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Tartu Ulikool vs Keila KK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 89-83
21-16 23-17 30-12 15-38
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#12
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game122.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone
Other2025
Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v Keila KK
16 Jan 2027
TUL v KEIL
upcoming
05 Oct 2025
TUL89
KEIL83
03 Dec 2024
TUL89
KEIL85
12 Dec 2023
TUL77
KEIL73
23 Apr 2023
TUL95
KEIL74
14 Apr 2023
TUL65
KEIL60
14 Oct 2022
TUL69
KEIL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
80avg 75
A05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#3
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 75
H08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#3
L
82-87
82
87
-5
73avg 75
A11/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#3
W
88-59
88
59
+29
85avg 75
H13/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
86-80
86
80
+6
79avg 75
A20/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
90-92
90
92
-2
79avg 75
H22/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
81-88
81
88
-7
67avg 75
A27/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
75-72
75
72
+3
61avg 75
H29/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
57avg 75
A31/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
71avg 75
A01/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
16-17
23-19
19-30
18-16
24-20
15-9
22-24
16-17
18-30
31-19
17-21
20-18
21-15
18-15
29-11
25-20
22-13
28-28
11-19
26-27
18-18
13-26
33-21
22-17
18-29
19-19
22-23
21-21
22-21
15-11
17-19
22-31
11-17
23-16
19-27
12-15
31-16
18-17
19-20
160.8Avg total
81.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.068.0148.0+12.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)80.068.0148.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.679.2160.8+2.450%
Last 5 (5)80.282.2162.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.584.1160.6-7.642%
vs Similar (4)81.093.2174.2-12.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.674.3158.9+10.471%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
63-90
63
90
-27
44avg 62
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
80avg 62
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
63-86
63
86
-23
49avg 62
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
84-102
84
102
-18
78avg 62
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
64avg 62
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
88-101
88
101
-13
74avg 62
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
76-99
76
99
-23
49avg 62
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
62avg 62
H20/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
82-112
82
112
-30
68avg 62
A24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
VEF Riga
#3
L
74-122
74
122
-48
57avg 62
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
21-25
9-14
20-29
26-18
27-32
20-18
16-10
16-16
20-19
12-34
15-17
28-27
15-21
28-34
13-20
6-23
25-30
18-24
22-17
31-30
13-26
21-23
23-22
11-35
22-24
19-26
24-14
18-23
29-22
18-26
16-21
22-35
25-27
12-29
23-21
20-26
15-30
19-29
20-37
174.7Avg total
77.1Scored
97.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.0122.0196.0-48.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)74.0122.0196.0-48.00%
Last 10 (10)77.197.6174.7-20.510%
Last 5 (5)80.2105.2185.4-25.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)73.093.4166.5-20.48%
vs Similar (4)80.279.2159.5+1.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -8.1-8.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.6-1.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -8.1-8.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.6-1.6
Tartu UlikoolKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#3
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A11/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#3
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H13/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A20/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H22/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A27/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H29/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A31/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A01/10
Latvia-Estonian League
80.3Avg total
40.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.580.4-0.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.140.879.9-1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)40.440.380.8+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.880.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.483.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.941.480.3-2.542%-
vs Similar (4)40.252.092.2-11.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.536.577.0+4.079%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
33-59
33
59
-26
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H20/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
VEF Riga
#3
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
91.4Avg total
40.3Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.747.084.8-9.327%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.543.181.6-4.643%-
Last 30 away (16)37.150.487.5-13.412%-
Last 10 (10)40.351.191.4-10.830%-
Last 5 (5)41.255.696.8-14.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.047.684.6-10.523%-
vs Similar (4)42.243.585.8-1.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.816.8
45.7%
53.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.6
33.7%
32.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws25.618.0
70.3%
69.8%18.0
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.317.4
47.9%
53.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.7
30.1%
32.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.615.0
69.4%
69.8%15.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tartu Ulikool
WLWLLWWLWL
Keila KK
LLLLLLLLWL
#2
League position
#12
+2.4
Net rating
-25.4
109.0
Offensive rating
92.2
106.6
Defensive rating
117.6
47.8%
Effective FG%
46.7%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
15.4%
Turnover %
20.7%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.7%
3-point %
30.1%
61.0%
Assist %
56.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 92.2Defence106.6 · 117.6Shooting47.8% · 46.7%3-point %33.7% · 30.1%Ball care15.4% · 20.7%Off. rebounds33.7% · 22.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Tartu Ulikool   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tartu Ulikool wins
3
Keila KK wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/25ABC Kalev/Cramo80-68
31/05/25ABC Kalev/Cramo75-91
29/05/25HBC Kalev/Cramo75-72
27/05/25ABC Kalev/Cramo81-88
22/05/25HBC Kalev/Cramo90-92
20/05/25ABC Kalev/Cramo86-80
13/05/25HTal Tech88-59
11/05/25ATal Tech82-87
08/05/25HTal Tech79-69
05/05/25ATal Tech80-86
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/25AVEF Riga74-122
24/04/25ABC Kalev/Cramo82-112
20/04/25HBC Kalev/Cramo81-92
17/04/25ABC Kalev/Cramo76-99
15/03/25ATal Tech88-101
11/03/25AVEF Riga71-94
08/03/25ARigas Zelli84-102
04/03/25HRapla63-86
01/03/25HLatvijas Universitate89-78
26/02/25HTartu Ulikool63-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game68.0-68.0
Point differential+12.0-+12.0
Avg total148.0-148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game74.0-74.0
Allowed / game122.0-122.0
Point differential-48.0--48.0
Avg total196.0-196.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga220100%108.083.0+25.0
2 Valmiera Glass Via220100%88.574.0+14.5
3 Tartu Ulikool110100%80.068.0+12.0
4 Ventspils110100%90.081.0+9.0
5 BK Liepaja110100%91.088.0+3.0
6 Keila Coolbet1010%88.091.0-3.0
7 Tal Tech1010%83.091.0-8.0
8 Rigas Zelli1010%81.090.0-9.0
9 BK Ogre2020%78.590.0-11.5
10 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%68.080.0-12.0
11 Keila KK1010%74.0122.0-48.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tartu Ulikool2123301589
Keila KK1617123883
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