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TCU vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 69-63
29-23 40-40
Position#77
Record10-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game64.7
TCU 🏆
USA
vs
Baylor
USA
Position#200
Record10-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · TCU v Baylor
19 Jan 2027
TCU v BAYL
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
TCU69
BAYL63
04 Mar 2025
TCU58
BAYL61
26 Feb 2024
TCU54
BAYL62
11 Feb 2023
TCU68
BAYL72
08 Jan 2022
TCU64
BAYL76
09 Jan 2021
TCU49
BAYL67
29 Feb 2020
TCU75
BAYL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TCU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#6
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H15/11
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
81-45
81
45
+36
H20/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H28/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
H06/12
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A07/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H16/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H19/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H21/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
115-64
115
64
+51
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-33
28-34
51-28
30-17
39-44
45-36
41-37
33-26
45-36
31-40
31-37
34-18
31-37
38-28
38-25
34-28
24-28
56-28
55-32
60-32
142.3Avg total
78.8Scored
63.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.364.7145.0+15.677%
Season at home (11)81.464.2145.5+17.273%
Season away (2)74.567.5142.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.863.5142.3+15.380%
Last 5 (5)80.258.6138.8+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)63.871.1134.9-7.233%
vs Similar ◀ (9)69.369.4138.8-0.167%
vs Weaker (9)84.264.0148.2+20.278%
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#255
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H15/11
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H24/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
81-96
81
96
-15
H25/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A27/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
110-88
110
88
+22
H03/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A06/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H10/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
113-56
113
56
+57
H20/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
111-67
111
67
+44
H21/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#684
W
124-61
124
61
+63
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
55-42
39-39
44-36
37-38
34-43
47-53
40-36
51-45
52-47
58-41
34-37
37-41
47-31
50-36
55-30
58-26
40-31
71-36
69-33
55-28
172.2Avg total
97.3Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)95.674.9170.5+20.783%
Season at home (10)98.574.0172.5+24.590%
Season away (2)81.079.5160.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)97.374.9172.2+22.480%
Last 5 (5)103.265.8169.0+37.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.075.8140.8-10.80%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.374.7158.0+8.669%
vs Weaker (12)85.868.9154.8+16.983%
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +10.4+10.42nd half2nd half: +10.2+10.22nd half: +12.0+12.0
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +10.4+10.42nd half2nd half: +10.2+10.22nd half: +12.0+12.0
TCUBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#6
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H15/11
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H20/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A27/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H28/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H06/12
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A07/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H16/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H19/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H30/12
NCAA
72.7Avg total
39.0Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.933.668.5+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.431.869.2+5.670%-
Last 30 away (10)29.837.267.0-7.410%-
Last 10 (10)39.033.772.7+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.831.867.6+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.834.865.7-4.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.732.667.2+2.167%-
vs Weaker (9)40.433.073.4+7.467%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#255
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H15/11
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H24/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H25/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H03/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A06/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H10/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H20/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H21/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#684
W
69-33
69
33
+36
H29/12
NCAA
83.6Avg total
47.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.735.473.2+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.633.874.4+6.878%-
Last 30 away (12)33.437.971.3-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)47.036.683.6+10.480%-
Last 5 (5)49.032.481.4+16.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.439.469.8-9.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.835.571.4+0.362%-
vs Weaker (12)42.833.776.5+9.275%-
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
TCU wins
6
Baylor wins
DateGameScore
05/03/25TCU v Baylor58-61
19/01/25Baylor v TCU71-74
27/02/24TCU v Baylor54-62
27/01/24Baylor v TCU102-105 OT
11/02/23TCU v Baylor68-72
05/01/23Baylor v TCU87-88
19/02/22Baylor v TCU72-62
08/01/22TCU v Baylor64-76
09/01/21TCU v Baylor49-67
29/02/20TCU v Baylor75-72
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HJackson State115-64
21/12/25HFlorida A&M80-56
19/12/25HOral Roberts72-53
16/12/25HIncarnate Word69-65
07/12/25ANorth Texas65-55
06/12/25HNotre Dame85-87 OT
28/11/25HWisconsin74-63
27/11/25AFlorida84-80
20/11/25HUMKC81-45
15/11/25HMichigan63-67
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25HArlington Baptist Patriots124-61
21/12/25HSouthern Univ.111-67
20/12/25HAlcorn State113-56
10/12/25HNorfolk State97-67
06/12/25AMemphis71-78
03/12/25HSacramento State110-88
27/11/25ASan Diego State91-81
25/11/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)81-96
24/11/25HCreighton81-74
15/11/25HTarleton94-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TCU
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %77%73%100%
Points / game80.381.474.5
Allowed / game64.764.267.5
Point differential+15.6+17.2+7.0
Avg total145.0145.5142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%64%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %8%9%0%
Baylor
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12102
Win %83%90%50%
Points / game95.698.581.0
Allowed / game74.974.079.5
Point differential+20.7+24.5+1.5
Avg total170.5172.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%70%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona13130100%90.366.2+24.1
2 Iowa State1413193%88.563.7+24.8
3 Brigham Young1413193%87.167.1+20.0
4 Houston1312192%78.760.0+18.7
5 UCF Knights1211192%88.374.9+13.4
6 Oklahoma State1412286%90.480.0+10.4
7 Baylor1210283%95.674.9+20.7
8 Texas Tech1411379%85.173.6+11.4
9 TCU1310377%80.364.7+15.6
10 Kansas1310377%75.863.3+12.5
11 Colorado1310377%85.977.4+8.5
12 Arizona State139469%80.075.2+4.8
13 West Virginia149564%74.961.6+13.4
14 Kansas State149564%87.478.0+9.4
15 Cincinnati138562%75.865.5+10.3
16 Utah Utes138562%81.178.5+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TCU294069
Baylor234063
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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