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TFT Skopje vs Vardar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 92-82
27-18 22-17 27-23 16-24
Position#6
Record7-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game70.5
TFT Skopje 🏆
Macedonia
vs
Vardar
Macedonia
Position#10
Record3-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game95.5
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 14· SRC Kale
Other2023-24
Meetings · TFT Skopje v Vardar
20 Jan 2024
TSK92
VARD82
13 Mar 2021
TSK94
VARD71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TFT Skopje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vardar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TFT SkopjeMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSkopje
Date
Competition
Pelister
#11
L
79-83
79
83
-4
67avg 61
A17/11
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#9
L
63-70
63
70
-7
49avg 61
H19/11
ABA League 2
MZT Skopje
#1
L
63-68
63
68
-5
44avg 61
H22/11
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
65-66
65
66
-1
53avg 61
A25/11
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 61
H02/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
79-75
79
75
+4
75avg 61
A10/12
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
57-72
57
72
-15
48avg 61
H14/12
Prva Liga
Sutjeska
#10
L
60-74
60
74
-14
48avg 61
A19/12
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#8
L
65-66
65
66
-1
60avg 61
H21/12
ABA League 2
Cair 2030
#4
L
63-81
63
81
-18
no box
A24/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
11-23
27-20
20-24
17-20
23-13
10-20
13-17
17-15
18-20
17-18
11-15
16-21
12-22
18-15
19-8
29-15
25-18
22-22
17-20
20-21
19-13
22-27
18-14
13-21
18-15
12-23
14-13
17-17
7-20
14-17
22-20
14-21
7-13
22-20
22-12
19-28
14-29
16-11
14-13
141.7Avg total
68.7Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.370.5141.8+0.854%
Season at home (6)73.769.2142.8+4.567%
Season away (7)69.371.6140.9-2.343%
Last 10 (10)68.773.0141.7-4.320%
Last 5 (5)64.873.6138.4-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)66.375.4141.8-9.18%
vs Similar (7)73.479.0152.4-5.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.369.7152.0+12.591%
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
Cair 2030
#4
L
76-100
76
100
-24
54avg 63
A21/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
68-119
68
119
-51
52avg 63
H28/10
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
102-91
102
91
+11
102avg 63
H05/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
57-78
57
78
-21
46avg 63
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
75-90
75
90
-15
56avg 63
H18/11
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
74-116
74
116
-42
62avg 63
A26/11
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
61-96
61
96
-35
46avg 63
H02/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
66-116
66
116
-50
46avg 63
A10/12
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 63
A16/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
89-104
89
104
-15
82avg 63
H23/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
18-31
20-31
19-18
24-30
10-30
21-30
13-29
23-27
24-23
24-23
31-18
9-20
19-25
18-20
11-13
15-25
12-20
27-20
21-25
18-31
20-28
13-30
23-27
12-34
23-24
16-23
10-15
19-34
19-29
18-25
10-28
19-21
25-24
21-20
16-24
24-26
20-31
24-24
21-23
174.8Avg total
74.9Scored
99.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.695.5171.1-19.823%
Season at home (7)78.495.9174.3-17.429%
Season away (6)72.395.0167.3-22.717%
Last 10 (10)74.999.9174.8-25.010%
Last 5 (5)74.2104.2178.4-30.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)73.291.3164.5-18.212%
vs Similar (4)88.582.8171.2+5.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (TFT Skopje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -8.6-8.6Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -7.5-7.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -4.5-4.5
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -8.6-8.6Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -7.5-7.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -4.5-4.5
TFT SkopjeVardar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TFT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pelister
#11
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A17/11
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H19/11
ABA League 2
MZT Skopje
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H22/11
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A25/11
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H02/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A10/12
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H14/12
Prva Liga
Sutjeska
#10
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A19/12
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#8
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H21/12
ABA League 2
Cair 2030
#4
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A24/12
Prva Liga
71.8Avg total
33.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.276.8-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.936.976.8+3.044%-
Last 30 away (14)35.141.976.9-6.829%-
Last 10 (10)33.738.171.8-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)29.639.669.2-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.340.571.8-9.28%-
vs Similar (7)38.443.682.0-5.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.035.079.0+9.064%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cair 2030
#4
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A21/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H28/10
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H05/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H18/11
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A26/11
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H02/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A10/12
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A16/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H23/12
Prva Liga
90.5Avg total
37.2Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.846.285.0-7.424%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.348.387.6-9.031%-
Last 30 away (16)38.444.582.9-6.119%-
Last 10 (10)37.253.390.5-16.10%-
Last 5 (5)39.856.496.2-16.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.246.885.1-8.624%-
vs Similar (4)42.242.284.5+0.025%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (TFT Skopje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
TFT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

TFT Skopje: 67.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.216.5
48.2%
53.9%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.4
31.1%
32.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.49.5
61.7%
70.3%9.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.918.7
46.9%
53.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.4
33.3%
32.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.511.5
62.2%
70.3%11.5
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
TFT Skopje
LLLLWWLLLL
Vardar
LLLLLLLWLL
#6
League position
#10
-5.9
Net rating
-30.4
93.6
Offensive rating
90.4
99.6
Defensive rating
120.7
47.5%
Effective FG%
48.1%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
59.4%
19.2%
Turnover %
20.1%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
19.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.1%
3-point %
33.3%
59.0%
Assist %
56.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 90.4Defence99.6 · 120.7Shooting47.5% · 48.1%3-point %31.1% · 33.3%Ball care19.2% · 20.1%Off. rebounds25.1% · 19.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ TFT Skopje   ■ Vardar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
TFT Skopje wins
0
Vardar wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23Vardar v TFT Skopje64-88
13/03/21TFT Skopje v Vardar94-71
05/12/20Vardar v TFT Skopje99-100
TFT Skopjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23ACair 203063-81
21/12/23HBorac Banja Luka65-66
19/12/23ASutjeska60-74
14/12/23HRabotnicki57-72
10/12/23AFeniks 201079-75
02/12/23HOhrid93-75
25/11/23ATikvesh65-66
22/11/23HMZT Skopje63-68
19/11/23HHelios Domzale63-70
17/11/23APelister79-83
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HFeniks 201089-104
16/12/23AOhrid81-89
10/12/23ATikvesh66-116
02/12/23HMZT Skopje61-96
26/11/23APelister74-116
18/11/23HGostivar75-90
11/11/23AKozuv57-78
05/11/23HFMP Akademija102-91
28/10/23HRabotnicki68-119
21/10/23ACair 203076-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TFT Skopje
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL54%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%67%43%
Points / game71.373.769.3
Allowed / game70.569.271.6
Point differential+0.8+4.5-2.3
Avg total141.8142.8140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeLWLLL29%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %23%29%17%
Points / game75.678.472.3
Allowed / game95.595.995.0
Point differential-19.8-17.4-22.7
Avg total171.1174.3167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 MZT Skopje1312192%80.665.3+15.3
2 Tikvesh1310377%87.371.7+15.6
3 Rabotnicki139469%84.972.6+12.3
4 Pelister139469%86.276.2+10.0
5 Cair 2030139469%83.678.3+5.3
6 Feniks 2010137654%81.979.1+2.8
7 TFT Skopje137654%71.370.5+0.8
8 Gostivar134931%75.382.6-7.3
9 Kozuv1331023%77.479.0-1.6
10 FMP Akademija1331023%78.694.6-16.0
11 Vardar1331023%75.695.5-19.8
12 Ohrid1321115%71.588.9-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
TFT Skopje2722271692
Vardar1817232482
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