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Iraklis vs AEK Athens Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#9
Record2-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.4
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 8· Ivanofeio Sports Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Iraklis v AEK Athens
21 Nov 2026
IRA v AAT
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
IRA61
AAT82
11 Dec 2021
IRA86
AAT74
12 Dec 2020
IRA72
AAT79
16 Nov 2019
IRA68
AAT77
11 Jan 2014
IRA51
AAT73
05 Jan 2011
IRA68
AAT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iraklis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IraklisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraklis
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#9
L
85-97
85
97
-12
72avg 76
A25/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
34avg 76
H04/10
Basket League
MZT Skopje
#46
W
64-59
64
59
+5
61avg 76
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
82avg 76
A10/10
Basket League
Wurzburg
#15
W
90-73
90
73
+17
95avg 76
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
W
71-53
71
53
+18
67avg 76
H17/10
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#14
L
85-86
85
86
-1
77avg 76
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#7
L
86-94 OT
86
94
-8
80avg 76
A24/10
Basket League
Tartu Ulikool
#33
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
88avg 76
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#2
L
53-63
53
63
-10
40avg 76
H31/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
20-25
18-24
20-27
25-15
11-31
14-18
18-14
26-21
14-18
15-12
9-8
21-19
31-16
18-24
9-20
22-20
17-17
27-12
24-24
12-10
11-19
29-17
19-7
20-19
14-22
21-19
30-26
18-19
23-22
26-18
11-19
22-24
25-19
22-28
20-18
17-19
14-15
11-13
11-16
158.6Avg total
79.1Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.475.8149.2-2.420%
Season at home (3)64.064.7128.7-0.733%
Season away (2)87.592.5180.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)79.179.5158.6-0.430%
Last 5 (5)79.079.4158.4-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.981.6156.4-6.722%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.982.9163.7-2.033%
vs Weaker (6)93.379.3172.7+14.067%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
W
102-99
102
99
+3
102avg 79
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
71avg 79
A28/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
54avg 79
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
91-70
91
70
+21
88avg 79
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
95-93
95
93
+2
95avg 79
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
58-88
58
88
-30
47avg 79
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 79
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#11
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 79
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
L
62-65
62
65
-3
59avg 79
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#13
L
84-95
84
95
-11
69avg 79
A31/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-25
20-21
24-22
26-31
19-26
19-20
19-25
20-23
10-20
20-24
16-22
22-29
18-12
28-22
18-16
27-20
24-24
25-20
17-27
29-22
10-23
11-19
14-22
23-24
22-17
25-21
18-21
19-20
25-25
25-23
12-28
14-27
15-20
14-5
15-22
18-18
16-20
27-26
17-25
24-24
167.8Avg total
79.7Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.879.4155.2-3.640%
Season at home (2)87.574.5162.0+13.0100%
Season away (3)68.082.7150.7-14.70%
Last 10 (10)79.788.1167.8-8.440%
Last 5 (5)72.886.0158.8-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.188.9164.0-13.822%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.081.9164.9+1.162%
vs Weaker (8)89.979.8169.6+10.188%
This opponent (Iraklis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
IraklisAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IraklisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A25/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H04/10
Basket League
MZT Skopje
#46
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A10/10
Basket League
Wurzburg
#15
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H17/10
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A24/10
Basket League
Tartu Ulikool
#33
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H31/10
Basket League
78.1Avg total
39.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.881.8+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.737.275.9+1.438%-
Last 30 away (14)43.644.988.5-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.178.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.237.672.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.643.282.8-3.744%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.340.579.8-1.120%-
vs Weaker (6)47.338.085.3+9.3100%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A28/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#11
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#13
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A31/10
Basket League
81.8Avg total
40.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.383.0+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.142.085.1+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)40.140.480.5-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.381.8-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.877.8-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.441.279.7-2.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.341.282.5+0.254%-
vs Weaker (8)46.041.587.5+4.538%-
This opponent (Iraklis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Iraklistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraklis: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.5
53.1%
50.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.8
30.7%
34.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.814.5
66.5%
71.2%14.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.0
53.0%
50.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.3
33.2%
34.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.216.1
72.5%
71.2%16.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iraklis
LLLLWWLWLL
AEK Athens
LLLWLWWLLW
#10
League position
#9
-2.2
Net rating
-9.2
88.3
Offensive rating
93.6
90.5
Defensive rating
102.8
50.2%
Effective FG%
51.9%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.7%
3-point %
33.2%
59.7%
Assist %
67.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence88.3 · 93.6Defence90.5 · 102.8Shooting50.2% · 51.9%3-point %30.7% · 33.2%Ball care17.5% · 14.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Iraklis   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Iraklis wins
9
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
22/03/26AEK Athens v Iraklis100-87
25/10/25Iraklis v AEK Athens61-82
20/04/22AEK Athens v Iraklis80-74
11/12/21Iraklis v AEK Athens86-74
20/03/21AEK Athens v Iraklis100-97 OT
12/12/20Iraklis v AEK Athens72-79
07/03/20AEK Athens v Iraklis86-61
16/11/19Iraklis v AEK Athens68-77
26/04/14AEK Athens v Iraklis78-69
11/01/14Iraklis v AEK Athens51-73
Iraklislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HPAOK53-63
28/10/26ATartu Ulikool100-101 OT
24/10/26ALefkadas86-94 OT
21/10/26HDziki Warszawa85-86
17/10/26HAS Karditsas71-53
14/10/26HWurzburg90-73
10/10/26APeristeri89-91 OT
06/10/26AMZT Skopje64-59
04/10/26HOlympiacos68-78
25/04/26APromitheas85-97
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AVikos84-95
24/10/26APAOK62-65
21/10/26HAntwerp Giants76-103
17/10/26HMykonos84-79
10/10/26AAris58-88
07/10/26HSalon Vilpas95-93
03/10/26HMaroussi91-70
30/05/26HOlympiacos68-95
28/05/26AOlympiacos77-94
25/05/26HAris102-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iraklis
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game73.464.087.5
Allowed / game75.864.792.5
Point differential-2.4-0.7-5.0
Avg total149.2128.7180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %40%0%100%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game75.887.568.0
Allowed / game79.474.582.7
Point differential-3.6+13.0-14.7
Avg total155.2162.0150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos550100%86.465.2+21.2
2 PAOK550100%78.071.4+6.6
3 Panathinaikos54180%90.274.6+15.6
4 Aris54180%83.870.4+13.4
5 AS Karditsas53260%71.471.2+0.2
6 Peristeri53260%81.088.8-7.8
7 Lefkadas52340%78.880.4-1.6
8 Kolossos Rhodes52340%80.682.6-2.0
9 AEK Athens52340%75.879.4-3.6
10 Iraklis51420%73.475.8-2.4
11 Maroussi51420%74.881.2-6.4
12 Mykonos51420%75.482.4-7.0
13 Vikos51420%76.286.2-10.0
14 Promitheas51420%69.685.8-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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