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Tennessee State vs Western Illinois Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 08 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:30
Scheduled
Position#187
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#304
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Tennessee State v Western Illinois
07 Jan 2027
TENN v WEST
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
TENN83
WEST56
06 Feb 2025
TENN87
WEST69
17 Feb 2024
TENN61
WEST68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Western Illinois win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
80-53
80
53
+27
H21/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A27/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
67-42
67
42
+25
A28/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
93-67
93
67
+26
H08/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
74-108
74
108
-34
A20/03
NCAA
Murray State
#23
L
64-94
64
94
-30
H02/11
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#534
W
127-61
127
61
+66
H06/11
NCAA
Fisk
#477
W
123-73
123
73
+50
H10/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#53
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-26
40-27
33-38
46-33
35-21
32-21
36-28
32-27
55-34
38-33
29-55
45-53
35-46
29-48
54-28
73-33
54-36
69-37
37-42
41-41
156.0Avg total
85.3Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)98.077.8175.8+20.250%
Season at home (3)104.776.0180.7+28.767%
Season away (1)78.083.0161.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)85.370.7156.0+14.670%
Last 5 (5)93.283.8177.0+9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.0101.0170.0-32.00%
vs Similar (10)78.370.6148.9+7.770%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.172.8156.9+11.278%
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H11/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
58-77
58
77
-19
H13/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H20/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
59-81
59
81
-22
H21/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
47-67
47
67
-20
A27/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
69-91
69
91
-22
H28/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#162
L
58-80
58
80
-22
A03/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#16
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H08/11
NCAA
Simpson (CA)
#459
W
90-48
90
48
+42
H10/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#61
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-31
40-39
24-35
34-42
29-30
41-47
27-43
32-38
23-30
24-37
28-50
41-41
19-38
39-42
31-37
36-37
40-22
50-26
38-32
45-59
143.6Avg total
68.0Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.573.2147.8+1.225%
Season at home (3)80.071.0151.0+9.033%
Season away (1)58.080.0138.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)68.075.6143.6-7.620%
Last 5 (5)73.476.8150.2-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)64.279.3143.6-15.18%
vs Similar (1)58.080.0138.0-22.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: +9.2+9.22nd half: -2.6-2.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: +9.2+9.22nd half: -2.6-2.6
Tennessee StateWestern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H21/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A27/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A28/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H07/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H08/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
29-55
29
55
-26
A20/03
NCAA
Murray State
#23
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H02/11
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#534
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H06/11
NCAA
Fisk
#477
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H10/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#53
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/11
NCAA
76.2Avg total
40.8Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.935.573.4+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.435.275.6+5.260%-
Last 30 away (15)35.435.771.1-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.835.476.2+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.483.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.050.582.5-18.50%-
vs Similar (10)36.935.172.0+1.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.134.073.1+5.167%-
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H11/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H13/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H20/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H21/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A27/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H28/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#162
L
19-38
19
38
-19
A03/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#16
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H08/11
NCAA
Simpson (CA)
#459
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H10/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#61
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H13/11
NCAA
64.6Avg total
29.8Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.936.065.9-6.133%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.832.963.7-2.147%-
Last 30 away (13)28.740.068.7-11.315%-
Last 10 (10)29.834.864.6-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)31.235.867.0-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)29.737.367.0-7.727%-
vs Similar (1)19.038.057.0-19.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tennessee State wins
2
Western Illinois wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATennessee78-83
10/11/26HFisk123-73
06/11/26HEWU Phantoms127-61
02/11/26HMurray State64-94
20/03/26AIowa State74-108
08/03/26HMorehead State93-67
07/03/26HUT Martin68-55
28/02/26AUT Martin67-42
27/02/26ASoutheast Missouri State79-71
21/02/26HSiu Edwardsville80-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HCSU Bakersfield83-91
10/11/26HSimpson (CA)90-48
08/11/26HHouston Christian67-74
03/11/26AValparaiso58-80
28/02/26HLindenwood69-91
27/02/26ASiu Edwardsville47-67
21/02/26HMorehead State59-81
20/02/26HSouthern Indiana70-77
13/02/26HUALR58-77
11/02/26HEastern Illinois79-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game98.0104.778.0
Allowed / game77.876.083.0
Point differential+20.2+28.7-5.0
Avg total175.8180.7161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Illinois
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLWL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game74.580.058.0
Allowed / game73.271.080.0
Point differential+1.2+9.0-22.0
Avg total147.8151.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State42250%98.077.8+20.2
2 UT Martin42250%85.074.2+10.8
3 Southeast Missouri State42250%79.877.5+2.2
4 Tennessee Tech42250%92.090.0+2.0
5 Morehead State42250%77.081.2-4.2
6 Lindenwood52340%82.069.8+12.2
7 Siu Edwardsville52340%71.672.8-1.2
8 Southern Indiana41325%78.066.5+11.5
9 Western Illinois41325%74.573.2+1.2
10 UALR41325%76.085.5-9.5
11 Eastern Illinois41325%69.080.0-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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