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Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 28 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record9-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game104.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
5.8/10
Above normal
Position#14
Record7-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game118.2
Allowed / game116.2
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Atlanta Hawks
27 Nov 2026
BOS v ATL
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
BOS109
ATL102
28 Jan 2026
BOS106
ATL117
18 Jan 2025
BOS115
ATL119
12 Nov 2024
BOS116
ATL117
07 Feb 2024
BOS125
ATL117
26 Nov 2023
BOS113
ATL103
25 Apr 2023
BOS117
ATL119
18 Apr 2023
BOS119
ATL106
15 Apr 2023
BOS112
ATL99
09 Apr 2023
BOS120
ATL114
01 Mar 2022
BOS107
ATL98
13 Feb 2022
BOS105
ATL95
19 Feb 2021
BOS121
ATL109
17 Feb 2021
BOS114
ATL122
07 Feb 2020
BOS112
ATL107
03 Jan 2020
BOS109
ATL106
16 Mar 2019
BOS129
ATL120
14 Dec 2018
BOS129
ATL108
08 Apr 2018
BOS106
ATL112
02 Feb 2018
BOS119
ATL110
27 Feb 2017
BOS98
ATL114
28 Apr 2016
BOS92
ATL104
24 Apr 2016
BOS104
ATL95
22 Apr 2016
BOS111
ATL103
18 Dec 2015
BOS101
ATL109
13 Nov 2015
BOS106
ATL93
11 Feb 2015
BOS89
ATL88
14 Jan 2015
BOS91
ATL105
26 Feb 2014
BOS115
ATL104
31 Dec 2013
BOS91
ATL92
29 Mar 2013
BOS118
ATL107
08 Mar 2013
BOS107
ATL102
10 May 2012
BOS83
ATL80
06 May 2012
BOS101
ATL79
04 May 2012
BOS90
ATL84
11 Apr 2012
BOS88
ATL86
16 Dec 2010
BOS102
ATL90
11 Jan 2010
BOS96
ATL102
13 Nov 2009
BOS86
ATL97
03 Apr 2009
BOS104
ATL92
12 Nov 2008
BOS103
ATL102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#13
W
107-103
107
103
+4
96avg 107
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
134-99
134
99
+35
127avg 107
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
119avg 107
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
125-111
125
111
+14
118avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
108-97
108
97
+11
103avg 107
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
93-109
93
109
-16
78avg 107
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
109-102
109
102
+7
102avg 107
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
119-80
119
80
+39
123avg 107
A07/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
117-97
117
97
+20
109avg 107
A09/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
123-101
123
101
+22
117avg 107
A11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
24-22
33-24
24-30
33-21
33-33
39-21
29-24
26-31
30-30
30-21
31-35
44-25
34-24
21-25
26-37
24-23
31-27
22-24
31-23
29-29
21-28
23-25
20-27
28-14
34-27
25-38
22-23
40-20
30-19
26-18
23-23
25-27
33-18
33-29
26-23
30-23
32-28
29-31
32-19
218.3Avg total
116.0Scored
102.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)115.7104.0219.7+11.782%
Season at home (5)120.0107.8227.8+12.2100%
Season away (6)112.2100.8213.0+11.367%
Last 10 (10)116.0102.3218.3+13.790%
Last 5 (5)112.297.8210.0+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)109.3107.9217.1+1.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)115.7104.8220.5+10.974%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#7
L
114-121
114
121
-7
107avg 109
H25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
110-120
110
120
-10
92avg 109
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
117-129
117
129
-12
111avg 109
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
114-111
114
111
+3
113avg 109
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
99-121
99
121
-22
32avg 109
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
108-104
108
104
+4
92avg 109
A03/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
120-105
120
105
+15
118avg 109
A05/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
139-132
139
132
+7
139avg 109
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
124-121
124
121
+3
108avg 109
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
114-124
114
124
-10
109avg 109
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
22-29
33-33
33-29
35-32
31-31
19-28
25-29
25-34
31-35
29-28
32-32
16-28
30-16
43-38
25-29
18-33
30-30
26-29
25-29
37-29
31-27
19-23
21-25
37-32
31-29
25-24
27-20
28-32
38-27
39-35
34-38
27-37
39-33
22-25
36-26
22-31
35-37
33-27
24-29
234.7Avg total
115.9Scored
118.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)118.2116.2234.4+2.158%
Season at home (6)120.3123.0243.3-2.750%
Season away (6)116.2109.3225.5+6.867%
Last 10 (10)115.9118.8234.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)121.0117.2238.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)106.8116.9223.8-10.131%
vs Similar (6)121.2114.8236.0+6.367%
vs Weaker (11)125.2113.2238.4+12.082%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
Boston CelticsAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#13
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
70-39
70
39
+31
A07/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A09/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A11/11
NBA
110.3Avg total
60.7Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.851.5110.3+7.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.052.9110.9+5.150%-
Last 30 away (14)59.849.9109.7+9.971%-
Last 10 (10)60.749.6110.3+11.180%-
Last 5 (5)60.446.6107.0+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)54.052.6106.6+1.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)60.351.2111.5+9.165%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#7
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A03/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A05/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H10/11
NBA
120.1Avg total
58.9Scored
61.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.058.5118.5+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.658.4115.0-1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)63.458.6122.0+4.867%-
Last 10 (10)58.961.2120.1-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)65.062.8127.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)54.660.0114.6-5.438%-
vs Similar (6)61.756.2117.8+5.583%-
vs Weaker (11)65.558.0123.5+7.573%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.6
53.4%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.915.6
35.5%
35.0%46.8
🏀 Free throws23.017.3
75.2%
76.8%17.3
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 114.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.928.8
55.5%
54.0%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.313.3
32.2%
35.0%39.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.5
76.4%
76.8%16.5
They take 93.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWLWWWWW
Atlanta Hawks
LWWWWLWLLL
#2
League position
#14
+4.5
Net rating
-9.0
111.2
Offensive rating
109.8
106.7
Defensive rating
118.7
53.3%
Effective FG%
52.3%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
13.3%
Turnover %
14.1%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.5%
3-point %
32.2%
64.0%
Assist %
69.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 109.8Defence106.7 · 118.7Shooting53.3% · 52.3%3-point %35.5% · 32.2%Ball care13.3% · 14.1%Off. rebounds26.4% · 26.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Boston Celtics wins
6
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APhiladelphia 76ers123-101
09/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks117-97
07/11/26ACharlotte Hornets119-80
05/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks109-102
03/11/26AHouston Rockets93-109
01/11/26AOrlando Magic108-97
30/10/26HChicago Bulls125-111
27/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-124 OT
26/10/26HChicago Bulls134-99
23/10/26HNew York Knicks107-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HLos Angeles Lakers114-124
08/11/26HBrooklyn Nets124-121
07/11/26HWashington Wizards139-132
05/11/26AWashington Wizards120-105
03/11/26AIndiana Pacers108-104
31/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans99-121
30/10/26HCleveland Cavaliers114-111
28/10/26HMiami Heat117-129
27/10/26AHouston Rockets110-120
25/10/26HHouston Rockets114-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game115.7120.0112.2
Allowed / game104.0107.8100.8
Point differential+11.7+12.2+11.3
Avg total219.7227.8213.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%40%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %9%20%0%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%50%67%
Points / game118.2120.3116.2
Allowed / game116.2123.0109.3
Point differential+2.1-2.7+6.8
Avg total234.4243.3225.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1210283%122.1114.4+7.7
2 Boston Celtics119282%115.7104.0+11.7
3 San Antonio Spurs119282%118.7107.0+11.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
6 Golden State Warriors118373%120.4111.2+9.2
7 Houston Rockets118373%115.5106.4+9.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
9 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies107370%117.9110.8+7.1
11 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 New York Knicks106460%110.6102.3+8.3
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 Denver Nuggets95456%113.6112.8+0.8
16 Toronto Raptors105550%116.6113.3+3.3
17 Cleveland Cavaliers115645%116.5115.0+1.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans114736%117.5122.4-4.9
21 Washington Wizards114736%108.1113.4-5.3
22 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
23 Orlando Magic103730%107.0114.6-7.6
24 Indiana Pacers113827%111.4115.2-3.8
25 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
26 Brooklyn Nets102820%106.7115.7-9.0
27 Chicago Bulls91811%112.7129.3-16.7
28 Utah Jazz111109%106.5117.6-11.2
29 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
30 Milwaukee Bucks111109%106.3121.2-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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