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TCU vs Baylor Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 20 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:30
Scheduled
Position#24
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#6
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.3
Allowed / game59.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · TCU v Baylor
19 Jan 2027
TCU v BAYL
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
TCU69
BAYL63
04 Mar 2025
TCU58
BAYL61
26 Feb 2024
TCU54
BAYL62
11 Feb 2023
TCU68
BAYL72
08 Jan 2022
TCU64
BAYL76
09 Jan 2021
TCU49
BAYL67
29 Feb 2020
TCU75
BAYL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TCU win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#63
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A04/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H07/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
95-88
95
88
+7
H12/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A13/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A19/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A21/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#250
W
98-59
98
59
+39
H03/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
106-54
106
54
+52
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#343
W
100-92 OT
100
92
+8
H11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#258
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-39
37-26
32-29
41-34
43-46
52-42
34-31
39-47
39-24
27-40
34-38
24-43
57-37
41-22
49-28
57-26
41-32
42-51
36-33
40-31
152.6Avg total
81.8Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)95.067.2162.2+27.8100%
Season at home (4)95.067.2162.2+27.8100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.870.8152.6+11.080%
Last 5 (5)87.670.0157.6+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)65.875.2141.0-9.525%
vs Similar (13)77.775.7153.4+2.069%
vs Weaker (13)85.269.5154.7+15.685%
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#292
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H25/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
87-86
87
86
+1
A01/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A05/03
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
101-75
101
75
+26
H07/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A10/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#338
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H03/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
109-53
109
53
+56
H06/11
NCAA
Yale
#322
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-41
40-49
32-40
41-28
41-34
39-53
56-42
31-44
35-35
29-42
53-33
48-42
35-44
44-39
50-32
37-33
58-13
51-40
41-30
49-31
158.9Avg total
84.4Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)95.359.7155.0+35.7100%
Season at home (3)95.359.7155.0+35.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.474.5158.9+9.960%
Last 5 (5)93.267.4160.6+25.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.577.5144.0-11.00%
vs Similar (11)80.778.0158.7+2.745%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.271.1164.2+22.177%
This opponent (TCU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +9.1+9.12nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +0.8+0.8
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +9.1+9.12nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +0.8+0.8
TCUBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#63
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H12/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A13/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A19/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A21/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#250
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H03/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#343
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#258
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/11
NCAA
73.8Avg total
40.1Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.034.670.6+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.833.870.6+3.156%-
Last 30 away (12)34.735.970.6-1.242%-
Last 10 (10)40.133.773.8+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.433.677.0+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)30.038.568.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (13)35.234.169.2+1.154%-
vs Weaker (13)38.634.072.6+4.662%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#292
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A18/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H21/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H25/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A01/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A05/03
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H07/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#338
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H03/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
58-13
58
13
+45
H06/11
NCAA
Yale
#322
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H11/11
NCAA
77.9Avg total
43.5Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.135.076.0+6.150%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.433.476.8+10.161%-
Last 30 away (12)37.537.374.8+0.233%-
Last 10 (10)43.534.477.9+9.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.430.477.8+17.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.233.065.2-0.817%-
vs Similar (11)38.537.475.9+1.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)47.333.881.2+13.569%-
This opponent (TCU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
TCU wins
5
Baylor wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Baylor v TCU90-97
03/01/26TCU v Baylor69-63
05/03/25TCU v Baylor58-61
19/01/25Baylor v TCU71-74
27/02/24TCU v Baylor54-62
27/01/24Baylor v TCU102-105 OT
11/02/23TCU v Baylor68-72
05/01/23Baylor v TCU87-88
19/02/22Baylor v TCU72-62
08/01/22TCU v Baylor64-76
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HWisc. Milwaukee76-64
11/11/26HLouisiana Monroe100-92 OT
07/11/26HSouthern Univ.106-54
03/11/26HLindenwood98-59
21/03/26ADuke58-81
19/03/26AOhio State66-64
13/03/26AKansas73-78
12/03/26HOklahoma State95-88
07/03/26HCincinnati73-63
04/03/26ATexas Tech73-65
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HYale90-61
06/11/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff109-53
03/11/26HNorthwestern St.87-65
10/03/26AArizona State79-83
07/03/26HUtah Utes101-75
05/03/26AHouston64-77
01/03/26AUCF Knights87-86
25/02/26HArizona80-87
21/02/26HArizona State73-68
18/02/26AKansas State74-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TCU
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game95.095.0-
Allowed / game67.267.2-
Point differential+27.8+27.8-
Avg total162.2162.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%25%-
Baylor
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game95.395.3-
Allowed / game59.759.7-
Point differential+35.7+35.7-
Avg total155.0155.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor330100%95.359.7+35.7
2 West Virginia330100%85.753.3+32.3
3 Kansas330100%91.059.7+31.3
4 TCU440100%95.067.2+27.8
5 Texas Tech440100%81.053.8+27.2
6 Arizona State440100%85.563.2+22.2
7 Brigham Young440100%96.575.8+20.8
8 Utah Utes330100%72.761.3+11.3
9 UCF Knights440100%85.877.2+8.5
10 Cincinnati43175%79.063.0+16.0
11 Arizona43175%87.274.0+13.2
12 Houston32167%84.762.3+22.3
13 Oklahoma State32167%92.772.0+20.7
14 Iowa State32167%81.061.3+19.7
15 Kansas State32167%83.376.0+7.3
16 Colorado42250%74.069.5+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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