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Tartu Ulikool vs BK Ogre Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 91-80
Projected total 171.5
Scheduled
Position#4
Record6-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game75.3
Vs
84%
16%
■ TUL 84%■ BK O 16%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
6.2/10
Above normal
Position#10
Record4-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game86.7
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone
Other2026
Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v BK Ogre
21 Nov 2026
TUL v BK O
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
TUL65
BK O59
06 Dec 2024
TUL66
BK O68
05 Mar 2024
TUL82
BK O76
07 Mar 2023
TUL65
BK O80
23 Oct 2021
TUL75
BK O81
27 Oct 2018
TUL91
BK O94
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Tartu Ulikool host BK Ogre in the Latvia-Estonian League. Pythia makes Tartu Ulikool the favourite at 84% and projects 91-80, about 171 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. Tartu Ulikool are 6-3 this season (81.3 scored, 75.3 allowed a game), form WLLLW; BK Ogre are 4-5 this season (86.7 scored, 86.7 allowed a game), form LLWWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool win
84.3%fair 1.19
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
BK Ogre win
15.7%fair 6.35
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#47
W
95-92
95
92
+3
93avg 80
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila KK
#9
W
89-71
89
71
+18
91avg 80
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
93-99
93
99
-6
90avg 80
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#6
W
65-41
65
41
+24
57avg 80
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Iraklis
#11
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
91avg 80
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 80
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Wurzburg
#13
L
79-113
79
113
-34
no box
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#8
W
70-67
70
67
+3
no box
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
20-22
28-23
23-30
19-19
23-21
26-9
21-22
21-32
30-25
20-22
22-20
15-9
21-15
12-9
17-8
24-22
19-25
28-22
18-20
25-34
15-17
18-9
28-14
20-23
19-31
17-33
23-26
24-30
21-22
15-19
26-22
16-24
24-28
26-23
18-16
18-18
17-17
25-7
10-25
168.9Avg total
84.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.375.3156.7+6.067%
Season at home (4)78.872.8151.5+6.050%
Season away (5)83.477.4160.8+6.080%
Last 10 (10)84.884.1168.9+0.760%
Last 5 (5)81.087.6168.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)84.991.6176.5-6.733%
vs Similar (4)89.282.5171.8+6.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.974.3160.2+11.691%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
101-106
101
106
-5
95avg 79
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
54avg 79
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
85-110
85
110
-25
63avg 79
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
106-81
106
81
+25
101avg 79
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
76-69
76
69
+7
71avg 79
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
77avg 79
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
88-92
88
92
-4
80avg 79
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
101-77
101
77
+24
97avg 79
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
92-88
92
88
+4
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
H13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
29-22
21-30
29-34
20-29
23-23
17-17
13-23
15-34
21-28
23-29
26-19
18-22
30-21
22-15
36-23
20-15
17-11
23-22
16-21
21-26
18-25
18-18
21-13
29-23
22-29
19-23
18-17
22-22
26-16
28-25
25-14
26-20
23-14
23-23
20-31
21-23
17-18
15-28
28-20
176.7Avg total
88.1Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.786.7173.3+0.044%
Season at home (6)90.286.5176.7+3.750%
Season away (3)79.787.0166.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)88.188.6176.7-0.540%
Last 5 (5)88.085.6173.6+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)85.890.9176.7-5.130%
vs Similar (7)81.084.0165.0-3.029%
vs Weaker (12)88.880.2169.1+8.667%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 159.5
Over 159.5
76.5%
Under 159.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164.5
Over 164.5
66.1%
Under 164.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169.5
Over 169.5
54.2%
Under 169.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Tartu Ulikool total 79.5
Over 79.5
88.4%
Under 79.5
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tartu Ulikool total 83.5
Over 83.5
78.7%
Under 83.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tartu Ulikool total 87.5
Over 87.5
65.5%
Under 87.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BK Ogre total 77
Over 77
61.4%
Under 77
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BK Ogre total 81
Over 81
45.2%
Under 81
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BK Ogre total 85
Over 85
30.1%
Under 85
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Tartu Ulikool -3
TUL -3
79.0%
BK O +3
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
TUL
No market prices yet.
BK O
No market prices yet.
Spread Tartu Ulikool 0
TUL 0
84.3%
BK O 0
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
TUL
No market prices yet.
BK O
No market prices yet.
Spread Tartu Ulikool +3
TUL +3
89.1%
BK O -3
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
TUL
No market prices yet.
BK O
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
Tartu UlikoolBK Ogre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#47
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila KK
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#6
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Iraklis
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Wurzburg
#13
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
86.6Avg total
41.5Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.086.3-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.243.283.4-2.923%-
Last 30 away (17)43.944.688.6-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.545.186.6-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.848.888.6-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.749.188.9-9.40%-
vs Similar (4)49.542.291.8+7.2100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.337.680.9+5.664%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
88.1Avg total
44.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.186.3+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.442.387.8+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)40.743.984.6-3.243%-
Last 10 (10)44.044.188.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.288.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)43.147.390.4-4.230%-
vs Similar (7)43.343.486.7-0.143%-
vs Weaker (12)43.538.281.8+5.275%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.9
54.0%
52.5%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.6
33.3%
31.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.513.5
65.9%
68.3%13.5
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.8
57.8%
52.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.8
37.0%
31.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
68.3%14.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tartu Ulikool
WLLLWWWLWW
BK Ogre
LWWLLWWLLL
#4
League position
#10
+0.2
Net rating
-2.5
92.0
Offensive rating
100.7
91.8
Defensive rating
103.2
52.5%
Effective FG%
56.7%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
15.9%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.3%
3-point %
37.0%
68.9%
Assist %
53.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.0 · 100.7Defence91.8 · 103.2Shooting52.5% · 56.7%3-point %33.3% · 37.0%Ball care15.9% · 14.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Tartu Ulikool   ■ BK Ogre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tartu Ulikool wins
4
BK Ogre wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AParnu70-67
11/11/26ADziki Warszawa84-91
07/11/26HValmiera Glass Via86-93
02/11/26AWurzburg79-113
31/10/26AVEF Riga86-74
28/10/26HIraklis101-100 OT
24/10/26HTal Tech65-41
21/10/26AAEK Larnaca93-99
17/10/26AKeila KK89-71
14/10/26AMZT Skopje95-92
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HKeila KK81-89
07/11/26HBC Kalev/Cramo92-88
31/10/26HKeila Coolbet101-77
24/10/26HVentspils88-92
21/10/26ATal Tech78-82
16/10/26AViimsi76-69
10/10/26HLatvijas Universitate106-81
03/10/26ARigas Zelli85-110
26/09/26HVEF Riga73-92
14/03/26HLatvijas Universitate101-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%50%80%
Points / game81.378.883.4
Allowed / game75.372.877.4
Point differential+6.0+6.0+6.0
Avg total156.7151.5160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %44%50%33%
Points / game86.790.279.7
Allowed / game86.786.587.0
Point differential+0.0+3.7-7.3
Avg total173.3176.7166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool96367%81.375.3+6.0
5 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
6 Tal Tech106460%73.773.8-0.1
7 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
8 Parnu84450%77.477.1+0.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet9090%70.391.1-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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