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Neptunas 2 vs Alytaus Alytus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 80-83
16-19 22-25 27-19 15-20
Position#10
Record8-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#15
Record3-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game88.8
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Alytaus Alytus
06 Dec 2025
NEPT75
ALYT81
13 Feb 2025
NEPT111
ALYT78
16 Nov 2024
NEPT80
ALYT83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Alytus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
78avg 72
H12/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
64-73
64
73
-9
59avg 72
H17/10
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
78-76
78
76
+2
67avg 72
A19/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 72
H24/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
73-84
73
84
-11
65avg 72
A26/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
76-72
76
72
+4
74avg 72
A31/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
102-79
102
79
+23
108avg 72
H02/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
81avg 72
H07/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
74-84
74
84
-10
70avg 72
A09/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
69-80
69
80
-11
57avg 72
A14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
20-14
24-18
18-19
20-18
15-10
7-20
22-25
28-16
18-25
12-14
20-21
20-21
18-18
12-15
23-23
22-19
9-25
21-20
21-20
15-26
16-15
23-12
22-19
25-14
28-17
24-26
25-22
21-24
23-23
21-18
15-15
17-22
24-32
13-17
20-13
16-26
22-19
14-23
17-12
156.3Avg total
78.4Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.575.5154.0+2.962%
Season at home (6)83.577.3160.8+6.267%
Season away (7)74.174.0148.1+0.157%
Last 10 (10)78.477.9156.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)82.280.4162.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.177.8150.9-4.638%
vs Similar (21)82.080.2162.2+1.762%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)102.079.0181.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
68-78
68
78
-10
54avg 68
A12/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
76avg 68
A17/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
77-109
77
109
-32
57avg 68
H19/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
71-101
71
101
-30
55avg 68
A24/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
73-91
73
91
-18
66avg 68
H26/10
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
79-71
79
71
+8
80avg 68
A31/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
64-92
64
92
-28
54avg 68
A02/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
88-90
88
90
-2
86avg 68
A05/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
77-87
77
87
-10
59avg 68
H09/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
112-101 OT
112
101
+11
110avg 68
H14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
13-15
17-27
21-10
25-23
13-17
24-15
20-24
23-23
20-27
14-28
20-31
22-26
24-24
10-22
15-29
21-26
10-15
24-22
18-28
17-20
21-15
18-21
23-15
18-17
16-25
9-22
21-28
20-24
17-23
29-22
22-21
13-33
26-18
11-18
27-18
29-23
25-28
18-24
24-21
169.0Avg total
79.1Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.988.8166.7-10.823%
Season at home (6)81.394.7176.0-13.317%
Season away (7)75.083.7158.7-8.729%
Last 10 (10)79.189.9169.0-10.830%
Last 5 (5)84.088.2172.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.187.8162.8-12.717%
vs Similar (1)112.0101.0213.0+11.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
Neptunas 2Alytaus Alytus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H12/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H17/10
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A19/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A26/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A31/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H02/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H07/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A09/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A14/11
NKL
80.0Avg total
40.0Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.482.7-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.938.179.1+2.847%-
Last 30 away (15)41.744.786.3-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.080.0+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.685.0-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.438.576.9-0.162%-
vs Similar (21)41.943.084.9-1.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)53.031.084.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A12/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A17/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H19/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A24/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H26/10
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A31/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A02/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A05/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H09/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H14/11
NKL
83.8Avg total
39.0Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)38.644.583.2-5.923%-
Last 30 at home (6)40.247.587.7-7.333%-
Last 30 away (7)37.342.079.3-4.714%-
Last 10 (10)39.044.883.8-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)40.445.285.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.344.081.3-6.717%-
vs Similar (1)54.051.0105.0+3.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.6
51.8%
52.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.5
33.8%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.914.3
75.7%
70.5%14.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.320.5
47.3%
52.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.69.3
39.4%
32.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws12.79.2
72.4%
70.5%9.2
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
LLWWWLLWLW
Alytaus Alytus
WLLLWLLLWL
#10
League position
#15
+1.0
Net rating
-15.1
106.5
Offensive rating
102.4
105.6
Defensive rating
117.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
51.5%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.9%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.19
33.8%
3-point %
39.4%
61.6%
Assist %
57.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 102.4Defence105.6 · 117.4Shooting51.3% · 51.5%3-point %33.8% · 39.4%Ball care17.4% · 17.9%Off. rebounds28.5% · 26.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Alytaus Alytus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas 2 wins
0
Alytaus Alytus wins
No previous meetings.
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/24ASilute69-80
09/11/24APlunges Olimpas74-84
07/11/24HVytis VDU90-87 OT
02/11/24HDelikatesas Joniskis102-79
31/10/24AOmega-Tauras76-72
26/10/24AZalgiris Kaunas 273-84
24/10/24HJurbarkas73-77
19/10/24AKretinga78-76
17/10/24HTelsiai64-73
12/10/24HUkmerges Stekas85-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/24HDelikatesas Joniskis112-101 OT
09/11/24HUkmerges Stekas77-87
05/11/24ATelsiai88-90
02/11/24AOmega-Tauras64-92
31/10/24AKretinga79-71
26/10/24HBC Olimpas Palanga73-91
24/10/24ASuduva-Mantinga71-101
19/10/24HVytis VDU77-109
17/10/24APlunges Olimpas82-79
12/10/24AZalgiris Kaunas 268-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWLWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%67%57%
Points / game78.583.574.1
Allowed / game75.577.374.0
Point differential+2.9+6.2+0.1
Avg total154.0160.8148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW23%
HomeLLLLW17%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %23%17%29%
Points / game77.981.375.0
Allowed / game88.894.783.7
Point differential-10.8-13.3-8.7
Avg total166.7176.0158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas1512380%81.977.4+4.5
2 Telsiai129375%86.380.6+5.8
3 BC Olimpas Palanga139469%79.670.5+9.1
4 Omega-Tauras139469%81.776.8+4.8
5 Suduva-Mantinga128467%83.778.7+5.0
6 Neptunas 2138562%78.575.5+2.9
7 Vytis VDU148657%89.985.2+4.6
8 Vilkaviskis137654%83.878.8+5.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 2137654%79.878.4+1.5
10 Rytas 2136746%81.081.3-0.3
11 Ukmerges Stekas136746%78.180.3-2.2
12 Kretinga124833%78.481.8-3.4
13 Silute134931%77.581.5-4.0
14 Plunges Olimpas134931%74.881.5-6.7
15 Alytaus Alytus1331023%77.988.8-10.8
16 Delikatesas Joniskis130130%75.291.5-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 21622271580
Alytaus Alytus1925192083
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