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Texas State vs Louisiana Monroe Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 95-84
45-43 50-41
Position#125
Record16-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game70.4
vs
Position#369
Record4-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game82.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Texas State v Louisiana Monroe
14 Feb 2026
TEXA95
LOUI84
19 Feb 2025
TEXA80
LOUI63
27 Feb 2024
TEXA73
LOUI55
29 Dec 2022
TEXA53
LOUI57
13 Jan 2022
TEXA80
LOUI56
27 Feb 2021
TEXA61
LOUI57
26 Feb 2021
TEXA58
LOUI49
30 Jan 2020
TEXA71
LOUI51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisiana Monroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H15/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A23/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A24/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A05/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H07/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-43
45-40
29-22
30-32
27-28
47-39
27-32
43-40
28-47
29-35
39-29
33-39
42-33
39-31
30-31
47-40
36-25
41-36
36-29
38-33
140.7Avg total
72.3Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)73.770.4144.0+3.359%
Season at home (16)76.664.2140.9+12.488%
Season away (11)69.479.3148.6-9.918%
Last 10 (10)72.368.4140.7+3.970%
Last 5 (5)76.265.2141.4+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.578.5137.0-20.00%
vs Similar (16)73.777.2150.9-3.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)77.161.5138.6+15.683%
This opponent (Louisiana Monroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana MonroeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A09/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H17/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
60-115
60
115
-55
A22/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A23/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H30/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H01/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A05/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H07/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
70-103
70
103
-33
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-37
43-48
28-31
32-39
39-38
18-39
36-65
24-50
20-28
23-31
33-37
43-42
38-43
41-40
34-26
51-53
27-36
41-37
37-49
33-54
150.0Avg total
67.7Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)71.782.9154.6-11.215%
Season at home (13)74.276.4150.6-2.223%
Season away (13)69.289.4158.6-20.28%
Last 10 (10)67.782.3150.0-14.610%
Last 5 (5)75.683.4159.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)70.686.0156.7-15.44%
vs Similar (2)75.587.5163.0-12.00%
vs Weaker (2)72.560.5133.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -8.4-8.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -8.4-8.4
Texas StateLouisiana Monroe
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H15/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A23/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A24/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H29/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A05/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H07/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H12/02
NCAA
65.0Avg total
33.1Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.832.867.6+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.130.466.5+5.768%-
Last 30 away (11)32.536.969.5-4.418%-
Last 10 (10)33.131.965.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.629.466.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.038.071.0-5.050%-
vs Similar (16)31.836.267.9-4.412%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.227.466.6+11.7100%-
This opponent (Louisiana Monroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana MonroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A09/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
36-65
36
65
-29
A22/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
20-28
20
28
-8
A23/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H30/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H01/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A05/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H07/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A12/02
NCAA
71.8Avg total
32.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.039.873.9-5.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.937.572.4-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)33.142.275.3-9.113%-
Last 10 (10)32.839.071.8-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.272.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)34.241.675.7-7.420%-
vs Similar (2)31.035.566.5-4.50%-
vs Weaker (2)31.026.557.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Texas State wins
2
Louisiana Monroe wins
Texas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26HTroy74-62
07/02/26HWestern Michigan77-61
05/02/26AGeorgia Southern77-71
31/01/26HOld Dominion81-64
29/01/26HMarshall72-68
24/01/26AJames Madison57-82
23/01/26ACoastal Carolina70-72
17/01/26HSouthern Miss74-67
15/01/26HLouisiana Lafayette59-54
10/01/26AArkansas State82-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26AArkansas State70-103
07/02/26HBall State68-73
05/02/26AOld Dominion85-79
01/02/26HCoastal Carolina79-83
30/01/26HGeorgia Southern76-79
23/01/26AAppalachian State43-59
22/01/26AMarshall60-115
17/01/26HGeorgia State57-77
10/01/26ASouthern Miss60-70
09/01/26ALouisiana Lafayette79-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW59%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %59%88%18%
Points / game73.776.669.4
Allowed / game70.464.279.3
Point differential+3.3+12.4-9.9
Avg total144.0140.9148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)80% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %7%6%9%
Louisiana Monroe
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL15%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayLLLWL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %15%23%8%
Points / game71.774.269.2
Allowed / game82.976.489.4
Point differential-11.2-2.2-20.2
Avg total154.6150.6158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (6)-
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Appalachian State2718967%71.764.1+7.6
2 Troy2617965%82.374.9+7.4
3 Marshall2516964%80.075.0+5.0
4 South Alabama2516964%73.168.6+4.5
5 Arkansas State26161062%82.377.0+5.3
6 Texas State27161159%73.770.4+3.3
7 Coastal Carolina27161159%73.572.1+1.4
8 Georgia Southern26141254%80.379.6+0.7
9 James Madison26131350%74.175.2-1.1
10 Southern Miss27131448%73.573.6-0.1
11 Georgia State2691735%71.174.2-3.1
12 Louisiana Lafayette2691735%62.669.0-6.5
13 Old Dominion2681831%74.377.7-3.3
14 Louisiana Monroe2642215%71.782.9-11.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State455095
Louisiana Monroe434184
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