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Telsiai vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-68
22-15 20-11 23-19 23-23
Position#1
Record14-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game78.7
Telsiai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas 2
Lithuania
Position#10
Record11-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game76.5
LithuaniaNKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Telsiai v Neptunas 2
07 Jan 2027
TELS v NEPT
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
TELS66
NEPT93
20 Mar 2026
TELS67
NEPT61
10 Jan 2026
TELS65
NEPT87
12 Dec 2024
TELS88
NEPT68
04 Jan 2024
TELS86
NEPT72
03 Dec 2022
TELS86
NEPT71
15 Jan 2022
TELS78
NEPT60
09 Feb 2021
TELS67
NEPT52
07 Mar 2020
TELS83
NEPT78
19 Dec 2019
TELS76
NEPT65
17 Feb 2019
TELS77
NEPT78
11 Jan 2019
TELS88
NEPT64
23 Feb 2018
TELS68
NEPT79
29 Dec 2017
TELS75
NEPT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Telsiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
90-88
90
88
+2
79avg 78
H05/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
84-61
84
61
+23
86avg 78
H14/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
81avg 78
A16/11
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
93-66
93
66
+27
94avg 78
A18/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
64avg 78
A21/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
86-88
86
88
-2
78avg 78
H23/11
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
81avg 78
H28/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
91-74
91
74
+17
88avg 78
A01/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
54-77
54
77
-23
49avg 78
A05/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
83-71
83
71
+12
83avg 78
H07/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
23-17
22-29
21-22
23-13
19-14
23-14
19-20
24-22
22-15
15-19
23-17
31-15
24-19
14-12
24-20
11-25
15-12
19-16
23-15
22-24
17-26
24-20
23-18
25-30
25-20
20-15
21-12
24-29
17-15
20-13
30-17
13-26
12-25
13-16
16-10
27-10
17-22
22-20
17-19
159.0Avg total
83.4Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.878.7163.5+6.170%
Season at home (10)88.277.0165.2+11.290%
Season away (10)81.480.4161.8+1.050%
Last 10 (10)83.475.6159.0+7.870%
Last 5 (5)81.077.4158.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)74.274.5148.7-0.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.079.1166.1+7.975%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
102-79
102
79
+23
108avg 72
H02/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
81avg 72
H07/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
74-84
74
84
-10
70avg 72
A09/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
69-80
69
80
-11
57avg 72
A14/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
80-83
80
83
-3
62avg 72
H16/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
73-64
73
64
+9
62avg 72
H21/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
78-93
78
93
-15
65avg 72
A23/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 72
H28/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
66avg 72
A30/11
NKL
Silute
#12
W
73-65
73
65
+8
62avg 72
H05/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
28-17
24-26
25-22
21-24
23-23
21-18
15-15
17-22
24-32
13-17
20-13
16-26
22-19
14-23
17-12
16-19
22-25
27-19
15-20
15-18
20-17
23-8
15-21
25-25
13-21
22-26
18-21
21-16
24-29
22-24
19-11
19-24
19-24
23-15
21-24
19-12
16-21
19-20
19-12
160.9Avg total
80.7Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.576.5155.1+2.058%
Season at home (10)81.375.6156.9+5.770%
Season away (9)75.477.6153.0-2.144%
Last 10 (10)80.780.2160.9+0.550%
Last 5 (5)78.477.8156.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.474.2148.6+0.260%
vs Similar (23)81.379.7161.0+1.661%
vs Weaker (2)91.081.0172.0+10.050%
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
TelsiaiNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H05/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H14/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A16/11
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A18/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A21/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H23/11
NKL
Kretinga
#13
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H28/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A01/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A05/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H07/12
NKL
81.4Avg total
41.5Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.877.6+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.437.279.6+5.273%-
Last 30 away (15)37.238.475.6-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.981.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.845.485.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)32.038.570.5-6.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.837.679.4+4.162%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H02/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H07/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A09/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A14/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H16/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H21/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A23/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H28/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A30/11
NKL
Silute
#12
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/12
NKL
83.3Avg total
40.5Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.182.1-0.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.138.179.1+3.044%-
Last 30 away (14)40.944.685.5-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.883.3-2.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.479.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.234.072.2+4.280%-
vs Similar (23)41.243.084.2-1.826%-
vs Weaker (2)45.537.583.0+8.050%-
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.7
56.4%
52.5%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.3
33.6%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.114.1
70.1%
70.5%14.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.0
50.4%
52.5%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.5
32.7%
32.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws21.215.2
71.7%
70.5%15.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Telsiai
WLWWLLWWWW
Neptunas 2
WLWLWLLLWW
#1
League position
#10
+10.4
Net rating
+1.5
112.3
Offensive rating
107.8
102.0
Defensive rating
106.3
54.0%
Effective FG%
49.8%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.6%
3-point %
32.7%
62.3%
Assist %
54.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 107.8Defence102.0 · 106.3Shooting54.0% · 49.8%3-point %33.6% · 32.7%Ball care15.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds29.6% · 31.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Telsiai   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Telsiai wins
0
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
17/10/24Neptunas 2 v Telsiai64-73
04/01/24Telsiai v Neptunas 286-72
09/11/23Neptunas 2 v Telsiai59-92
03/12/22Telsiai v Neptunas 286-71
15/10/22Neptunas 2 v Telsiai67-91
15/01/22Telsiai v Neptunas 278-60
23/10/21Neptunas 2 v Telsiai55-79
13/02/21Neptunas 2 v Telsiai59-74
09/02/21Telsiai v Neptunas 267-52
07/03/20Telsiai v Neptunas 283-78
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HRytas 283-71
05/12/24ASuduva-Mantinga54-77
01/12/24AAlytaus Alytus91-74
28/11/24HKretinga91-77
23/11/24HBC Olimpas Palanga86-88
21/11/24ABC Olimpas Palanga78-81 OT
18/11/24AKretinga93-66
16/11/24ARytas 284-73
14/11/24HSuduva-Mantinga84-61
05/11/24HAlytaus Alytus90-88
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/24HSilute73-65
30/11/24AVytis VDU82-87
28/11/24HPlunges Olimpas86-80
23/11/24AVilkaviskis78-93
21/11/24HVilkaviskis73-64
16/11/24HAlytaus Alytus80-83
14/11/24ASilute69-80
09/11/24APlunges Olimpas74-84
07/11/24HVytis VDU90-87 OT
02/11/24HDelikatesas Joniskis102-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Telsiai
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeWWLWW90%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%90%50%
Points / game84.888.281.4
Allowed / game78.777.080.4
Point differential+6.1+11.2+1.0
Avg total163.5165.2161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %15%0%30%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%70%44%
Points / game78.581.375.4
Allowed / game76.575.677.6
Point differential+2.0+5.7-2.1
Avg total155.1156.9153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%20%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas1814478%82.277.8+4.3
2 Telsiai2014670%84.878.7+6.1
3 Omega-Tauras1913668%80.677.4+3.2
4 BC Olimpas Palanga2013765%80.073.0+7.0
5 Vytis VDU1912763%90.184.4+5.7
6 Vilkaviskis2012860%82.777.1+5.5
7 Suduva-Mantinga2012860%82.677.7+4.9
8 Zalgiris Kaunas 21911858%79.776.9+2.8
9 Neptunas 21911858%78.576.5+2.0
10 Alytaus Alytus1981142%81.787.4-5.6
11 Silute2081240%79.780.9-1.2
12 Rytas 22081240%80.282.2-2.0
13 Ukmerges Stekas2181338%77.981.1-3.2
14 Plunges Olimpas1961332%76.181.4-5.3
15 Kretinga2061430%79.185.2-6.1
16 Delikatesas Joniskis211205%76.292.7-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Telsiai2220232388
Neptunas 21511192368
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