.0 | +9.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 82.5 | 86.0 | 168.5 | -3.5 | 50% |
| vs Similar (18) | 83.3 | 77.7 | 161.0 | +5.6 | 61% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 82.4 | 72.7 | 155.1 | +9.7 | 70% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.0 | 41.7 | 77.7 | -5.7 | 30% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 37.9 | 38.8 | 76.8 | -0.9 | 44% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 33.8 | 45.1 | 78.9 | -11.3 | 14% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.9 | 37.9 | 74.8 | -1.0 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.0 | 40.8 | 78.8 | -2.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (22) | 35.8 | 43.4 | 79.1 | -7.6 | 18% | - |
| vs Similar (5) | 33.0 | 37.2 | 70.2 | -4.2 | 40% | - |
| vs Weaker (3) | 42.7 | 37.3 | 80.0 | +5.3 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.0 | 37.6 | 76.6 | +1.4 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 43.4 | 38.7 | 82.1 | +4.7 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 35.2 | 36.6 | 71.8 | -1.4 | 50% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.1 | 37.3 | 75.4 | +0.8 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.6 | 37.4 | 78.0 | +3.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 37.5 | 44.0 | 81.5 | -6.5 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (18) | 38.8 | 37.4 | 76.2 | +1.4 | 56% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 39.8 | 36.7 | 76.5 | +3.1 | 60% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.0 | 20.3 | 56.4% | - | 40.6 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.5 | 7.2 | 30.6% | - | 21.6 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.7 | 14.0 | 79.1% | - | 14.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03/02/26 | Tambov v Khimki M. | 73-67 |
| 26/11/25 | Khimki M. v Tambov | 77-69 |
| 02/03/25 | Tambov v Khimki M. | 73-77 |
| 25/12/24 | Khimki M. v Tambov | 72-52 |
| 04/12/24 | Tambov v Khimki M. | 64-86 |
| 28/11/24 | Khimki M. v Tambov | 81-89 |
| 30/01/24 | Tambov v Khimki M. | 65-75 |
| 13/11/23 | Khimki M. v Tambov | 83-57 |
| 29/01/23 | Tambov v Khimki M. | 74-64 |
| 28/10/22 | Khimki M. v Tambov | 86-62 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | University-Ugra | 88-78 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Novosibirsk | 88-90 |
| 02/11/26 | A | Barnaul | 67-78 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Izhevsk | 83-76 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Chelyabinsk | 85-90 |
| 12/10/26 | H | Metallurg | 73-56 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Dynamo Grozny | 64-83 |
| 01/10/26 | A | CSKA Moscow 2 | 56-60 |
| 16/04/26 | H | Barnaul | 75-94 |
| 15/04/26 | H | Metallurg | 90-84 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Izhevsk | 86-69 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Metallurg | 74-64 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Chelyabinsk | 117-82 |
| 25/10/26 | A | CSKA Moscow 2 | 68-72 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Dynamo Grozny | 80-93 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Ufa | 74-70 |
| 12/10/26 | H | Temp Sumz Revda | 91-102 |
| 05/10/26 | A | Desna Bryansk | 73-63 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Rusichi Kursk | 83-59 |
| 23/05/26 | H | Chelyabinsk | 61-79 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLW | 38% |
| Home | WLWW | 75% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 38% | 75% | 0% |
| Points / game | 75.5 | 82.2 | 68.8 |
| Allowed / game | 76.4 | 75.0 | 77.8 |
| Point differential | -0.9 | +7.2 | -9.0 |
| Avg total | 151.9 | 157.2 | 146.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (3) | 0% (1) | 0% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWW | 67% |
| Home | LWWW | 75% |
| Away | WWLLW | 60% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| Win % | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Points / game | 82.9 | 89.0 | 78.0 |
| Allowed / game | 74.9 | 79.5 | 71.2 |
| Point differential | +8.0 | +9.5 | +6.8 |
| Avg total | 157.8 | 168.5 | 149.2 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chelyabinsk | 9 | 8 | 1 | 89% | 91.3 | 84.6 | +6.8 |
| 2 |  Ufa | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 88.8 | 70.4 | +18.4 |
| 3 |  Temp Sumz Revda | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 91.2 | 79.0 | +12.2 |
| 4 |  Dynamo Grozny | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 84.0 | 74.9 | +9.1 |
| 5 | Khimki M. | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 82.9 | 74.9 | +8.0 |
| 6 |  CSKA Moscow 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 72.1 | 69.0 | +3.1 |
| 7 | Metallurg | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 74.9 | 77.9 | -3.0 |
| 8 | Tambov | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 75.5 | 76.4 | -0.9 |
| 9 |  Barnaul | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 80.0 | 82.6 | -2.6 |
| 10 |  Novosibirsk | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 82.0 | 89.0 | -7.0 |
| 11 |  University-Ugra | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 73.9 | 82.6 | -8.7 |
| 12 |  Izhevsk | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 77.5 | 87.0 | -9.5 |
| 13 |  Desna Bryansk | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 68.7 | 78.8 | -10.1 |
| 14 |  Rusichi Kursk | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 71.0 | 85.7 | -14.7 |
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