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Trieste vs Verona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 108-99
23-27 28-26 28-24 29-22
Position#10
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game81.8
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Verona
Italy
Position#7
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game84.0
ItalyLega ARound 5· PalaTrieste
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Trieste v Verona
25 Oct 2026
TRI108
VER99
30 Dec 2023
TRI88
VER85
30 Apr 2023
TRI85
VER77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best odds1.63
Implied61.0%
Edge-
Verona winLost
-no forecast
Best odds2.50
Implied39.0%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
L
89-94
89
94
-5
H10/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
92-90
92
90
+2
A16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A18/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
75-90
75
90
-15
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#9
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
92-72
92
72
+20
H18/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
22-24
20-21
25-20
28-24
31-27
13-24
20-15
19-21
23-28
21-19
19-22
18-22
21-22
15-17
26-23
17-16
18-22
28-18
20-21
16-27
23-20
12-20
24-23
19-17
22-21
23-19
15-26
15-21
27-18
20-20
20-28
15-19
23-21
20-21
26-24
20-18
24-20
23-15
25-19
169.0Avg total
83.8Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.281.8166.0+2.525%
Season at home (2)87.079.5166.5+7.550%
Season away (2)81.584.0165.5-2.50%
Last 10 (10)83.885.2169.0-1.430%
Last 5 (5)82.483.4165.8-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.186.9167.0-6.925%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.783.7169.3+2.058%
vs Weaker (2)88.078.5166.5+9.550%
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
75-74 OT
75
74
+1
A22/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H25/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H07/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H09/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#14
L
93-101
93
101
-8
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H18/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
16-10
18-18
17-14
27-22
20-13
24-28
15-10
22-24
29-18
20-18
13-14
17-20
23-17
13-21
31-18
20-21
21-20
11-27
18-14
30-16
16-28
15-17
22-14
24-30
24-22
27-24
18-25
21-21
23-17
14-15
17-19
24-25
28-22
18-25
19-10
29-21
28-25
16-20
21-15
162.3Avg total
83.3Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.884.0171.8+3.875%
Season at home (2)84.576.5161.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)91.091.5182.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)83.379.0162.3+4.380%
Last 5 (5)86.882.2169.0+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.072.0147.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.573.9153.5+5.676%
vs Weaker (12)84.275.8160.0+8.367%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166Actual: Over 166
Over 166
no forecast
@ 1.50
Under 166
no forecast
@ 2.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Marathon Be
1.49
Under
Bet365
2.50
Over/Under 171.25 · main lineActual: Over 171.25
Over 171.25
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under 171.25
no forecast
@ 1.82
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.82
Over/Under 176Actual: Over 176
Over 176
no forecast
@ 2.35
Under 176
no forecast
@ 1.54
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.35
Under
Bet365
1.54
Marathon Be
1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Trieste total 82.5Actual: Trieste over 82.5
Over 82.5
no forecast
@ 1.38
Under 82.5
no forecast
@ 2.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.38
1xBet
1.34
Under
Bet365
2.80
Betano
2.62
1xBet
2.55
Trieste total 86.5 · main lineActual: Trieste over 86.5
Over 86.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 86.5
no forecast
@ 1.96
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.75
Marathon Be
1.75
Under
Marathon Be
1.96
Betano
1.93
BetVictor
1.91
Bet365
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
Trieste total 90.5Actual: Trieste over 90.5
Over 90.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
Under 90.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.21
Under
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.44
Verona total 79.5Actual: Verona over 79.5
Over 79.5
no forecast
@ 1.38
Under 79.5
no forecast
@ 2.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.38
1xBet
1.35
Under
Bet365
2.80
Betano
2.62
1xBet
2.51
Verona total 83.5 · main lineActual: Verona over 83.5
Over 83.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 83.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Be
1.80
Betano
1.75
WilliamHill
1.70
Under
WilliamHill
2.05
Betano
1.93
Marathon Be
1.92
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Verona total 87.5Actual: Verona over 87.5
Over 87.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
Under 87.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.30
WilliamHill
2.30
1xBet
2.24
Under
WilliamHill
1.57
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.43

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Trieste -6.5Actual: Trieste -6.5
TRI -6.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
VER +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.58
Best 5 market prices
TRI
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.26
Marathon Be
2.24
Bet365
2.22
VER
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.57
Marathon Be
1.53
1xBet
1.46
Spread Trieste -3.5 · main lineActual: Trieste -3.5
TRI -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
VER +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
Best 5 market prices
TRI
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
1xBet
1.88
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.88
VER
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.90
1xBet
1.88
Marathon Be
1.88
SBO
1.84
Spread Trieste -1Actual: Trieste -1
TRI -1
no forecast
@ 1.61
VER +1
no forecast
@ 2.35
Best 5 market prices
TRI
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathon Be
1.60
Bet365
1.54
VER
Bet365
2.35
Pinnacle
2.30
Marathon Be
2.25

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.8+3.8
TriesteVerona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H10/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H18/10
Lega A
86.0Avg total
42.3Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 86.5
Last 30 (30)42.443.385.8-0.943%37%
Last 30 at home (15)42.042.784.7-0.740%33%
Last 30 away (15)42.944.086.9-1.147%40%
Last 10 (10)42.343.786.0-1.440%30%
Last 5 (5)40.840.481.2+0.460%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.344.485.8-3.131%38%
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.242.686.8+1.658%42%
vs Weaker (2)41.039.080.0+2.050%0%
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A22/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H25/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H07/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H09/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#14
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H18/10
Lega A
87.7Avg total
45.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 86.5
Last 30 (30)42.738.581.2+4.267%30%
Last 30 at home (15)43.836.780.5+7.180%20%
Last 30 away (15)41.640.381.9+1.353%40%
Last 10 (10)45.941.887.7+4.170%50%
Last 5 (5)49.445.494.8+4.080%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.038.082.0+6.0100%0%
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.237.577.7+2.665%18%
vs Weaker (12)46.239.986.1+6.267%50%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Verona win
TRI win
no forecast
@ 1.75
VER win
no forecast
@ 2.30
1st half Spread Trieste -1 · main lineActual: Verona +1
TRI -1
no forecast
@ 1.92
VER +1
no forecast
@ 1.99
1st half Over/Under 86.5 · main lineActual: Over 86.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.05
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Trieste 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Trieste over 43.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.89
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
Verona 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Verona over 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 2.00
1st half: TRI + total 85.5
TRI & over
no forecast
@ 3.20
TRI & under
no forecast
@ 3.20
1st half: Draw + total 85.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half: VER + total 85.5
VER & over
no forecast
@ 4.50
VER & under
no forecast
@ 4.50
1st half Over/Under 85.25Actual: Over 85.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.79
1st half Spread Trieste -2Actual: Verona +2
TRI -2
no forecast
@ 2.09
VER +2
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread Trieste 0Actual: Verona 0
TRI 0
no forecast
@ 1.71
VER 0
no forecast
@ 2.06
1st half Over/Under 88.5Actual: Over 88.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.50
Under
no forecast
@ 1.60
1st half Over/Under 84Actual: Over 84
Over
no forecast
@ 1.75
Under
no forecast
@ 2.09
1st half Spread Trieste -3Actual: Verona +3
TRI -3
no forecast
@ 2.12
VER +3
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread Trieste +1Actual: Verona -1
TRI +1
no forecast
@ 1.61
VER -1
no forecast
@ 2.32
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Trieste (regulation)
TRI
no forecast
@ 1.77
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
VER
no forecast
@ 2.35

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
TRI win + total 171.5
🔒 Pro
VER win + total 171.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: TRI leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: VER leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (TRI:VER): TRI wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.8
55.6%
54.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.3
33.0%
34.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.715.3
77.7%
74.4%15.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.716.9
53.3%
54.3%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.7
35.4%
34.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.913.5
64.6%
74.4%13.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WLLLLWLLWL
Verona
WWWLWLWWWW
#10
League position
#7
-1.4
Net rating
+6.9
99.5
Offensive rating
101.3
100.9
Defensive rating
94.4
52.7%
Effective FG%
53.2%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
13.2%
Turnover %
11.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.0%
3-point %
35.4%
58.1%
Assist %
61.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 101.3Defence100.9 · 94.4Shooting52.7% · 53.2%3-point %33.0% · 35.4%Ball care13.2% · 11.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Trieste   ■ Verona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Trieste wins
2
Verona wins
DateGameScore
30/12/23Trieste v Verona88-85
29/10/23Verona v Trieste81-69
30/04/23Trieste v Verona85-77
02/01/23Verona v Trieste88-81
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26HCantu92-72
10/10/26AVarese84-85
04/10/26HVenezia82-87
27/09/26AOlimpia Milano79-83
25/05/26ABrescia75-90
23/05/26HBrescia83-77
21/05/26HBrescia80-84
18/05/26ABrescia82-90
16/05/26ABrescia92-90
10/05/26HCremona89-94
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26HReggiana94-81
11/10/26AScafati89-82
05/10/26HOlimpia Milano75-72
27/09/26ATortona93-101
14/06/26ARimini83-75
12/06/26ARimini70-82
09/06/26HRimini84-76
07/06/26HRimini84-74
25/05/26HFortitudo Bologna86-73
22/05/26AFortitudo Bologna75-74 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game84.287.081.5
Allowed / game81.879.584.0
Point differential+2.5+7.5-2.5
Avg total166.0166.5165.5
Over 171.250%0%0%
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Verona
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game87.884.591.0
Allowed / game84.076.591.5
Point differential+3.8+8.0-0.5
Avg total171.8161.0182.5
Over 171.2550%50%50%
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%97.484.2+13.2
2 Basket Napoli54180%93.287.2+6.0
3 Treviso54180%95.693.0+2.6
4 Verona43175%87.884.0+3.8
5 Olimpia Milano53260%90.682.2+8.4
6 Venezia53260%90.288.6+1.6
7 Trento53260%83.081.8+1.2
8 Maxima Roma53260%86.087.4-1.4
9 Varese53260%86.888.2-1.4
10 Udine52340%79.880.8-1.0
11 Trieste41325%84.281.8+2.5
12 Reggiana41325%86.290.5-4.2
13 BC Roma51420%99.697.8+1.8
14 Tortona51420%84.495.0-10.6
15 Scafati51420%78.490.0-11.6
16 Cantu4040%77.290.2-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste23282829108
Verona2726242299
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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