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TCU vs Wisc. Milwaukee Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Projected 86-67
Projected total 153.3
Final 76-64
36-33 40-31
Position#24
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game101.3
Allowed / game68.3
TCU 🏆
USA
Vs
95%
■ TCU 95%■ WISC 5%
Pythia win probability
Wisc. Milwaukee
USA
Position#258
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game77.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · TCU v Wisc. Milwaukee
13 Nov 2026
TCU76
WISC64
13 Mar 2012
TCU83
WISC73
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

On 13 November 2026 the NCAA contest sees TCU host Wisc. Milwaukee, with the model designating TCU as the clear favourite because it has gone 3-0 this season, averaging 101.3 points per game while allowing only 68.3, and sits 11th in the league; Wisc. Milwaukee is 2-2, scoring 79.0 and conceding 77.8, positioned 221st. TCU's home slate has been flawless, winning all three home games, including a 100-92 victory over Louisiana Monroe, a 106-54 win against Southern Univ., and a 98-59 triumph over Lindenwood, while its last five games show four wins and one loss. Wisc. Milwaukee's road record is 1-2, with a 72-95 loss to Santa Clara, a 99-48 win over Ripon Red Hawks at home, and an 82-73 victory over Indiana State away, and its last five games tally two wins and three losses. The teams have met once before, with TCU winning 83-73 in 2012. Pythia projects a 86-67 score, giving TCU a 95% chance to win and Wisc. Milwaukee a 5% chance, with a projected total of 153.3 points; the over-156.5 line has a 42% probability of hitting, and the game has a 1% chance of going into overtime. The final game-day fact is that TCU's recent 106-54 rout of Southern Univ. remains the most decisive win of the season.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TCU winWon
95.1%fair 1.05
Best odds1.02
Implied93.6%
Edge+1.5pp
Wisc. Milwaukee winLost
4.9%fair 20.55
Best odds26.00
Implied6.4%
Edge-1.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#292
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A28/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A04/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H07/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
95-88
95
88
+7
H12/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A13/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A19/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A21/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#250
W
98-59
98
59
+39
H03/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
106-54
106
54
+52
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#343
W
100-92 OT
100
92
+8
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-38
36-30
36-39
37-26
32-29
41-34
43-46
52-42
34-31
39-47
39-24
27-40
34-38
24-43
57-37
41-22
49-28
57-26
41-32
42-51
153.1Avg total
81.9Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)101.368.3169.7+33.0100%
Season at home (3)101.368.3169.7+33.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.971.2153.1+10.780%
Last 5 (5)85.670.0155.6+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.875.2141.0-9.525%
vs Similar (14)76.874.2151.0+2.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.970.0155.9+15.983%
This opponent (Wisc. Milwaukee) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wisc. MilwaukeeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IU Indy
#360
W
92-88
92
88
+4
A10/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Oakland
#212
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A22/02
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A05/03
NCAA
USC
#62
L
63-95
63
95
-32
A03/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#68
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A05/11
NCAA
Ripon Red Hawks
#490
W
99-48
99
48
+51
H08/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#192
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-43
53-45
25-31
50-41
48-42
38-49
34-41
36-40
39-35
39-30
24-38
39-46
29-46
34-49
27-46
45-49
47-29
52-19
44-37
38-36
157.2Avg total
78.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.077.8156.8+1.250%
Season at home (1)99.048.0147.0+51.0100%
Season away (3)72.387.7160.0-15.333%
Last 10 (10)78.079.2157.2-1.250%
Last 5 (5)75.879.0154.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)72.079.8151.8-7.833%
vs Similar (10)78.780.4159.1-1.740%
vs Weaker (1)125.070.0195.0+55.0100%
This opponent (TCU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 153.5Actual: Under 153.5
Over 153.5
49.2%
@ 1.50-12.3pp
Under 153.5
50.8%
@ 2.40+12.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 158.5 · main lineActual: Under 158.5
Over 158.5
37.1%
@ 1.93-13.2pp
Under 158.5
62.9%
@ 1.91+13.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.93
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
SBO
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.88
Betano
1.87
Marathon Be
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 163.5Actual: Under 163.5
Over 163.5
26.2%
@ 2.47-11.2pp
Under 163.5
73.8%
@ 1.47+11.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Under
Betano
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

TCU total 87Actual: TCU under 87
Over 87
47.3%
Under 87
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TCU total 91 · main lineActual: TCU under 91
Over 91
31.2%
@ 1.85-19.0pp
Under 91
68.8%
@ 1.87+19.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
TCU total 95Actual: TCU under 95
Over 95
18.2%
Under 95
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisc. Milwaukee total 63Actual: Wisc. Milwaukee over 63
Over 63
65.5%
Under 63
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisc. Milwaukee total 67 · main lineActual: Wisc. Milwaukee under 67
Over 67
49.2%
@ 1.85-1.2pp
Under 67
50.8%
@ 1.88+1.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
Under
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
Wisc. Milwaukee total 71Actual: Wisc. Milwaukee under 71
Over 71
33.1%
Under 71
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread TCU -27.5Actual: Wisc. Milwaukee +27.5
TCU -27.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
WISC +27.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
Best 5 market prices
TCU
Betano
2.35
WISC
Betano
1.52
Spread TCU -24 · main lineActual: Wisc. Milwaukee +24
TCU -24
33.7%
@ 1.96-15.3pp
WISC +24
66.3%
@ 1.88+15.3pp
Best 5 market prices
TCU
Pinnacle
1.96
Marathon Be
1.89
SBO
1.88
WISC
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.82
SBO
1.81
Spread TCU -21Actual: Wisc. Milwaukee +21
TCU -21
44.2%
WISC +21
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
TCU
No market prices yet.
WISC
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +2.0+2.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +2.0+2.0
TCUWisc. Milwaukee
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#292
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H12/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A13/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A19/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A21/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#250
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H03/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#343
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H11/11
NCAA
74.8Avg total
40.6Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 75.5
Last 30 (30)35.834.870.6+1.047%30%
Last 30 at home (17)36.933.870.7+3.153%35%
Last 30 away (13)34.436.070.4-1.638%23%
Last 10 (10)40.634.274.8+6.470%40%
Last 5 (5)44.031.875.8+12.280%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.038.568.5-8.50%0%
vs Similar (14)34.934.369.1+0.650%29%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.834.172.9+4.858%42%
This opponent (Wisc. Milwaukee) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wisc. MilwaukeeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IU Indy
#360
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H15/02
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A21/02
NCAA
Oakland
#212
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A22/02
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A05/03
NCAA
USC
#62
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A03/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#68
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A05/11
NCAA
Ripon Red Hawks
#490
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H08/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#192
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A12/11
NCAA
74.4Avg total
35.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 75.5
Last 30 (30)35.339.174.3-3.830%43%
Last 30 at home (14)37.136.473.5+0.843%43%
Last 30 away (16)33.641.475.1-7.819%44%
Last 10 (10)35.638.874.4-3.240%40%
Last 5 (5)34.239.273.4-5.040%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)33.839.973.8-6.128%33%
vs Similar (10)34.940.074.9-5.120%50%
vs Weaker (1)53.024.077.0+29.0100%100%
This opponent (TCU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: TCU win
TCU win
no forecast
@ 1.06
WISC win
no forecast
@ 9.00
1st half Spread TCU -14.5 · main lineActual: Wisc. Milwaukee +14.5
TCU -14.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
WISC +14.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 75.5 · main lineActual: Under 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
TCU 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: TCU under 44.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Wisc. Milwaukee 1st half total 31.5 · main lineActual: Wisc. Milwaukee over 31.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Spread TCU -15.5Actual: Wisc. Milwaukee +15.5
TCU -15.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
WISC +15.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
1st half Spread TCU -13.5Actual: Wisc. Milwaukee +13.5
TCU -13.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
WISC +13.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 73.5Actual: Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.57
Under
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half Over/Under 77.5Actual: Under 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.12
Under
no forecast
@ 1.70
1st half Spread TCU -16.5Actual: Wisc. Milwaukee +16.5
TCU -16.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
WISC +16.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
1st half Spread TCU -12.5Actual: Wisc. Milwaukee +12.5
TCU -12.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
WISC +12.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Under 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under
no forecast
@ 2.62
1st half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Under 79.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.45
Under
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread TCU -17.5Actual: Wisc. Milwaukee +17.5
TCU -17.5
no forecast
@ 2.75
WISC +17.5
no forecast
@ 1.39
1st half Spread TCU -11.5Actual: Wisc. Milwaukee +11.5
TCU -11.5
no forecast
@ 1.65
WISC +11.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: TCU (regulation)
TCU
no forecast
@ 1.08
Draw
no forecast
@ 34.00
WISC
no forecast
@ 13.50

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
TCU win + total 158.5
🔒 Pro
WISC win + total 158.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: TCU leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
TCU under 9272.4%1.87
Marathon Bet
1.87		----+22.9ppWon
TCU under 92.573.3%1.74
Marathon Bet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.67		--+18.4ppWon
TCU under 93.576.5%1.55
Betano
1.55		----+18.1ppWon
TCU under 95.582.3%1.38
Betano
1.38		----+16.8ppWon
TCU under 94.579.5%1.46
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.45		---+16.6ppWon
TCU under 96.584.8%1.33
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.32		---+15.8ppWon
TCU under 98.589.0%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+13.7ppWon
Under 162.571.8%1.53
Betano
1.53		----+11.5ppWon
Under 163.573.8%1.47
Betano
1.47		----+11.2ppWon
Under 164.575.8%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+11.0ppWon
Under 165.577.7%1.37
Betano
1.37		----+10.6ppWon
Under 168.582.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+6.6ppWon
TCU (regulation)94.3%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+5.3ppWon
Under 173.589.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+5.1ppWon
Under 178.594.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+4.6ppWon
Wisc. Milwaukee over 61.570.3%1.32
Betano
1.32		----+1.8ppWon
Wisc. Milwaukee under 72.571.5%1.31
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.31		---+1.5ppWon
TCU win95.1%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+1.5ppWon
Wisc. Milwaukee under 80.591.1%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+1.5ppWon
Wisc. Milwaukee over 52.592.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+1.3ppWon
Wisc. Milwaukee over 60.573.7%1.27
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.22		---+1.0ppWon
TCU over 71.593.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+0.5ppWon
Wisc. Milwaukee under 78.587.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+0.5ppWon
Wisc. Milwaukee under 76.583.2%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+0.1ppWon
Wisc. Milwaukee under 74.577.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+0.1ppWon
Wisc. Milwaukee under 77.585.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+0.0ppWon
Wisc. Milwaukee over 54.589.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----0.2ppWon
TCU over 72.591.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----0.3ppWon
TCU -3.592.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----1.6ppWon
Wisc. Milwaukee over 56.585.0%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----2.2ppWon
TCU over 74.588.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----2.3ppWon
Wisc. Milwaukee over 58.579.8%1.13
Bet365
1.13		-----2.5ppWon
Wisc. Milwaukee over 57.582.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----2.5ppWon
Over 133.589.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----3.3ppWon
TCU over 76.584.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----4.9ppLost
TCU -8.583.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----6.1ppWon
Over 138.581.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----7.4ppWon
TCU over 78.578.7%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----7.9ppLost
TCU -13.570.1%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----9.4ppLost
TCU over 80.572.4%1.12
Bet365
1.12		-----10.7ppLost
Over 143.572.6%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----11.7ppLost
Under 16271.2%1.66
Marathon Bet
1.66		-----Won
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
TCU wins
0
Wisc. Milwaukee wins
DateGameScore
14/03/12TCU v Wisc. Milwaukee83-73
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HLouisiana Monroe100-92 OT
07/11/26HSouthern Univ.106-54
03/11/26HLindenwood98-59
21/03/26ADuke58-81
19/03/26AOhio State66-64
13/03/26AKansas73-78
12/03/26HOklahoma State95-88
07/03/26HCincinnati73-63
04/03/26ATexas Tech73-65
28/02/26AKansas State77-68
Wisc. Milwaukeelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AIndiana State82-73
08/11/26HRipon Red Hawks99-48
05/11/26ASanta Clara72-95
03/11/26AUSC63-95
05/03/26ADetroit63-84
26/02/26HYoungstown State78-65
22/02/26AOakland70-81
21/02/26ADetroit86-91
15/02/26HWisc. Green Bay75-72
10/02/26AIU Indy92-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TCU
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game101.3101.3-
Allowed / game68.368.3-
Point differential+33.0+33.0-
Avg total169.7169.7-
Over 158.567%67%-
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %33%33%-
Wisc. Milwaukee
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game79.099.072.3
Allowed / game77.848.087.7
Point differential+1.2+51.0-15.3
Avg total156.8147.0160.0
Over 158.525%0%33%
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor330100%95.359.7+35.7
2 TCU330100%101.368.3+33.0
3 West Virginia330100%85.753.3+32.3
4 Kansas330100%91.059.7+31.3
5 Brigham Young440100%96.575.8+20.8
6 Arizona State330100%83.363.7+19.7
7 Texas Tech330100%78.759.3+19.3
8 Utah Utes330100%72.761.3+11.3
9 UCF Knights330100%86.379.7+6.7
10 Houston32167%84.762.3+22.3
11 Oklahoma State32167%92.772.0+20.7
12 Iowa State32167%81.061.3+19.7
13 Arizona32167%89.775.7+14.0
14 Cincinnati32167%73.760.0+13.7
15 Colorado32167%81.070.3+10.7
16 Kansas State32167%83.376.0+7.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wright State330100%91.770.0+21.7
2 Wisc. Green Bay53260%75.266.8+8.4
3 Wisc. Milwaukee42250%79.077.8+1.2
4 Cleveland State42250%75.288.0-12.8
5 Northern Kentucky42250%79.099.8-20.8
6 IPFW31233%77.774.7+3.0
7 Youngstown State31233%74.083.7-9.7
8 Oakland5050%69.095.0-26.0
9 Robert Morris3030%52.780.3-27.7
10 Detroit2020%43.596.5-53.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TCU364076
Wisc. Milwaukee333164
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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