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Tartu Ulikool vs Keila KK Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record6-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#9
Record5-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game81.6
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone
Other2026
Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v Keila KK
16 Jan 2027
TUL v KEIL
upcoming
05 Oct 2025
TUL89
KEIL83
03 Dec 2024
TUL89
KEIL85
12 Dec 2023
TUL77
KEIL73
23 Apr 2023
TUL95
KEIL74
14 Apr 2023
TUL65
KEIL60
14 Oct 2022
TUL69
KEIL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#47
W
95-92
95
92
+3
93avg 81
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila KK
#9
W
89-71
89
71
+18
91avg 81
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
93-99
93
99
-6
90avg 81
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#5
W
65-41
65
41
+24
57avg 81
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Iraklis
#11
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
91avg 81
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 81
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Wurzburg
#13
L
79-113
79
113
-34
no box
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#8
W
70-67
70
67
+3
no box
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
20-22
28-23
23-30
19-19
23-21
26-9
21-22
21-32
30-25
20-22
22-20
15-9
21-15
12-9
17-8
24-22
19-25
28-22
18-20
25-34
15-17
18-9
28-14
20-23
19-31
17-33
23-26
24-30
21-22
15-19
26-22
16-24
24-28
26-23
18-16
18-18
17-17
25-7
10-25
168.9Avg total
84.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.375.3156.7+6.067%
Season at home (4)78.872.8151.5+6.050%
Season away (5)83.477.4160.8+6.080%
Last 10 (10)84.884.1168.9+0.760%
Last 5 (5)81.087.6168.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)84.991.6176.5-6.733%
vs Similar (5)84.474.2158.6+10.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.077.6165.6+10.490%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#2
L
60-90
60
90
-30
43avg 65
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
82-106
82
106
-24
77avg 65
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
75-70
75
70
+5
68avg 65
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
56avg 65
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
81-60
81
60
+21
80avg 65
H20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
70-103
70
103
-33
58avg 65
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
74avg 65
H27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
58-79
58
79
-21
43avg 65
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
A05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-33
10-21
10-17
19-19
30-38
17-22
16-18
19-28
21-24
19-12
20-11
15-23
19-19
21-23
9-26
22-21
22-19
17-20
25-11
17-10
18-25
21-27
14-26
17-25
28-19
24-27
12-11
14-15
17-20
19-21
12-16
10-22
22-17
17-19
27-18
13-12
23-21
18-17
28-15
20-28
155.9Avg total
74.3Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.381.6155.9-7.350%
Season at home (5)74.081.2155.2-7.240%
Season away (5)74.682.0156.6-7.460%
Last 10 (10)74.381.6155.9-7.350%
Last 5 (5)74.880.2155.0-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)77.992.8170.7-14.914%
vs Similar (7)90.787.3178.0+3.471%
vs Weaker (2)79.566.0145.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.7-3.7
Tartu UlikoolKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#47
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila KK
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#5
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Iraklis
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Wurzburg
#13
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
86.6Avg total
41.5Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.086.3-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.243.283.4-2.923%-
Last 30 away (17)43.944.688.6-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.545.186.6-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.848.888.6-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.749.188.9-9.40%-
vs Similar (5)46.838.685.4+8.2100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.039.083.0+5.060%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#2
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
84.8Avg total
40.4Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.146.188.2-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.546.487.9-4.925%-
Last 30 away (14)42.745.888.5-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.444.484.8-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.684.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.747.588.2-6.824%-
vs Similar (7)45.143.088.1+2.157%-
vs Weaker (2)45.542.588.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.9
54.0%
52.5%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.6
33.3%
31.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.513.5
65.9%
68.3%13.5
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.9
47.2%
52.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.6
33.9%
31.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.812.4
62.6%
68.3%12.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tartu Ulikool
WLLLWWWLWW
Keila KK
WWLWLWLWLL
#4
League position
#9
+0.2
Net rating
-15.2
92.0
Offensive rating
79.3
91.8
Defensive rating
94.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
48.7%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
15.9%
Turnover %
20.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.3%
3-point %
33.9%
68.9%
Assist %
56.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.0 · 79.3Defence91.8 · 94.5Shooting52.5% · 48.7%3-point %33.3% · 33.9%Ball care15.9% · 20.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Tartu Ulikool   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Tartu Ulikool wins
1
Keila KK wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AParnu70-67
11/11/26ADziki Warszawa84-91
07/11/26HValmiera Glass Via86-93
02/11/26AWurzburg79-113
31/10/26AVEF Riga86-74
28/10/26HIraklis101-100 OT
24/10/26HTal Tech65-41
21/10/26AAEK Larnaca93-99
17/10/26AKeila KK89-71
14/10/26AMZT Skopje95-92
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ABK Ogre89-81
05/11/26ARigas Juniori79-66
31/10/26HTal Tech58-79
27/10/26HViimsi78-72
24/10/26ARigas Zelli70-103
20/10/26HKeila Coolbet81-60
17/10/26HTartu Ulikool71-89
10/10/26AParnu75-70
03/10/26HValmiera Glass Via82-106
29/09/26AVEF Riga60-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%50%80%
Points / game81.378.883.4
Allowed / game75.372.877.4
Point differential+6.0+6.0+6.0
Avg total156.7151.5160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game74.374.074.6
Allowed / game81.681.282.0
Point differential-7.3-7.2-7.4
Avg total155.9155.2156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool96367%81.375.3+6.0
5 Tal Tech117464%75.872.2+3.6
6 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
7 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
8 Parnu84450%77.477.1+0.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet100100%68.991.7-22.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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