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VEF Riga vs Keila KK Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 122-74
26-20 30-15 29-19 37-20
Position#3
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
VEF Riga 🏆
vs
Keila KK
Position#12
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025
Meetings · VEF Riga v Keila KK
29 Sep 2026
VRI90
KEIL60
30 Sep 2025
VRI122
KEIL74
11 Mar 2025
VRI94
KEIL71
25 Nov 2023
VRI81
KEIL60
09 Jan 2023
VRI95
KEIL48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#8
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
74avg 81
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
98-69
98
69
+29
96avg 81
A16/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
97-81
97
81
+16
94avg 81
H25/04
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
61avg 81
A28/04
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
110-95
110
95
+15
111avg 81
H01/05
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
108-84
108
84
+24
107avg 81
A04/05
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
91-77
91
77
+14
83avg 81
H13/05
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
114-106
114
106
+8
116avg 81
A17/05
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
89-68
89
68
+21
96avg 81
H19/05
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
93-91
93
91
+2
85avg 81
A22/05
LBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
14-10
16-24
21-15
20-18
31-28
19-7
28-16
16-24
28-16
34-16
19-25
27-15
15-25
18-20
13-20
27-19
23-28
34-28
26-20
21-28
31-21
25-23
31-12
23-23
22-17
18-24
28-13
16-24
37-29
26-23
35-30
23-16
26-18
22-9
18-25
23-29
19-24
32-20
19-18
179.7Avg total
96.2Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)96.283.5179.7+12.790%
Last 5 (5)99.085.2184.2+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)83.281.8165.0+1.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)90.474.7165.1+15.692%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#8
L
71-77
71
77
-6
65avg 62
H22/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
63-90
63
90
-27
44avg 62
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
80avg 62
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
63-86
63
86
-23
49avg 62
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
84-102
84
102
-18
78avg 62
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
64avg 62
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
88-101
88
101
-13
74avg 62
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
76-99
76
99
-23
49avg 62
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
62avg 62
H20/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
82-112
82
112
-30
68avg 62
A24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
21-16
22-13
14-22
13-22
21-25
9-14
20-29
26-18
27-32
20-18
16-10
16-16
20-19
12-34
15-17
28-27
15-21
28-34
13-20
6-23
25-30
18-24
22-17
31-30
13-26
21-23
23-22
11-35
22-24
19-26
24-14
18-23
29-22
18-26
16-21
22-35
25-27
12-29
23-21
169.9Avg total
76.8Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.893.1169.9-16.310%
Last 5 (5)79.699.6179.2-20.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)73.492.4165.8-19.08%
vs Similar (4)80.279.2159.5+1.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
VEF RigaKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A16/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H25/04
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A28/04
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H01/05
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A04/05
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H13/05
LBL
Ventspils
#2
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A17/05
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H19/05
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A22/05
LBL
90.2Avg total
46.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.939.384.2+5.777%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.639.283.8+5.577%-
Last 30 away (17)45.239.484.5+5.876%-
Last 10 (10)46.543.790.2+2.880%-
Last 5 (5)48.245.894.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)38.042.080.0-4.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)46.039.085.0+6.984%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H22/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
33-59
33
59
-26
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H20/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
90.0Avg total
40.3Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.846.984.8-9.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.543.882.3-5.340%-
Last 30 away (15)37.250.187.3-12.913%-
Last 10 (10)40.349.790.0-9.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.455.095.4-14.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.247.584.6-10.323%-
vs Similar (4)42.243.585.8-1.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.0
52.5%
53.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.911.0
35.6%
32.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.414.7
68.7%
69.8%14.7
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.317.7
48.8%
53.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.7
30.4%
32.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.514.3
69.8%
69.8%14.3
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VEF Riga
WWWWWWLWWW
Keila KK
LLLLLLLWLL
#3
League position
#12
+18.4
Net rating
-20.1
115.5
Offensive rating
93.5
97.0
Defensive rating
113.6
52.9%
Effective FG%
47.4%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
15.9%
Turnover %
20.5%
37.4%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.6%
3-point %
30.4%
63.9%
Assist %
55.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 93.5Defence97.0 · 113.6Shooting52.9% · 47.4%3-point %35.6% · 30.4%Ball care15.9% · 20.5%Off. rebounds37.4% · 23.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 10%
■ VEF Riga   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
VEF Riga wins
0
Keila KK wins
DateGameScore
11/03/25VEF Riga v Keila KK94-71
09/11/24Keila KK v VEF Riga78-90
06/03/24Keila KK v VEF Riga72-77
25/11/23VEF Riga v Keila KK81-60
09/01/23VEF Riga v Keila KK95-48
02/12/22Keila KK v VEF Riga76-88
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/25AVentspils93-91
19/05/25HVentspils89-68
17/05/25AVentspils114-106
13/05/25HVentspils91-77
04/05/25AValmiera Glass Via108-84
01/05/25HValmiera Glass Via110-95
28/04/25AValmiera Glass Via73-80
25/04/25HValmiera Glass Via97-81
16/03/25AViimsi98-69
15/03/25AVentspils89-84 OT
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/25ABC Kalev/Cramo82-112
20/04/25HBC Kalev/Cramo81-92
17/04/25ABC Kalev/Cramo76-99
15/03/25ATal Tech88-101
11/03/25AVEF Riga71-94
08/03/25ARigas Zelli84-102
04/03/25HRapla63-86
01/03/25HLatvijas Universitate89-78
26/02/25HTartu Ulikool63-90
22/02/25HVentspils71-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
VEF Riga26302937122
Keila KK2015192074
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