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Tennessee vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-61
33-21 43-40
Position#67
Record-
FormLWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Tennessee 🏆
USA
vs
Mercer
USA
Position#117
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tennessee v Mercer
03 Nov 2025
TENN76
MERC61
20 Mar 2013
TENN67
MERC75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#34
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H01/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A06/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H14/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A15/03
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A16/03
NCAA
Wofford
#169
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H20/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H23/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H28/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A30/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-42
41-34
41-36
35-42
34-34
41-31
41-38
42-34
32-33
38-32
30-39
47-47
36-27
41-35
32-25
35-33
43-28
35-37
15-34
35-35
142.8Avg total
73.2Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.269.6142.8+3.670%
Last 5 (5)69.868.0137.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)58.568.0126.5-9.525%
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.066.7136.7+3.370%
vs Weaker (16)75.862.8138.6+12.988%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#61
L
79-100
79
100
-21
A06/02
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H08/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
72-96
72
96
-24
A13/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A20/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
61-78
61
78
-17
H22/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H01/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H07/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
42-52
37-48
27-38
39-39
35-52
37-44
34-36
37-44
29-25
33-27
29-26
32-52
31-28
27-31
36-28
45-41
29-29
38-37
34-28
27-48
143.1Avg total
67.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.875.3143.1-7.530%
Last 5 (5)65.669.6135.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)72.481.0153.4-8.612%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.376.8150.2-3.550%
vs Weaker (8)77.867.0144.8+10.888%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: -5.9-5.9
TennesseeMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#34
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H08/03
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A15/03
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A16/03
NCAA
Wofford
#169
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H20/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H23/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H28/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
15-34
15
34
-19
A30/03
NCAA
67.8Avg total
34.2Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.430.462.8+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.529.463.9+5.165%-
Last 30 away (13)29.631.861.4-2.246%-
Last 10 (10)34.233.667.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.230.661.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)21.032.053.0-11.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.830.562.3+1.350%-
vs Weaker (16)35.630.065.6+5.669%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#61
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A06/02
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H08/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A13/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A20/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H22/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A26/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H01/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H07/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A08/03
NCAA
66.8Avg total
32.6Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.735.470.0-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.033.467.4+0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)35.237.172.3-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)32.634.266.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.827.859.6+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)34.538.773.2-4.231%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)33.234.267.3-1.033%-
vs Weaker (8)36.129.665.8+6.588%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tennessee wins
1
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
21/03/13Tennessee v Mercer67-75
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25AHouston50-69
28/03/25HKentucky78-65
23/03/25HUCLA67-58
20/03/25HWofford77-62
16/03/25AFlorida77-86
15/03/25AAuburn70-65
14/03/25HTexas83-72
08/03/25HSouth Carolina75-65
06/03/25AOle Miss76-78
01/03/25HAlabama79-76
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AChattanooga Mocs61-76
07/03/25HWestern Carolina67-66
01/03/25HWestern Carolina81-69
26/02/25AEast Tennessee St58-59
22/02/25HNC Greensboro61-78
20/02/25ACitadel62-52
15/02/25HVMI71-80
13/02/25AFurman72-96
08/02/25HWofford66-77
06/02/25ASamford79-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Mercer
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VMI110100%122.058.0+64.0
2 East Texas A&M110100%119.060.0+59.0
3 Stonehill110100%100.048.0+52.0
4 Prairie View A&M110100%95.048.0+47.0
5 Lamar110100%93.053.0+40.0
6 Drexel110100%93.059.0+34.0
7 St. John's (N.Y.)110100%108.074.0+34.0
8 Stephen F. Austin110100%103.076.0+27.0
9 High Point110100%97.071.0+26.0
10 Eastern Michigan110100%71.049.0+22.0
11 Maryland110100%83.061.0+22.0
12 Georgetown110100%87.070.0+17.0
13 Ohio State110100%118.0102.0+16.0
14 Murray State110100%85.077.0+8.0
15 Stony Brook110100%66.059.0+7.0
16 Winthrop110100%81.074.0+7.0
17 Buffalo110100%85.079.0+6.0
18 Drake110100%77.071.0+6.0
19 St. Bonaventure110100%69.063.0+6.0
20 Bradley1010%63.069.0-6.0
21 Northern Arizona1010%71.077.0-6.0
22 Southern Miss1010%79.085.0-6.0
23 Farmingdale1010%59.066.0-7.0
24 Queens Royals1010%74.081.0-7.0
25 Nebraska O.1010%77.085.0-8.0
26 IU Indy1010%102.0118.0-16.0
27 Morgan State1010%70.087.0-17.0
28 Coppin State1010%61.083.0-22.0
29 Georgia State1010%49.071.0-22.0
30 Furman1010%71.097.0-26.0
31 Millsaps1010%76.0103.0-27.0
32 Quinnipiac1010%74.0108.0-34.0
33 Widener1010%59.093.0-34.0
34 Texas A&M SA Jaguars1010%53.093.0-40.0
35 CBS Ambassadors1010%48.095.0-47.0
36 Thomas College1010%48.0100.0-52.0
37 Arlington Baptist Patriots1010%60.0119.0-59.0
38 Johnson & Wales (RI)1010%58.0122.0-64.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 38 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee334376
Mercer214061
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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