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Telsiai vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 91-77
25-30 25-20 20-15 21-12
Position#1
Record11-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game79.7
Telsiai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#13
Record5-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game85.8
LithuaniaNKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Telsiai v Kretinga
19 Nov 2026
TELS v KRET
upcoming
13 Nov 2025
TELS86
KRET80
28 Nov 2024
TELS91
KRET77
19 Mar 2024
TELS71
KRET73
13 Mar 2024
TELS92
KRET100
31 Oct 2023
TELS96
KRET69
24 Nov 2022
TELS92
KRET71
21 Oct 2021
TELS91
KRET60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Telsiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
92-94 OT
92
94
-2
69avg 78
A24/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
92-70
92
70
+22
95avg 78
H26/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
83-78
83
78
+5
75avg 78
H31/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
73-104
73
104
-31
62avg 78
A02/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
90-88
90
88
+2
79avg 78
H05/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
84-61
84
61
+23
86avg 78
H14/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
81avg 78
A16/11
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
93-66
93
66
+27
94avg 78
A18/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
64avg 78
A21/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
86-88
86
88
-2
78avg 78
H23/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-10
24-19
23-23
14-25
27-19
21-18
15-20
29-13
17-21
22-9
24-20
20-28
11-24
29-18
14-25
19-37
24-20
23-17
22-29
21-22
23-13
19-14
23-14
19-20
24-22
22-15
15-19
23-17
31-15
24-19
14-12
24-20
11-25
15-12
19-16
23-15
22-24
17-26
24-20
23-18
165.8Avg total
85.5Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.179.7165.8+6.469%
Season at home (8)88.577.8166.2+10.888%
Season away (8)83.681.6165.2+2.050%
Last 10 (10)85.580.3165.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)85.073.8158.8+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)79.174.7153.9+4.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.378.8165.1+7.470%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
48-66
48
66
-18
34avg 69
A24/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
69-64
69
64
+5
66avg 69
H26/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
71-79
71
79
-8
61avg 69
H31/10
NKL
Silute
#12
L
76-77
76
77
-1
67avg 69
A02/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
88-94
88
94
-6
87avg 69
A07/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
80-101
80
101
-21
65avg 69
H14/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
88-106
88
106
-18
84avg 69
A16/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
55avg 69
H18/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
71-113
71
113
-42
57avg 69
A21/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
93-78
93
78
+15
96avg 69
H23/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
10-13
12-17
11-20
10-21
25-17
15-17
19-9
20-17
15-21
21-18
15-23
21-17
22-21
10-17
23-22
22-16
12-20
25-25
29-33
31-23
16-28
15-23
18-27
25-30
23-25
17-21
23-30
15-31
19-24
12-14
20-24
18-30
19-33
18-17
16-33
25-23
24-23
19-15
25-17
162.1Avg total
75.0Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.785.8164.4-7.131%
Season at home (8)76.683.5160.1-6.938%
Season away (8)80.888.0168.8-7.225%
Last 10 (10)75.087.1162.1-12.120%
Last 5 (5)79.698.2177.8-18.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.881.2156.0-6.556%
vs Similar (12)80.883.6164.3-2.833%
vs Weaker (2)79.592.5172.0-13.00%
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.9-3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.9-3.9
TelsiaiKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A24/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H26/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H31/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A02/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H05/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H14/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A16/11
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A18/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A21/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H23/11
NKL
78.2Avg total
42.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.676.3+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.836.277.9+5.675%-
Last 30 away (14)37.437.074.4+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.236.078.2+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.078.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)34.437.171.6-2.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.336.477.7+5.070%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A24/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H31/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A02/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A07/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H14/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A16/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H18/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
37-63
37
63
-26
A21/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H23/11
NKL
83.6Avg total
38.7Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.042.680.6-4.623%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.344.479.7-9.114%-
Last 30 away (16)40.441.081.4-0.631%-
Last 10 (10)38.744.983.6-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)43.054.097.0-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.342.078.3-5.725%-
vs Similar (12)39.842.882.5-3.025%-
vs Weaker (2)41.546.588.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.4
55.0%
52.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.4
34.8%
32.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.013.5
71.1%
70.5%13.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.019.9
48.5%
52.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.5
30.2%
32.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.611.9
64.0%
70.5%11.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Telsiai
LLWWWWLWWL
Kretinga
WLLLLLLLWL
#1
League position
#13
+6.4
Net rating
-15.8
112.4
Offensive rating
98.5
106.0
Defensive rating
114.3
53.9%
Effective FG%
47.3%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
13.5%
Turnover %
19.1%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.8%
3-point %
30.2%
60.4%
Assist %
70.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 98.5Defence106.0 · 114.3Shooting53.9% · 47.3%3-point %34.8% · 30.2%Ball care13.5% · 19.1%Off. rebounds25.8% · 33.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Telsiai   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Telsiai wins
3
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
18/11/24Kretinga v Telsiai66-93
19/03/24Telsiai v Kretinga71-73
16/03/24Kretinga v Telsiai83-81 OT
13/03/24Telsiai v Kretinga92-100 OT
21/12/23Kretinga v Telsiai67-95
31/10/23Telsiai v Kretinga96-69
24/11/22Telsiai v Kretinga92-71
08/10/22Kretinga v Telsiai98-103 OT
13/01/22Kretinga v Telsiai71-94
21/10/21Telsiai v Kretinga91-60
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24HBC Olimpas Palanga86-88
21/11/24ABC Olimpas Palanga78-81 OT
18/11/24AKretinga93-66
16/11/24ARytas 284-73
14/11/24HSuduva-Mantinga84-61
05/11/24HAlytaus Alytus90-88
02/11/24AVilkaviskis73-104
31/10/24HSilute83-78
26/10/24HOmega-Tauras92-70
24/10/24AUkmerges Stekas92-94 OT
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24HSuduva-Mantinga93-78
21/11/24ASuduva-Mantinga71-113
18/11/24HTelsiai66-93
16/11/24ADelikatesas Joniskis88-106
14/11/24HRytas 280-101
07/11/24AOmega-Tauras88-94
02/11/24ASilute76-77
31/10/24HAlytaus Alytus71-79
26/10/24HUkmerges Stekas69-64
24/10/24ABC Olimpas Palanga48-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Telsiai
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL69%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%88%50%
Points / game86.188.583.6
Allowed / game79.777.881.6
Point differential+6.4+10.8+2.0
Avg total165.8166.2165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %19%0%38%
Kretinga
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW31%
HomeWLLLW38%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%38%25%
Points / game78.776.680.8
Allowed / game85.883.588.0
Point differential-7.1-6.9-7.2
Avg total164.4160.1168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas1613381%82.077.5+4.5
2 BC Olimpas Palanga1612475%79.970.8+9.1
3 Telsiai1611569%86.179.7+6.4
4 Suduva-Mantinga1510567%84.578.3+6.1
5 Omega-Tauras1610662%80.276.9+3.3
6 Vytis VDU159660%90.184.5+5.7
7 Zalgiris Kaunas 2169756%80.878.4+2.4
8 Neptunas 2169756%78.276.4+1.8
9 Vilkaviskis168850%83.479.2+4.2
10 Ukmerges Stekas167944%77.580.4-2.9
11 Silute1661038%80.181.4-1.4
12 Rytas 21661038%80.982.9-2.1
13 Alytaus Alytus1661038%80.187.6-7.5
14 Plunges Olimpas1651131%76.182.6-6.6
15 Kretinga1651131%78.785.8-7.1
16 Delikatesas Joniskis161156%77.192.3-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Telsiai2525202191
Kretinga3020151277
← all games of the day
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