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Thorl vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 84-79
24-17 23-23 19-19 18-20
Position#4
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game85.0
Thorl 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#6
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game74.8
IcelandPremier leagueRound 5· Icelandic Glacial hollin
Other2023-24
Meetings · Thorl v Alftanes
09 Oct 2025
THOR70
ALFT89
13 Dec 2024
THOR89
ALFT78
02 Nov 2023
THOR84
ALFT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Thorl winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Haukar
#4
W
95-93
95
93
+2
no box
A17/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
A21/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
H24/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
65-91
65
91
-26
no box
A27/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
94-103
94
103
-9
no box
H30/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
95-102
95
102
-7
no box
A02/05
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
66avg 74
H06/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 74
A12/10
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
84-81
84
81
+3
84avg 74
H19/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
73avg 74
A26/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
22-21
30-28
24-21
16-20
28-20
18-11
21-24
28-28
28-23
18-13
18-19
12-20
18-21
13-22
22-28
27-22
15-37
27-24
25-20
21-22
23-32
16-24
35-24
25-15
20-29
23-33
13-19
22-17
19-22
19-20
24-21
20-20
17-22
27-16
20-23
24-22
20-15
29-25
11-21
174.4Avg total
85.7Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.285.0168.2-1.875%
Season at home (2)82.588.5171.0-6.050%
Season away (2)84.081.5165.5+2.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.788.7174.4-3.060%
Last 5 (5)85.688.4174.0-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.096.0177.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)91.291.0182.2+0.253%
vs Weaker (10)100.686.8187.4+13.880%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
H31/10
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#9
L
65-70
65
70
-5
30avg 73
H08/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
86-79
86
79
+7
82avg 73
H12/10
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
91-71
91
71
+20
85avg 73
A19/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
90-79
90
79
+11
93avg 73
H26/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
20-33
15-24
38-17
20-26
18-20
16-11
11-13
27-17
23-21
16-23
20-18
32-20
12-15
26-18
21-18
22-22
26-15
19-21
23-21
163.0Avg total
83.2Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.074.8157.8+8.275%
Season at home (3)80.376.0156.3+4.367%
Season away (1)91.071.0162.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (5)83.279.8163.0+3.460%
Last 5 (5)83.279.8163.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (2)77.574.5152.0+3.050%
vs Weaker (1)91.071.0162.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +5.2+5.2
ThorlAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A17/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A21/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H24/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A27/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H30/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A02/05
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A12/10
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H19/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A26/10
Premier league
87.5Avg total
42.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.443.689.0+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.642.588.1+3.269%-
Last 30 away (17)45.244.589.7+0.647%-
Last 10 (10)42.445.187.5-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.285.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.044.089.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)43.944.788.6-0.753%-
vs Weaker (10)48.141.689.7+6.560%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
31-59
31
59
-28
H31/10
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#9
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H08/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H12/10
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A19/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H26/10
Premier league
85.2Avg total
42.2Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)42.243.085.2-0.860%-
Last 30 at home (4)41.845.086.8-3.250%-
Last 30 away (1)44.035.079.0+9.0100%-
Last 10 (5)42.243.085.2-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.085.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.038.088.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)43.041.584.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (1)44.035.079.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.8
51.0%
51.2%37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.2
32.3%
34.2%30.8
🏀 Free throws20.014.5
72.5%
74.4%14.5
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.026.0
55.3%
51.2%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.0
28.6%
34.2%18.0
🏀 Free throws18.812.5
66.7%
74.4%12.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Thorl
WWWLLLLWWW
Alftanes
WWWLL
#4
League position
#6
-2.9
Net rating
+11.6
104.9
Offensive rating
103.7
107.7
Defensive rating
92.1
49.8%
Effective FG%
51.5%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
44.2%
16.0%
Turnover %
13.2%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
19.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.3%
3-point %
28.6%
61.2%
Assist %
54.7%
60%
Form (last 10/5)
60%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 103.7Defence107.7 · 92.1Shooting49.8% · 51.5%3-point %32.3% · 28.6%Ball care16.0% · 13.2%Off. rebounds27.5% · 19.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/5)60% · 60%
■ Thorl   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Thorl wins
0
Alftanes wins
No previous meetings.
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/23AHottur84-83
19/10/23HHaukar84-81
12/10/23AStjarnan84-80
06/10/23HValur81-96
02/05/23AValur95-102
30/04/23HValur94-103
27/04/23AValur65-91
24/04/23HValur92-83
21/04/23AValur83-75
17/04/23AHaukar95-93
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/23HNjardvik90-79
19/10/23ABreidablik91-71
12/10/23HGrindavik86-79
08/10/23HTindastoll65-70
31/10/21HNjardvik84-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Thorl
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game83.282.584.0
Allowed / game85.088.581.5
Point differential-1.8-6.0+2.5
Avg total168.2171.0165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alftanes
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLWW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game83.080.391.0
Allowed / game74.876.071.0
Point differential+8.2+4.3+20.0
Avg total157.8156.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur43175%91.576.8+14.8
2 Njardvik43175%92.883.8+9.0
3 Alftanes43175%83.074.8+8.2
4 Tindastoll43175%89.083.2+5.8
5 Thorl43175%83.285.0-1.8
6 Haukar42250%98.088.0+10.0
7 Stjarnan42250%86.284.0+2.2
8 Hottur42250%84.587.8-3.2
9 Keflavik42250%91.895.2-3.5
10 Grindavik41325%94.295.2-1.0
11 Hamar4040%84.599.8-15.2
12 Breidablik4040%78.0103.2-25.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Thorl2423191884
Alftanes1723192079
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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