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Tennessee vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 68-56
34-16 34-40
Position#23
Record16-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game58.8
Tennessee 🏆
USA
vs
Mississippi St.
USA
Position#116
Record15-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tennessee v Mississippi St.
21 Jan 2025
TENN68
MISS56
15 Mar 2024
TENN56
MISS73
03 Jan 2023
TENN87
MISS53
11 Mar 2022
TENN72
MISS59
26 Jan 2021
TENN56
MISS53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#344
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H10/12
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A14/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
84-36
84
36
+48
H18/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H24/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#64
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H31/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
76-52
76
52
+24
H04/01
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
43-73
43
73
-30
A08/01
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A11/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H16/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-25
37-37
31-30
35-34
38-15
46-21
34-40
48-24
35-28
32-24
42-27
34-25
15-34
28-39
33-31
41-39
25-26
49-30
35-41
40-35
132.1Avg total
71.6Scored
60.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.858.8135.6+18.189%
Season at home (13)80.655.4136.0+25.2100%
Season away (5)67.067.6134.6-0.660%
Last 10 (10)71.660.5132.1+11.180%
Last 5 (5)68.465.4133.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.073.0116.0-30.00%
vs Similar (8)76.570.1146.6+6.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)78.258.3136.5+20.090%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H08/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A14/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H18/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A21/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H31/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
85-50
85
50
+35
H04/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A08/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H12/01
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A15/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-44
47-40
29-29
37-34
32-25
51-34
48-32
31-34
52-45
35-28
43-18
42-32
39-28
37-36
44-49
46-46
27-46
39-42
37-29
37-45
153.0Avg total
80.7Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.970.1153.0+12.883%
Season at home (12)86.870.3157.1+16.483%
Season away (6)75.269.7144.8+5.583%
Last 10 (10)80.772.3153.0+8.480%
Last 5 (5)80.275.6155.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.574.8145.3-4.333%
vs Similar (15)79.571.2150.7+8.373%
vs Weaker (9)84.766.2150.9+18.489%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: +8.2+8.22nd half: +3.1+3.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: +8.2+8.22nd half: +3.1+3.1
TennesseeMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#344
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H10/12
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A14/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
38-15
38
15
+23
H18/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H24/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#64
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H31/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H04/01
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
15-34
15
34
-19
A08/01
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A11/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H16/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A18/01
NCAA
62.3Avg total
32.6Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.829.164.9+6.767%-
Last 30 at home (21)37.427.765.0+9.776%-
Last 30 away (9)32.032.464.4-0.444%-
Last 10 (10)32.629.762.3+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)30.031.861.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)15.034.049.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (8)35.833.669.4+2.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)36.827.163.9+9.676%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prairie View A&M
#364
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H08/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A14/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H18/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A21/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H31/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
43-18
43
18
+25
H04/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A08/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H12/01
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A15/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H18/01
NCAA
74.0Avg total
39.5Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.733.670.4+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.234.273.4+4.959%-
Last 30 away (13)33.532.866.4+0.746%-
Last 10 (10)39.534.574.0+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.034.072.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.733.264.8-1.533%-
vs Similar (15)36.234.871.0+1.447%-
vs Weaker (9)41.032.073.0+9.078%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tennessee wins
3
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
15/03/24Tennessee v Mississippi St.56-73
11/01/24Mississippi St. v Tennessee77-72
18/01/23Mississippi St. v Tennessee59-70
04/01/23Tennessee v Mississippi St.87-53
11/03/22Tennessee v Mississippi St.72-59
10/02/22Mississippi St. v Tennessee63-72
27/01/21Tennessee v Mississippi St.56-53
01/02/20Mississippi St. v Tennessee86-73
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25AVanderbilt75-76
16/01/25HGeorgia74-56
11/01/25ATexas74-70
08/01/25AFlorida43-73
04/01/25HArkansas76-52
31/12/24HNorfolk State67-52
24/12/24HMiddle Tenn. St.82-64
18/12/24HWestern Carolina84-36
14/12/24AIllinois66-64
10/12/24HMiami (FL)75-62
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HOle Miss84-81 OT
15/01/25AAuburn66-88
12/01/25HKentucky90-95
08/01/25AVanderbilt76-64
04/01/25HSouth Carolina85-50
31/12/24HBethune-Cookman87-73
21/12/24AMemphis79-66
18/12/24HCentral Michigan83-59
14/12/24AMcNeese State66-63
08/12/24HPrairie View A&M91-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18135
Win %89%100%60%
Points / game76.880.667.0
Allowed / game58.855.467.6
Point differential+18.1+25.2-0.6
Avg total135.6136.0134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%100%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW83%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game82.986.875.2
Allowed / game70.170.369.7
Point differential+12.8+16.4+5.5
Avg total153.0157.1144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%58%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn1817194%85.766.1+19.6
2 Florida1816289%85.965.6+20.3
3 Tennessee1816289%76.858.8+18.1
4 Missouri1815383%84.869.1+15.8
5 Vanderbilt1815383%82.167.8+14.3
6 Ole Miss1815383%78.865.7+13.2
7 Mississippi St.1815383%82.970.1+12.8
8 Alabama1815383%90.278.3+11.9
9 Kentucky1814478%89.276.1+13.1
10 Georgia1814478%77.965.1+12.8
11 Texas A&M1814478%76.465.8+10.6
12 Oklahoma1814478%80.870.9+9.9
13 Texas1812667%80.466.9+13.5
14 LSU1812667%79.769.6+10.1
15 Arkansas1811761%77.468.4+8.9
16 South Carolina1810856%71.668.9+2.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee343468
Mississippi St.164056
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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