PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Verona vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 75-72
21-21 23-17 14-15 17-19
Position#10
Record0-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game101.0
Verona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game79.0
ItalyLega ARound 2· PalaOlimpia
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Verona v Olimpia Milano
05 Oct 2026
VER75
MIL72
16 Apr 2023
VER61
MIL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Verona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
70-77
70
77
-7
56avg 73
A12/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
77-69
77
69
+8
66avg 73
A14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
60-59
60
59
+1
56avg 73
A20/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
75-74 OT
75
74
+1
68avg 73
A22/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
82avg 73
H25/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
80avg 73
H07/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
68avg 73
H09/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
70-82
70
82
-12
63avg 73
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
83-75
83
75
+8
77avg 73
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#14
L
93-101
93
101
-8
77avg 73
A27/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
16-24
13-14
29-21
15-22
24-14
21-23
17-10
14-9
12-22
17-13
17-15
17-26
16-10
18-18
17-14
27-22
20-13
24-28
15-10
22-24
29-18
20-18
13-14
17-20
23-17
13-21
31-18
20-21
21-20
11-27
18-14
30-16
16-28
15-17
22-14
24-30
24-22
27-24
18-25
154.2Avg total
78.2Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)93.0101.0194.0-8.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)93.0101.0194.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)78.276.0154.2+2.270%
Last 5 (5)82.881.6164.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (17)78.672.7151.3+5.976%
vs Weaker (13)83.475.5158.9+7.862%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
93-68
93
68
+25
85avg 82
H03/06
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
91-86
91
86
+5
89avg 82
H05/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 82
H11/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
92-79
92
79
+13
95avg 82
H13/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
97-109
97
109
-12
82avg 82
A16/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 82
A18/06
Lega A
Partizan
#11
L
76-92
76
92
-16
71avg 82
A25/09
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
80avg 82
H27/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#15
W
87-85
87
85
+2
75avg 82
H29/09
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
L
76-86
76
86
-10
68avg 82
A02/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
25-25
23-10
26-15
23-15
23-23
22-19
23-29
24-15
30-22
25-25
21-18
31-22
31-17
18-25
12-15
26-25
24-25
19-36
28-23
19-20
26-20
23-16
18-16
16-20
20-22
22-21
18-29
17-19
21-22
19-23
26-15
30-20
17-21
19-26
21-18
16-26
20-18
24-21
16-21
171.7Avg total
88.1Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.079.0162.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)83.079.0162.0+4.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.183.6171.7+4.570%
Last 5 (5)81.682.8164.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.891.0174.8-7.225%
vs Similar (8)86.690.2176.9-3.625%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.081.4171.4+8.678%
This opponent (Verona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
VeronaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A12/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A20/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A22/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H25/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H07/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H09/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#14
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/09
Lega A
79.5Avg total
39.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.678.6+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.635.678.2+6.979%-
Last 30 away (16)39.739.379.0+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.679.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.243.288.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (17)39.236.775.9+2.565%-
vs Weaker (13)43.538.882.2+4.754%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H03/06
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H05/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H11/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H13/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A16/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A18/06
Lega A
Partizan
#11
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A25/09
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H27/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H29/09
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A02/10
Euroleague
87.3Avg total
45.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.642.388.0+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.140.589.6+8.686%-
Last 30 away (16)42.643.986.6-1.344%-
Last 10 (10)45.841.587.3+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.682.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.545.290.8+0.250%-
vs Similar (8)42.047.289.2-5.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.339.586.8+7.878%-
This opponent (Verona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.316.5
49.5%
54.3%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.0
35.4%
34.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.712.2
65.2%
74.6%12.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.022.2
54.1%
54.3%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.410.1
39.8%
34.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.013.4
74.4%
74.6%13.4
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Verona
LWLWWWWWWL
Olimpia Milano
LWWLWLWWWW
#10
League position
#3
+3.4
Net rating
+6.3
97.4
Offensive rating
104.5
94.0
Defensive rating
98.2
51.2%
Effective FG%
56.2%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
11.8%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.4%
3-point %
39.8%
56.0%
Assist %
57.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 104.5Defence94.0 · 98.2Shooting51.2% · 56.2%3-point %35.4% · 39.8%Ball care11.8% · 13.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Verona   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Verona wins
2
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
16/04/23Verona v Olimpia Milano61-83
30/10/22Olimpia Milano v Verona78-54
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26ATortona93-101
14/06/26ARimini83-75
12/06/26ARimini70-82
09/06/26HRimini84-76
07/06/26HRimini84-74
25/05/26HFortitudo Bologna86-73
22/05/26AFortitudo Bologna75-74 OT
20/05/26AFortitudo Bologna60-59
14/05/26ABrindisi77-69
12/05/26ABrindisi70-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/26ABaskonia76-86
29/09/26HVirtus Bologna87-85
27/09/26HTrieste83-79
25/09/26APartizan76-92
18/06/26AVenezia86-72
16/06/26AVenezia97-109
13/06/26HVenezia92-79
11/06/26HVenezia100-80
05/06/26HBrescia91-86
03/06/26HBrescia93-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Verona
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game93.0-93.0
Allowed / game101.0-101.0
Point differential-8.0--8.0
Avg total194.0-194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.083.0-
Allowed / game79.079.0-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total162.0162.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna220100%94.079.0+15.0
2 Basket Napoli220100%96.584.0+12.5
3 Udine220100%86.073.5+12.5
4 Treviso220100%101.092.0+9.0
5 Venezia220100%86.077.5+8.5
6 Olimpia Milano110100%83.079.0+4.0
7 BC Roma21150%101.089.5+11.5
8 Trento21150%86.585.5+1.0
9 Varese21150%77.083.5-6.5
10 Tortona21150%85.5100.5-15.0
11 Trieste2020%80.585.0-4.5
12 Reggiana2020%85.591.0-5.5
13 Cantu2020%78.585.0-6.5
14 Verona1010%93.0101.0-8.0
15 Maxima Roma2020%82.096.0-14.0
16 Scafati2020%70.086.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Verona2123141775
Olimpia Milano2117151972
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.