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TCU vs Iowa State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 62-55
29-30 33-25
Position#77
Record14-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game72.0
TCU 🏆
USA
vs
Iowa State
USA
Position#34
Record20-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game65.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · TCU v Iowa State
10 Feb 2026
TCU62
IOWA55
20 Jan 2024
TCU72
IOWA73
07 Jan 2023
TCU67
IOWA69
15 Feb 2022
TCU51
IOWA54
09 Feb 2021
TCU79
IOWA76
04 Jan 2020
TCU81
IOWA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TCU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iowa State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H03/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
100-104 OT
100
104
-4
A07/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
H10/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A24/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
61-87
61
87
-26
A01/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-23
40-40
36-41
51-46
27-43
46-43
36-30
34-46
30-38
49-44
37-41
31-24
38-38
59-52
30-43
40-36
25-38
36-49
42-46
42-36
158.5Avg total
77.1Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.972.0150.9+7.061%
Season at home (16)78.767.6146.2+11.169%
Season away (7)79.482.0161.4-2.643%
Last 10 (10)77.181.4158.5-4.340%
Last 5 (5)76.080.6156.6-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)66.973.4140.2-6.525%
vs Similar (10)75.573.9149.4+1.660%
vs Weaker (12)81.868.9150.8+12.967%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#147
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H03/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A08/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H10/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A14/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A17/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H21/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A24/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H30/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
95-61
95
61
+34
A01/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-28
39-31
25-24
45-36
42-40
41-31
23-44
40-40
31-35
39-44
44-26
43-31
51-21
33-50
52-29
45-38
50-21
45-40
37-33
35-36
147.9Avg total
80.1Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.265.7150.9+19.587%
Season at home (14)89.761.4151.1+28.3100%
Season away (9)78.272.3150.6+5.967%
Last 10 (10)80.167.8147.9+12.380%
Last 5 (5)87.065.0152.0+22.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)85.876.5162.2+9.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)84.166.0150.1+18.285%
This opponent (TCU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: +9.5+9.52nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +2.8+2.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: +9.5+9.52nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +2.8+2.8
TCUIowa State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H03/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H10/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A15/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A17/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H29/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A01/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/02
NCAA
71.1Avg total
33.0Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.635.370.9+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.634.171.7+3.560%-
Last 30 away (10)31.737.669.3-5.910%-
Last 10 (10)33.038.171.1-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)34.441.275.6-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)31.637.469.0-5.825%-
vs Similar (10)35.534.069.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (12)38.434.973.3+3.550%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#147
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A08/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A14/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A17/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H21/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A24/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H30/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
50-21
50
21
+29
A01/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H07/02
NCAA
69.7Avg total
39.6Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.131.071.1+9.177%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.229.270.4+12.184%-
Last 30 away (11)38.234.172.3+4.164%-
Last 10 (10)39.630.169.7+9.580%-
Last 5 (5)46.826.072.8+20.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)40.034.074.0+6.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)40.130.570.6+9.677%-
This opponent (TCU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
TCU wins
7
Iowa State wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Iowa State v TCU82-52
10/02/24Iowa State v TCU71-59
20/01/24TCU v Iowa State72-73
16/02/23Iowa State v TCU70-59
07/01/23TCU v Iowa State67-69
16/02/22TCU v Iowa State51-54
22/01/22Iowa State v TCU44-59
27/02/21Iowa State v TCU72-76
10/02/21TCU v Iowa State79-76
26/02/20Iowa State v TCU65-59
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HKansas State84-82
01/02/26AColorado61-87
29/01/26HHouston70-79
24/01/26ABaylor97-90
21/01/26HOklahoma State68-65
17/01/26AUtah Utes79-82
15/01/26ABrigham Young70-76
10/01/26HArizona73-86
07/01/26AKansas100-104 OT
03/01/26HBaylor69-63
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HBaylor72-69
01/02/26AKansas State95-61
30/01/26HColorado97-67
24/01/26AOklahoma State84-71
21/01/26HUCF Knights87-57
17/01/26ACincinnati70-79
14/01/26AKansas63-84
10/01/26HOklahoma State83-71
08/01/26ABaylor70-60
03/01/26HWest Virginia80-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TCU
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW61%
HomeWLWLW69%
AwayLLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23167
Win %61%69%43%
Points / game78.978.779.4
Allowed / game72.067.682.0
Point differential+7.0+11.1-2.6
Avg total150.9146.2161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %9%6%14%
Iowa State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %87%100%67%
Points / game85.289.778.2
Allowed / game65.761.472.3
Point differential+19.5+28.3+5.9
Avg total150.9151.1150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%86%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona2423196%88.868.2+20.6
2 Houston2321291%78.861.6+17.3
3 Iowa State2320387%85.265.7+19.5
4 Kansas2419579%78.067.8+10.2
5 Brigham Young2418675%86.374.0+12.3
6 Texas Tech2317674%82.373.5+8.9
7 UCF Knights2317674%82.477.8+4.6
8 Oklahoma State2316770%84.880.6+4.2
9 West Virginia2415962%70.063.6+6.3
10 TCU2314961%78.972.0+7.0
11 Colorado24141058%81.378.1+3.2
12 Baylor24131154%83.975.9+8.0
13 Cincinnati24121250%71.667.2+4.4
14 Arizona State24121250%78.579.3-0.8
15 Kansas State23101343%81.780.3+1.3
16 Utah Utes2391439%77.980.6-2.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TCU293362
Iowa State302555
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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