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Tennessee vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 72-59
39-37 33-22
Position#29
Record23-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game63.3
Tennessee 🏆
USA
vs
Mississippi St.
USA
Position#171
Record18-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Tennessee v Mississippi St.
21 Jan 2025
TENN68
MISS56
15 Mar 2024
TENN56
MISS73
03 Jan 2023
TENN87
MISS53
11 Mar 2022
TENN72
MISS59
26 Jan 2021
TENN56
MISS53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#81
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H02/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
W
81-57
81
57
+24
A05/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A10/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H12/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H16/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A19/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
80-61
80
61
+19
A23/02
NCAA
Auburn
#11
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H26/02
NCAA
Georgia
#353
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A01/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
43-35
47-45
33-29
48-28
35-33
37-30
44-32
29-32
46-32
30-31
23-24
25-34
36-27
44-34
25-31
42-31
35-35
40-33
50-29
28-45
139.0Avg total
74.0Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.663.3137.0+10.377%
Season at home (18)75.760.9136.6+14.889%
Season away (12)70.667.0137.6+3.658%
Last 10 (10)74.065.0139.0+9.090%
Last 5 (5)69.664.6134.2+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.073.0150.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (11)65.867.7133.5-1.945%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)78.260.1138.3+18.194%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#29
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H10/02
NCAA
LSU
#93
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A13/02
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A17/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
68-49
68
49
+19
H19/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A21/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A23/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H26/02
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
68-81 OT
68
81
-13
H03/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A06/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
W
73-51
73
51
+22
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-35
30-37
22-37
43-32
30-34
45-46
34-23
34-26
31-23
27-33
23-35
33-31
30-32
44-37
28-40
33-21
22-33
42-34
36-34
37-17
132.4Avg total
66.4Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)71.266.2137.5+5.056%
Season at home (20)75.264.1139.2+11.180%
Season away (12)64.869.8134.6-5.117%
Last 10 (10)66.466.0132.4+0.440%
Last 5 (5)67.066.8133.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)64.874.3139.2-9.517%
vs Similar (16)72.365.2137.6+7.162%
vs Weaker (8)71.666.5138.1+5.162%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +5.4+5.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +5.4+5.4
TennesseeMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#81
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H02/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A05/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A10/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H12/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H16/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
23-24
23
24
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A23/02
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H26/02
NCAA
Georgia
#353
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A01/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H05/03
NCAA
67.7Avg total
37.0Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.829.964.8+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.928.264.1+7.767%-
Last 30 away (12)33.232.565.8+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)37.030.767.7+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)33.829.263.0+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.021.055.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar (11)31.832.564.3-0.636%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)36.728.965.6+7.872%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#29
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H10/02
NCAA
LSU
#93
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A13/02
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H19/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A21/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A23/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H26/02
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H03/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A06/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A10/03
NCAA
61.5Avg total
28.9Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.732.665.3+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.631.767.3+3.961%-
Last 30 away (12)28.433.962.3-5.533%-
Last 10 (10)28.932.661.5-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)27.834.862.6-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)27.335.062.3-7.717%-
vs Similar (16)34.130.564.6+3.662%-
vs Weaker (8)34.134.969.0-0.850%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tennessee wins
1
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
10/02/22Mississippi St. v Tennessee63-72
27/01/21Tennessee v Mississippi St.56-53
01/02/20Mississippi St. v Tennessee86-73
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/22HArkansas78-74
01/03/22AGeorgia75-68
26/02/22HAuburn67-62
23/02/22AMissouri80-61
19/02/22AArkansas48-58
16/02/22HKentucky76-63
12/02/22HVanderbilt73-64
10/02/22AMississippi St.72-63
05/02/22ASouth Carolina81-57
02/02/22HTexas A&M90-80
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/22ASouth Carolina73-51
06/03/22ATexas A&M64-67
03/03/22HAuburn68-81 OT
26/02/22HVanderbilt74-69
23/02/22ASouth Carolina56-66
21/02/22AMissouri58-56
19/02/22HMissouri68-49
17/02/22AAlabama75-80
13/02/22ALSU65-69
10/02/22HTennessee63-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %77%89%58%
Points / game73.675.770.6
Allowed / game63.360.967.0
Point differential+10.3+14.8+3.6
Avg total137.0136.6137.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %7%11%0%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW56%
HomeWLWWL80%
AwayLWLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %56%80%17%
Points / game71.275.264.8
Allowed / game66.264.169.8
Point differential+5.0+11.1-5.1
Avg total137.5139.2134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%65%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %9%10%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn3227584%78.767.0+11.7
2 Kentucky3125681%80.165.7+14.4
3 Arkansas3225778%77.368.1+9.2
4 Tennessee3023777%73.663.3+10.3
5 LSU33221167%73.163.5+9.6
6 Texas A&M33221167%73.267.0+6.2
7 Texas32211166%68.359.6+8.7
8 Florida32191359%70.866.1+4.7
9 Alabama32191359%80.076.4+3.6
10 South Carolina31181358%71.070.3+0.7
11 Mississippi St.32181456%71.266.2+5.0
12 Oklahoma32181456%68.964.9+4.0
13 Vanderbilt32171553%70.467.2+3.2
14 Ole Miss32131941%68.168.7-0.5
15 Missouri33122136%65.570.5-5.0
16 Georgia3262619%69.878.5-8.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee393372
Mississippi St.372259
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