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FMP Beograd vs Cedevita Olimpija Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record2-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
3.5/10
Below normal
Position#5
Record4-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 11· Belgrade
Domestic2026
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Cedevita Olimpija
12 Dec 2026
FBE v COL
upcoming
22 Sep 2024
FBE75
COL62
11 Nov 2023
FBE84
COL96
06 May 2023
FBE102
COL96
11 Feb 2023
FBE79
COL86
22 Apr 2022
FBE75
COL77
30 Dec 2020
FBE91
COL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita Olimpija win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
69-49
69
49
+20
56avg 71
H06/04
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
65-76
65
76
-11
54avg 71
A14/04
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
L
84-92
84
92
-8
76avg 71
H20/04
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
82-88
82
88
-6
71avg 71
H25/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#3
W
90-89
90
89
+1
81avg 71
H04/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
79-68
79
68
+11
70avg 71
A11/10
ABA League
Siroki Brijeg
#9
L
66-78
66
78
-12
47avg 71
H17/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
87-95
87
95
-8
67avg 71
A23/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
87-96
87
96
-9
82avg 71
A31/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
L
73-76
73
76
-3
no box
H07/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-13
16-11
27-15
19-10
20-13
16-28
13-27
16-8
24-19
26-29
17-20
17-24
24-13
22-29
17-25
19-21
23-18
27-23
18-24
22-24
21-17
24-21
19-10
15-20
22-25
18-17
10-17
16-19
19-32
28-21
16-18
24-24
18-27
27-27
18-20
24-22
14-28
24-16
23-15
12-17
158.9Avg total
78.2Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.383.7164.0-3.333%
Season at home (3)76.381.0157.3-4.733%
Season away (3)84.386.3170.7-2.033%
Last 10 (10)78.280.7158.9-2.530%
Last 5 (5)78.482.6161.0-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)86.495.1181.6-8.714%
vs Similar (17)79.979.8159.8+0.141%
vs Weaker (6)85.281.7166.8+3.567%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Siroki Brijeg
#9
L
69-70
69
70
-1
56avg 81
A10/10
ABA League
Rigas Zelli
#17
L
79-89
79
89
-10
72avg 81
A14/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#11
W
93-81
93
81
+12
91avg 81
A17/10
ABA League
Le Mans
#12
L
66-84
66
84
-18
49avg 81
H21/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#4
L
81-95
81
95
-14
65avg 81
H24/10
ABA League
Aris
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
54avg 81
A28/10
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#16
W
96-87
96
87
+9
88avg 81
H31/10
ABA League
Tortona
#15
W
73-71 OT
73
71
+2
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A07/11
ABA League
Rostock
#28
W
88-71
88
71
+17
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
18-20
16-11
16-23
18-27
22-29
19-16
20-17
23-23
20-18
25-17
25-23
16-22
22-21
14-28
14-13
13-21
21-28
26-26
21-20
19-21
20-17
18-19
16-21
27-18
27-27
20-18
22-24
16-20
11-16
17-14
21-15
18-21
30-18
16-19
21-13
24-21
26-20
20-19
18-11
160.0Avg total
80.3Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.580.0165.5+5.567%
Season at home (3)88.786.0174.7+2.767%
Season away (3)82.374.0156.3+8.367%
Last 10 (10)80.379.7160.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)83.075.6158.6+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.282.2155.4-9.00%
vs Similar (12)85.585.3170.8+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.278.2166.3+10.069%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
FMP BeogradCedevita Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H06/04
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A14/04
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H20/04
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H25/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H04/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A11/10
ABA League
Siroki Brijeg
#9
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A23/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A31/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H07/11
ABA League
84.7Avg total
42.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.843.084.8-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.740.383.1+2.467%-
Last 30 away (15)40.845.786.5-4.920%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.784.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.046.289.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)42.346.989.1-4.629%-
vs Similar (17)40.642.282.8-1.635%-
vs Weaker (6)44.540.885.3+3.783%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siroki Brijeg
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A10/10
ABA League
Rigas Zelli
#17
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A14/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A17/10
ABA League
Le Mans
#12
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H21/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#4
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H24/10
ABA League
Aris
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A28/10
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#16
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H31/10
ABA League
Tortona
#15
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H04/11
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A07/11
ABA League
Rostock
#28
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A10/11
Eurocup
83.4Avg total
41.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.184.8+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.043.585.5-1.538%-
Last 30 away (17)43.240.984.2+2.359%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.483.4-1.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.883.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.440.878.2-3.420%-
vs Similar (12)41.244.185.2-2.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.240.786.8+5.577%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.3
53.3%
57.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.7
28.6%
33.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.415.1
74.0%
73.2%15.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.1
51.1%
57.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.4
29.7%
33.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws25.618.7
73.0%
73.2%18.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLLLWWLLLW
Cedevita Olimpija
WWWWLLLWLL
#16
League position
#5
+1.0
Net rating
-2.9
93.5
Offensive rating
92.3
92.5
Defensive rating
95.2
48.9%
Effective FG%
48.5%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
12.9%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.41
28.6%
3-point %
29.7%
51.1%
Assist %
49.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 92.3Defence92.5 · 95.2Shooting48.9% · 48.5%3-point %28.6% · 29.7%Ball care12.9% · 15.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Cedevita Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBuducnost73-76
31/10/26ACedevita Olimpija87-96
23/10/26ABorac Mozzart87-95
17/10/26HSiroki Brijeg66-78
11/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto79-68
04/10/26HCrvena zvezda90-89
25/04/26HPerspektiva Ilirija82-88
20/04/26HVienna Basket84-92
14/04/26AZadar65-76
06/04/26HSpartak Subotica69-49
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ARostock88-71
07/11/26ABorac Mozzart85-71
04/11/26HTortona73-71 OT
31/10/26HFMP Beograd96-87
28/10/26AAris73-78
24/10/26HBuducnost81-95
21/10/26HLe Mans66-84
17/10/26AIgokea93-81
14/10/26ARigas Zelli79-89
10/10/26ASiroki Brijeg69-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game80.376.384.3
Allowed / game83.781.086.3
Point differential-3.3-4.7-2.0
Avg total164.0157.3170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cedevita Olimpija
ABA League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game85.588.782.3
Allowed / game80.086.074.0
Point differential+5.5+2.7+8.3
Avg total165.5174.7156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan660100%90.376.3+14.0
2 Dubai660100%94.281.7+12.5
3 Crvena zvezda65183%93.283.5+9.7
4 Buducnost65183%87.778.2+9.5
5 Cedevita Olimpija64267%85.580.0+5.5
6 Spartak Subotica64267%84.380.5+3.8
7 KK Bosna64267%90.587.3+3.2
8 Slovan Bratislava63350%82.284.5-2.3
9 Siroki Brijeg63350%83.586.0-2.5
10 Borac Mozzart63350%84.790.2-5.5
11 Igokea62433%82.883.2-0.3
12 Cluj-Napoca62433%87.288.8-1.7
13 Zadar62433%74.276.2-2.0
14 Vienna Basket62433%80.583.2-2.7
15 Cibona62433%87.090.0-3.0
16 FMP Beograd62433%80.383.7-3.3
17 Perspektiva Ilirija62433%76.080.0-4.0
18 Mega Basket62433%82.392.7-10.3
19 KK Krka Novo mesto61517%73.280.8-7.7
20 Studentski Centar6060%81.093.8-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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