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Telsiai vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 86-72
24-17 20-28 26-13 16-14
Position#2
Record20-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game72.0
Telsiai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas 2
Lithuania
Position#12
Record3-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game85.4
LithuaniaNKL· Telsiu sporto arena (Telsiai)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Telsiai v Neptunas 2
07 Jan 2027
TELS v NEPT
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
TELS66
NEPT93
20 Mar 2026
TELS67
NEPT61
10 Jan 2026
TELS65
NEPT87
12 Dec 2024
TELS88
NEPT68
04 Jan 2024
TELS86
NEPT72
03 Dec 2022
TELS86
NEPT71
15 Jan 2022
TELS78
NEPT60
09 Feb 2021
TELS67
NEPT52
07 Mar 2020
TELS83
NEPT78
19 Dec 2019
TELS76
NEPT65
17 Feb 2019
TELS77
NEPT78
11 Jan 2019
TELS88
NEPT64
23 Feb 2018
TELS68
NEPT79
29 Dec 2017
TELS75
NEPT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Telsiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
75-84 OT
75
84
-9
no box
A25/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
71-66
71
66
+5
62avg 82
H30/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
72avg 82
A02/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
82-65
82
65
+17
81avg 82
A05/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
97-69
97
69
+28
100avg 82
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
98avg 82
A14/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
111-78
111
78
+33
120avg 82
H16/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
63-59
63
59
+4
54avg 82
H19/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
95-67
95
67
+28
87avg 82
A21/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
73-66
73
66
+7
63avg 82
H23/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
13-25
8-16
23-11
17-16
20-17
10-17
24-16
25-22
17-16
15-22
20-24
20-14
18-21
21-9
23-21
28-9
22-24
18-17
29-19
26-20
26-19
22-19
20-18
29-18
25-14
27-22
30-24
18-12
18-14
15-17
12-16
19-20
21-23
30-15
25-9
24-18
16-11
24-17
9-20
155.2Avg total
83.8Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.072.0156.1+12.083%
Season at home (12)83.869.6153.3+14.292%
Season away (12)84.374.5158.8+9.875%
Last 10 (10)83.871.4155.2+12.480%
Last 5 (5)87.269.2156.4+18.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.074.0149.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (5)74.075.4149.4-1.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.770.8155.5+13.983%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
69avg 69
H23/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
69avg 69
A25/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
76-68
76
68
+8
73avg 69
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
83-85
83
85
-2
79avg 69
A02/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
68-69
68
69
-1
61avg 69
H07/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
64-78
64
78
-14
58avg 69
A09/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
74-87
74
87
-13
60avg 69
A14/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
83-90
83
90
-7
68avg 69
H16/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
92-95
92
95
-3
74avg 69
A21/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
58-75
58
75
-17
46avg 69
H23/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
22-21
24-20
15-15
12-18
18-27
18-20
27-23
23-17
17-14
18-19
18-18
18-18
19-25
18-20
28-22
18-19
16-13
14-16
20-21
19-19
15-18
13-23
17-18
5-23
19-16
15-21
35-27
26-26
19-19
16-22
22-23
18-28
29-24
18-19
27-24
19-28
7-21
12-15
20-11
156.4Avg total
74.8Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.085.4161.4-9.412%
Season at home (12)75.183.0158.1-7.917%
Season away (12)76.987.8164.8-10.98%
Last 10 (10)74.881.6156.4-6.810%
Last 5 (5)74.285.0159.2-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)74.985.2160.1-10.316%
vs Similar (11)79.985.9165.8-6.018%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
TelsiaiNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A25/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H30/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A02/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A14/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H16/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H19/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A21/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/12
NKL
77.5Avg total
42.6Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.634.976.4+6.777%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.732.274.9+10.588%-
Last 30 away (14)40.337.978.2+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)42.634.977.5+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)44.433.878.2+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.030.075.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (5)38.433.672.0+4.880%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.135.377.4+6.875%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H23/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A25/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A02/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A14/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H16/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A21/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H23/12
NKL
77.2Avg total
35.3Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.243.580.8-6.327%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.141.879.9-3.738%-
Last 30 away (14)36.245.581.7-9.314%-
Last 10 (10)35.341.977.2-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.244.479.6-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.944.780.7-8.821%-
vs Similar (11)39.541.580.9-2.036%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.822.4
56.3%
51.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.1
35.4%
33.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.713.9
67.1%
70.3%13.9
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.718.9
47.6%
51.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.6
30.6%
33.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.4
75.3%
70.3%13.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Telsiai
WWWWWWWLWL
Neptunas 2
LLLLLLLWLL
#2
League position
#12
+18.1
Net rating
-8.8
111.9
Offensive rating
98.7
93.8
Defensive rating
107.5
55.1%
Effective FG%
47.0%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.6%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.4%
3-point %
30.6%
67.2%
Assist %
67.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 98.7Defence93.8 · 107.5Shooting55.1% · 47.0%3-point %35.4% · 30.6%Ball care16.7% · 16.6%Off. rebounds27.8% · 25.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Telsiai   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Telsiai wins
1
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
09/11/23Neptunas 2 v Telsiai59-92
03/12/22Telsiai v Neptunas 286-71
15/10/22Neptunas 2 v Telsiai67-91
15/01/22Telsiai v Neptunas 278-60
23/10/21Neptunas 2 v Telsiai55-79
13/02/21Neptunas 2 v Telsiai59-74
09/02/21Telsiai v Neptunas 267-52
07/03/20Telsiai v Neptunas 283-78
30/01/20Neptunas 2 v Telsiai82-76
19/12/19Telsiai v Neptunas 276-65
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas 273-66
21/12/23AKretinga95-67
19/12/23HSuduva-Mantinga63-59
16/12/23HJurbarkas111-78
14/12/23AVilkaviskis94-76
07/12/23HRytas 297-69
05/12/23ADelikatesas Joniskis82-65
02/12/23AVytis VDU77-84
30/11/23HBC Olimpas Palanga71-66
25/11/23ASuduva-Mantinga75-84 OT
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HBC Olimpas Palanga58-75
21/12/23ARytas 292-95
16/12/23HVytis VDU83-90
14/12/23ADelikatesas Joniskis74-87
09/12/23AUkmerges Stekas64-78
07/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas 268-69
02/12/23AVilkaviskis83-85
30/11/23HSilute76-68
25/11/23AJurbarkas75-88
23/11/23HSuduva-Mantinga75-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Telsiai
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %83%92%75%
Points / game84.083.884.3
Allowed / game72.069.674.5
Point differential+12.0+14.2+9.8
Avg total156.1153.3158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%50%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)80% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %12%17%8%
Points / game76.075.176.9
Allowed / game85.483.087.8
Point differential-9.4-7.9-10.9
Avg total161.4158.1164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2320387%86.472.2+14.2
2 Telsiai2420483%84.072.0+12.0
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2419579%81.271.5+9.7
4 Jurbarkas24141058%79.878.3+1.5
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 223121152%75.773.5+2.2
6 Vytis VDU23121152%85.083.6+1.4
7 Vilkaviskis24121250%82.584.1-1.7
8 Ukmerges Stekas23111248%74.977.1-2.2
9 Delikatesas Joniskis23111248%77.083.3-6.3
10 Kauno Atletas2391439%75.879.4-3.6
11 Kretinga2481633%77.081.6-4.6
12 Rytas 22481633%81.789.3-7.6
13 Silute2461825%77.683.0-5.5
14 Neptunas 22432112%76.085.4-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Telsiai2420261686
Neptunas 21728131472
← all games of the day
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