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Western Illinois vs Tennessee State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 52-72
19-39 33-33
Position#296
Record8-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game70.4
vs
Position#188
Record5-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game76.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Western Illinois v Tennessee State
11 Dec 2026
WEST v TENN
upcoming
08 Jan 2026
WEST68
TENN90
11 Jan 2025
WEST52
TENN72
07 Mar 2024
WEST61
TENN59
20 Jan 2024
WEST57
TENN58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tennessee State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#83
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A27/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H27/11
NCAA
St. Ambrose
#553
W
97-64
97
64
+33
H05/12
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#670
W
96-49
96
49
+47
H07/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
L
66-89
66
89
-23
A14/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H18/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A21/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A03/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A04/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-25
23-38
32-35
43-51
39-26
58-38
43-21
53-28
31-53
35-36
31-31
40-37
25-36
40-35
30-42
36-35
37-29
38-38
42-45
32-29
147.7Avg total
75.8Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.670.4142.1+1.250%
Season at home (8)78.968.2147.1+10.662%
Season away (8)64.472.6137.0-8.238%
Last 10 (10)75.871.9147.7+3.950%
Last 5 (5)72.073.6145.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)64.678.0142.6-13.412%
vs Similar (13)66.064.8130.8+1.262%
vs Weaker (9)77.965.1143.0+12.889%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A26/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
85-97
85
97
-12
A26/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
L
74-92
74
92
-18
H01/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A11/12
NCAA
Johnson Royals
#435
W
89-58
89
58
+31
H14/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A20/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A21/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H03/01
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H04/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-31
41-54
40-46
45-51
37-41
37-51
31-44
29-40
47-30
42-28
40-39
35-38
30-32
38-42
27-31
38-36
44-32
51-54
34-29
28-43
154.3Avg total
75.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.276.1155.3+3.131%
Season at home (8)86.870.1156.9+16.662%
Season away (8)71.682.1153.8-10.50%
Last 10 (10)75.179.2154.3-4.120%
Last 5 (5)73.075.2148.2-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.068.0117.0-19.00%
vs Similar (14)72.877.5150.3-4.736%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)76.069.4145.4+6.653%
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: -5.3-5.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: -5.3-5.3
Western IllinoisTennessee State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#83
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A27/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H27/11
NCAA
St. Ambrose
#553
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H05/12
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#670
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H07/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A14/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H18/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A03/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H10/01
NCAA
69.4Avg total
35.1Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.231.864.0+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.930.563.5+2.453%-
Last 30 away (15)31.433.164.5-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)35.134.369.4+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.669.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)30.538.468.9-7.912%-
vs Similar (13)30.928.559.5+2.454%-
vs Weaker (9)35.430.866.2+4.778%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A26/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A26/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H01/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A11/12
NCAA
Johnson Royals
#435
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H14/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H03/01
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H04/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A10/01
NCAA
72.2Avg total
36.7Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.668.1+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.932.769.6+4.243%-
Last 30 away (16)32.434.466.8-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.572.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.032.667.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.035.057.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (14)32.634.166.8-1.536%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.133.070.1+4.160%-
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Western Illinois wins
1
Tennessee State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25HUT Martin83-85 OT
04/01/25AEastern Illinois75-67
03/01/25ASiu Edwardsville66-77
21/12/24ALindenwood65-71
18/12/24HTennessee Tech71-68
14/12/24ASouth Dakota Coyotes66-89
07/12/24HEWU Phantoms96-49
05/12/24HSt. Ambrose97-64
27/11/24HIncarnate Word75-86
27/11/24ASouth Alabama64-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25ALindenwood62-72
04/01/25HUALR95-86
03/01/25HSoutheast Missouri State65-67
21/12/24AMorehead State68-74
20/12/24ASouthern Indiana75-77
14/12/24HJohnson Royals89-58
11/12/24AWestern Kentucky60-84
01/12/24HUNC Asheville74-92
26/11/24ABryant University85-97
26/11/24AChattanooga Mocs78-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game71.678.964.4
Allowed / game70.468.272.6
Point differential+1.2+10.6-8.2
Avg total142.1147.1137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Tennessee State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL31%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%62%0%
Points / game79.286.871.6
Allowed / game76.170.182.1
Point differential+3.1+16.6-10.5
Avg total155.3156.9153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%12%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville1610662%72.265.1+7.1
2 Southeast Missouri State169756%74.567.6+6.9
3 Morehead State169756%69.870.7-0.9
4 Tennessee Tech169756%73.374.2-0.9
5 UALR158753%67.568.9-1.4
6 Western Illinois168850%71.670.4+1.2
7 UT Martin167944%76.670.1+6.5
8 Lindenwood167944%72.368.3+4.0
9 Southern Indiana156940%74.773.1+1.6
10 Tennessee State1651131%79.276.1+3.1
11 Eastern Illinois1651131%69.973.2-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Illinois193352
Tennessee State393372
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