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EBAA Aarhus vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 63-78
19-23 16-19 9-20 19-16
Position#8
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game103.2
vs
Position#5
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game80.2
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 5
Other2019-20
Meetings · EBAA Aarhus v Herlev Wolfpack
27 Oct 2019
EBAA63
HERL78
01 Mar 2019
EBAA88
HERL69
27 Jan 2019
EBAA56
HERL88
16 Dec 2017
EBAA69
HERL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

EBAA Aarhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EBAA AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A08/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
73-99
73
99
-26
A16/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A21/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
64-93
64
93
-29
H25/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
66-101
66
101
-35
A28/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H27/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
64-95
64
95
-31
A03/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
78-115
78
115
-37
H11/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
48-121
48
121
-73
A18/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-12
23-17
11-27
14-12
18-19
16-22
11-18
27-11
18-20
18-33
11-22
26-24
20-25
17-26
19-23
9-15
13-25
12-27
21-26
18-15
21-29
5-27
18-28
22-17
20-25
14-25
23-14
11-18
11-31
20-25
18-20
15-19
19-33
23-29
15-30
21-23
16-25
16-28
10-36
6-32
159.5Avg total
66.2Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)64.5103.2167.8-38.80%
Season at home (2)73.098.5171.5-25.50%
Season away (2)56.0108.0164.0-52.00%
Last 10 (10)66.293.3159.5-27.110%
Last 5 (5)64.8102.8167.6-38.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)68.796.6165.3-27.90%
vs Similar (8)74.676.2150.9-1.650%
vs Weaker (5)84.270.2154.4+14.0100%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
EBAA Aarhus
#6
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A01/03
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H08/03
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A12/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
67-112
67
112
-45
A21/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
75-99
75
99
-24
H25/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
64-91
64
91
-27
A28/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
89-66
89
66
+23
A28/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H05/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
93-96
93
96
-3
A11/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
67-88
67
88
-21
H16/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
19-33
14-14
24-21
19-18
22-16
18-11
11-27
22-13
13-26
17-16
15-18
9-27
25-25
16-36
17-24
16-32
17-24
25-14
17-29
8-35
19-16
19-22
18-18
28-19
15-17
23-18
23-12
14-24
30-13
15-14
20-20
22-16
26-21
33-28
12-31
15-19
13-21
12-25
27-23
159.6Avg total
74.0Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.080.2162.2+1.850%
Season at home (2)73.079.5152.5-6.550%
Season away (2)91.081.0172.0+10.050%
Last 10 (10)74.085.6159.6-11.620%
Last 5 (5)78.482.4160.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.2100.2175.4-24.96%
vs Similar (9)86.483.1169.6+3.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)89.079.2168.2+9.880%
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -7.2-7.2Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: -9.5-9.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -8.7-8.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -3.9-3.9
EBAA AarhusHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EBAA AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A08/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A16/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A21/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
25-52
25
52
-27
H25/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A28/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H27/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A03/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
42-62
42
62
-20
H11/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A18/10
Basketligaen
83.9Avg total
33.6Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.245.282.4-7.927%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.042.678.6-6.629%-
Last 30 away (16)38.347.485.8-9.125%-
Last 10 (10)33.650.383.9-16.710%-
Last 5 (5)33.055.488.4-22.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.650.885.4-16.26%-
vs Similar (8)38.438.877.1-0.450%-
vs Weaker (5)42.635.478.0+7.260%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
EBAA Aarhus
#6
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A01/03
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H08/03
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A12/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A21/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H25/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A28/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A28/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H05/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A11/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H16/10
Basketligaen
79.9Avg total
36.4Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.346.386.6-6.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.046.086.0-6.043%-
Last 30 away (16)40.646.687.1-6.025%-
Last 10 (10)36.443.579.9-7.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.278.2-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.450.186.5-13.66%-
vs Similar (9)44.841.786.4+3.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.642.687.2+2.060%-
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
EBAA Aarhus wins
2
Herlev Wolfpack wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/19ABakken Bears48-121
11/10/19HHorsens78-115
03/10/19ARanders64-95
27/09/19HTeam FOG Naestved68-82
28/03/19ATeam FOG Naestved66-101
25/03/19HTeam FOG Naestved64-93
21/03/19ATeam FOG Naestved65-89
16/03/19AVaerlose73-99
08/03/19AHerlev Wolfpack72-70
03/03/19AVaerlose64-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/19HRanders67-88
11/10/19AVaerlose93-96
05/10/19HSvendborg79-71
28/09/19AAmager89-66
28/03/19AHorsens64-91
25/03/19HHorsens75-99
21/03/19AHorsens67-112
12/03/19AStevnsgade67-73
08/03/19HEBAA Aarhus70-72
01/03/19AEBAA Aarhus69-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

EBAA Aarhus
Basketligaen 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game64.573.056.0
Allowed / game103.298.5108.0
Point differential-38.8-25.5-52.0
Avg total167.8171.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game82.073.091.0
Allowed / game80.279.581.0
Point differential+1.8-6.5+10.0
Avg total162.2152.5172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Horsens440100%98.864.5+34.2
2 Bakken Bears550100%101.871.0+30.8
3 Randers65183%95.076.5+18.5
4 Team FOG Naestved63350%85.877.7+8.2
5 Herlev Wolfpack42250%82.080.2+1.8
6 Copenhagen42250%80.296.5-16.2
7 Vaerlose41325%85.295.2-10.0
8 Svendborg51420%70.884.0-13.2
9 Amager4040%69.5102.5-33.0
10 EBAA Aarhus4040%64.5103.2-38.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
EBAA Aarhus191691963
Herlev Wolfpack2319201678
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