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VEF Riga vs Keila KK Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-71
23-6 30-25 24-18 17-22
Position#1
Record22-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game69.3
VEF Riga 🏆
vs
Keila KK
Position#14
Record4-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game89.9
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Arena Riga
Other2024
Meetings · VEF Riga v Keila KK
29 Sep 2026
VRI90
KEIL60
30 Sep 2025
VRI122
KEIL74
11 Mar 2025
VRI94
KEIL71
25 Nov 2023
VRI81
KEIL60
09 Jan 2023
VRI95
KEIL48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
77-67
77
67
+10
no box
A29/01
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
92-73
92
73
+19
88avg 76
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
73-65
73
65
+8
66avg 76
H04/02
Latvian Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
78-59
78
59
+19
75avg 76
A08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
80-59
80
59
+21
76avg 76
H12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
87avg 76
H15/02
Latvian Cup
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
89-80
89
80
+9
84avg 76
A28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
96-83
96
83
+13
95avg 76
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
85-96
85
96
-11
76avg 76
H05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
86-71
86
71
+15
77avg 76
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
21-13
16-17
17-16
18-27
26-21
31-12
17-13
22-17
16-16
16-21
19-11
32-10
13-16
18-23
15-10
21-17
14-14
23-14
22-14
35-20
25-27
18-15
18-19
30-28
21-17
21-11
17-24
32-17
24-19
17-24
23-23
17-24
19-24
25-23
24-25
28-19
15-15
23-17
20-20
158.6Avg total
85.2Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.669.3152.8+14.388%
Season at home (13)81.865.5147.2+16.392%
Season away (12)85.573.4158.9+12.183%
Last 10 (10)85.273.4158.6+11.890%
Last 5 (5)90.482.2172.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.580.0149.5-10.50%
vs Similar (4)83.281.8165.0+1.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.768.2152.8+16.596%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
54-90
54
90
-36
42avg 62
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
75avg 62
H18/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
L
82-91
82
91
-9
66avg 62
A25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
L
79-85
79
85
-6
70avg 62
A29/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
90-77
90
77
+13
82avg 62
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
71-77
71
77
-6
65avg 62
H22/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
63-90
63
90
-27
44avg 62
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
80avg 62
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
63-86
63
86
-23
49avg 62
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
84-102
84
102
-18
78avg 62
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
14-18
13-31
11-16
27-18
16-24
17-15
24-22
6-27
27-29
25-16
24-19
23-26
23-18
21-18
12-23
21-19
24-23
22-17
23-18
14-26
21-16
22-13
14-22
13-22
21-25
9-14
20-29
26-18
27-32
20-18
16-10
16-16
20-19
12-34
15-17
28-27
15-21
28-34
13-20
161.4Avg total
75.9Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)73.489.9163.3-16.515%
Season at home (14)72.485.8158.1-13.429%
Season away (12)74.794.8169.4-20.10%
Last 10 (10)75.985.5161.4-9.630%
Last 5 (5)74.086.6160.6-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)72.291.9164.0-19.79%
vs Similar (8)76.876.5153.2+0.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
VEF RigaKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A29/01
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H04/02
Latvian Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H15/02
Latvian Cup
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
83.4Avg total
45.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.036.579.5+6.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.436.478.8+6.062%-
Last 30 away (14)43.636.680.3+7.071%-
Last 10 (10)45.238.283.4+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)49.242.091.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.540.074.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (4)38.042.080.0-4.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.435.379.7+9.078%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A29/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H22/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
84.7Avg total
39.8Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.343.880.1-7.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.242.280.5-4.044%-
Last 30 away (14)34.145.579.6-11.414%-
Last 10 (10)39.844.984.7-5.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.484.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.146.082.1-10.023%-
vs Similar (8)36.937.574.4-0.650%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.5
51.5%
51.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.911.4
36.9%
32.3%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.013.8
69.0%
70.6%13.8
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.8
50.9%
51.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.56.6
25.9%
32.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.213.7
75.3%
70.6%13.7
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VEF Riga
WLWWWWWWWW
Keila KK
LLWLLWLLWL
#1
League position
#14
+21.4
Net rating
-12.0
115.9
Offensive rating
94.5
94.5
Defensive rating
106.4
53.3%
Effective FG%
46.2%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
15.0%
Turnover %
19.5%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.9%
3-point %
25.9%
66.2%
Assist %
55.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 94.5Defence94.5 · 106.4Shooting53.3% · 46.2%3-point %36.9% · 25.9%Ball care15.0% · 19.5%Off. rebounds35.4% · 25.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ VEF Riga   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
VEF Riga wins
0
Keila KK wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24Keila KK v VEF Riga78-90
06/03/24Keila KK v VEF Riga72-77
25/11/23VEF Riga v Keila KK81-60
09/01/23VEF Riga v Keila KK95-48
02/12/22Keila KK v VEF Riga76-88
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25ARapla86-71
05/03/25HBC Kalev/Cramo85-96
01/03/25AParnu96-83
28/02/25AKeila Coolbet89-80
15/02/25HVentspils96-81
12/02/25HRigas Zelli80-59
08/02/25ALatvijas Universitate78-59
04/02/25HRigas Zelli73-65
31/01/25HValmiera Glass Via92-73
29/01/25ARigas Zelli77-67
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25ARigas Zelli84-102
04/03/25HRapla63-86
01/03/25HLatvijas Universitate89-78
26/02/25HTartu Ulikool63-90
22/02/25HVentspils71-77
01/02/25HBK Liepaja90-77
29/01/25AViimsi79-85
25/01/25AParnu82-91
18/01/25HKeila Coolbet84-79
14/01/25AValmiera Glass Via54-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %88%92%83%
Points / game83.681.885.5
Allowed / game69.365.573.4
Point differential+14.3+16.3+12.1
Avg total152.8147.2158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%62%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL15%
HomeWLLWL29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %15%29%0%
Points / game73.472.474.7
Allowed / game89.985.894.8
Point differential-16.5-13.4-20.1
Avg total163.3158.1169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga2522388%83.669.3+14.3
2 BC Kalev/Cramo2622485%88.474.5+13.9
3 Rigas Zelli2721678%83.670.3+13.3
4 Valmiera Glass Via26161062%82.076.5+5.6
5 Tartu Ulikool26161062%82.181.0+1.2
6 BK Ogre27161159%81.977.3+4.6
7 Ventspils26141254%89.384.3+5.0
8 BK Liepaja26141254%83.381.4+2.0
9 Rapla26131350%82.582.1+0.4
10 Tal Tech26121446%79.582.8-3.4
11 Parnu26111542%81.284.0-2.9
12 Keila Coolbet2671927%77.685.4-7.8
13 Viimsi2552020%71.986.0-14.1
14 Keila KK2642215%73.489.9-16.5
15 Latvijas Universitate262248%69.285.4-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
VEF Riga2330241794
Keila KK625182271
← all games of the day
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