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Texas A&M vs SE Louisiana Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Projected 92-62
Projected total 153.2
Scheduled
Position#14
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game66.7
Vs
99%
■ TEXA 99%■ SE L 1%
Pythia win probability
Position#311
Record1-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game64.3
Allowed / game87.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Texas A&M v SE Louisiana
16 Nov 2026
TEXA v SE L
upcoming
15 Dec 2020
TEXA69
SE L52
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Texas A&M faces SE Louisiana in an NCAA game on 16 November 2026, with the model favouring the Aggies at 99% versus 1% for the Lions. Texas A&M enters the contest undefeated in 3 games, averaging 103.0 points while allowing 66.7, and sits 14th in the league; their home record is 3-0, with four wins and one loss in the last five games, and recent victories include a 108-67 win over Louisiana Monroe, a 104-67 win over Northern Kentucky and a 97-66 win over Alabama State. SE Louisiana has a 1-2 record in 3 games, scoring 64.3 and conceding 87.3, and their road record is also 1-2; in the last five games they have two wins and three losses, with a recent 83-79 win over UALR, a 91-51 loss to Ole Miss and a 92-59 loss to Auburn. The teams have met once before, with Texas A&M winning 69-52 on 15 December 2020. Pythia projects a 92-62 score for the Aggies, a total of 153.2 points, and a 99% chance that Texas A&M will cover the spread. The game is expected to finish in regulation.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas A&M win
99.2%fair 1.01
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
SE Louisiana win
0.8%fair 120.01
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 07:43 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas A&MUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
84-99
84
99
-15
A26/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
96-85
96
85
+11
H04/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
63-83
63
83
-20
H13/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
63-50
63
50
+13
A19/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
57-88
57
88
-31
A21/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#355
W
97-66
97
66
+31
H04/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#246
W
104-67
104
67
+37
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#316
W
108-67
108
67
+41
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-37
56-62
30-29
40-47
45-33
51-52
33-38
37-32
27-49
36-34
37-26
26-24
28-46
29-42
44-29
53-37
52-32
52-35
54-27
54-40
160.8Avg total
83.6Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)103.066.7169.7+36.3100%
Season at home (3)103.066.7169.7+36.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.677.2160.8+6.460%
Last 5 (5)85.867.6153.4+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.374.7137.0-12.333%
vs Similar (14)81.483.8165.2-2.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)96.572.5169.1+24.0100%
This opponent (SE Louisiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SE LouisianaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#287
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H10/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A14/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
53-70
53
70
-17
A16/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
75-96
75
96
-21
H21/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H24/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A28/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A03/03
NCAA
Auburn
#37
L
59-92
59
92
-33
A05/11
NCAA
UALR
#347
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A08/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#11
L
51-91
51
91
-40
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-26
34-36
35-32
31-37
20-35
33-35
26-46
49-50
32-40
36-33
31-33
29-35
40-32
42-46
25-42
34-50
46-39
37-40
20-49
31-42
144.9Avg total
67.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)64.387.3151.7-23.033%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)64.387.3151.7-23.033%
Last 10 (10)67.177.8144.9-10.730%
Last 5 (5)67.081.6148.6-14.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)64.175.2139.3-11.122%
vs Similar (10)67.068.9135.9-1.940%
vs Weaker (2)73.556.5130.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Texas A&M) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147
Over 147
65.3%
Under 147
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
52.9%
Under 152
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157
Over 157
40.3%
Under 157
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Texas A&M total 84.5
Over 84.5
76.2%
Under 84.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Texas A&M total 88.5
Over 88.5
62.2%
Under 88.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Texas A&M total 92.5
Over 92.5
46.2%
Under 92.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SE Louisiana total 59.5
Over 59.5
58.3%
Under 59.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SE Louisiana total 63.5
Over 63.5
42.3%
Under 63.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SE Louisiana total 67.5
Over 67.5
27.5%
Under 67.5
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Texas A&M -3
TEXA -3
98.8%
SE L +3
1.2%
Best 5 market prices
TEXA
No market prices yet.
SE L
No market prices yet.
Spread Texas A&M 0
TEXA 0
99.2%
SE L 0
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
TEXA
No market prices yet.
SE L
No market prices yet.
Spread Texas A&M +3
TEXA +3
99.5%
SE L -3
0.5%
Best 5 market prices
TEXA
No market prices yet.
SE L
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: -5.9-5.92nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -4.8-4.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: -5.9-5.92nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -4.8-4.8
Texas A&MSE Louisiana
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas A&MLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H04/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H13/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A19/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A21/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#355
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H04/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#246
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#316
W
54-27
54
27
+27
H10/11
NCAA
72.4Avg total
37.8Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.135.375.5+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.234.177.3+9.281%-
Last 30 away (14)36.636.873.4-0.243%-
Last 10 (10)37.834.672.4+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.032.075.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.034.062.0-6.033%-
vs Similar (14)37.438.976.3-1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.931.877.7+14.285%-
This opponent (SE Louisiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SE LouisianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#287
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H10/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A14/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A16/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H21/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H24/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A28/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A03/03
NCAA
Auburn
#37
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A05/11
NCAA
UALR
#347
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A08/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#11
L
20-49
20
49
-29
A11/11
NCAA
68.9Avg total
31.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.034.565.6-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.231.063.2+1.242%-
Last 30 away (18)30.236.967.1-6.728%-
Last 10 (10)31.537.468.9-5.940%-
Last 5 (5)32.439.071.4-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)30.537.267.7-6.728%-
vs Similar (10)32.131.763.8+0.440%-
vs Weaker (2)30.524.555.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Texas A&M) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Texas A&M wins
0
SE Louisiana wins
DateGameScore
16/12/20Texas A&M v SE Louisiana69-52
Texas A&Mlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HLouisiana Monroe108-67
07/11/26HNorthern Kentucky104-67
04/11/26HAlabama State97-66
21/03/26AHouston57-88
19/03/26ASt. Marys (CA)63-50
13/03/26HOklahoma63-83
07/03/26ALSU94-91 OT
04/03/26HKentucky96-85
28/02/26HTexas70-76
26/02/26AArkansas84-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AOle Miss51-91
08/11/26AUALR83-79
05/11/26AAuburn59-92
03/03/26ANew Orleans82-78
28/02/26ANicholls State60-68
24/02/26HTexas A&M-CC68-73
21/02/26HUTRGV75-96
16/02/26AEast Texas A&M53-70
14/02/26ANorthwestern St.66-69
10/02/26HIncarnate Word74-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas A&M
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game103.0103.0-
Allowed / game66.766.7-
Point differential+36.3+36.3-
Avg total169.7169.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
SE Louisiana
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
Home--
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %33%-33%
Points / game64.3-64.3
Allowed / game87.3-87.3
Point differential-23.0--23.0
Avg total151.7-151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 LSU330100%94.052.7+41.3
3 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
4 Texas A&M330100%103.066.7+36.3
5 Mississippi St.330100%95.363.0+32.3
6 Vanderbilt330100%90.759.7+31.0
7 Auburn220100%83.556.0+27.5
8 Tennessee220100%80.053.0+27.0
9 Alabama330100%102.076.0+26.0
10 South Carolina220100%79.561.5+18.0
11 Florida330100%82.065.3+16.7
12 Georgia330100%83.070.3+12.7
13 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
14 Oklahoma32167%76.365.7+10.7
15 Kentucky32167%81.075.3+5.7
16 Arkansas21150%89.076.0+13.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin220100%104.546.5+58.0
2 Houston Christian330100%89.762.7+27.0
3 McNeese State32167%100.380.7+19.7
4 Texas A&M-CC32167%74.761.7+13.0
5 UTRGV32167%71.362.0+9.3
6 Lamar21150%102.572.5+30.0
7 New Orleans21150%73.582.5-9.0
8 Nicholls State31233%78.767.7+11.0
9 SE Louisiana31233%64.387.3-23.0
10 Northwestern St.41325%64.277.8-13.5
11 Incarnate Word4040%60.879.2-18.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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