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Thorl vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-78
27-17 16-21 22-24 24-16
Position#9
Record5-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game93.0
Thorl 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#6
Record4-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game93.2
IcelandPremier leagueRound 10· Icelandic Glacial hollin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Thorl v Alftanes
09 Oct 2025
THOR70
ALFT89
13 Dec 2024
THOR89
ALFT78
02 Nov 2023
THOR84
ALFT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Thorl winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
W
93-90
93
90
+3
83avg 85
H03/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
95-88 OT
95
88
+7
85avg 85
A10/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
92-97
92
97
-5
80avg 85
H18/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
84-73
84
73
+11
78avg 85
A24/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
82-81
82
81
+1
82avg 85
H01/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
70-99
70
99
-29
56avg 85
A09/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
78-101
78
101
-23
68avg 85
H15/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
82-124
82
124
-42
76avg 85
A30/11
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
106-84
106
84
+22
115avg 85
H05/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
81-108
81
108
-27
77avg 85
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
17-26
22-19
22-25
25-14
12-27
31-20
13-20
20-24
24-27
19-20
29-26
14-19
19-22
30-17
21-15
33-23
15-25
18-12
16-21
23-28
21-24
16-29
10-18
28-18
19-26
22-26
9-31
25-31
15-40
15-23
27-30
29-20
24-28
29-15
24-21
22-27
26-27
23-24
10-30
180.8Avg total
86.3Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.993.0179.9-6.156%
Season at home (5)90.290.6180.8-0.460%
Season away (4)82.896.0178.8-13.250%
Last 10 (10)86.394.5180.8-8.250%
Last 5 (5)83.4103.2186.6-19.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.497.7181.1-14.329%
vs Similar ◀ (17)94.192.9187.1+1.259%
vs Weaker (5)93.684.0177.6+9.6100%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#10
L
101-108 OT
101
108
-7
70avg 77
H03/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
80-89
80
89
-9
67avg 77
A12/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
95avg 77
H17/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
84-72
84
72
+12
85avg 77
A24/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
93-87
93
87
+6
94avg 77
H31/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
91-86
91
86
+5
87avg 77
A08/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
90-88
90
88
+2
79avg 77
H14/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
99-109
99
109
-10
94avg 77
A29/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
77-97
77
97
-20
38avg 77
H06/12
Premier league
Snaefell
#16
W
106-66
106
66
+40
106avg 77
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
23-25
31-18
17-23
25-24
19-21
16-23
20-21
19-20
21-17
27-19
21-32
24-17
19-24
21-22
20-9
26-20
26-30
19-28
22-9
25-28
26-16
17-27
23-15
30-20
24-25
19-23
17-20
21-29
38-26
20-32
20-22
20-23
23-30
17-29
17-15
25-11
33-16
24-18
24-21
182.6Avg total
92.1Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.693.2183.8-2.744%
Season at home (5)92.296.6188.8-4.440%
Season away (4)88.589.0177.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)92.190.5182.6+1.650%
Last 5 (5)92.689.2181.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.992.7174.6-10.914%
vs Similar ◀ (16)85.186.9172.0-1.844%
vs Weaker (5)97.882.2180.0+15.6100%
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -8.0-8.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -8.0-8.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
ThorlAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H03/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A10/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H18/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A24/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H01/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H15/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
40-71
40
71
-31
A30/11
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H05/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
93.9Avg total
44.3Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.547.493.9-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.947.094.9+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)45.047.892.8-2.840%-
Last 10 (10)44.349.693.9-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)46.453.8100.2-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.746.989.6-4.157%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)46.249.295.4-3.129%-
vs Weaker (5)52.440.693.0+11.880%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#10
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H03/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A12/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A24/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H31/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A08/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H14/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A29/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H06/12
Premier league
Snaefell
#16
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
94.4Avg total
49.2Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.143.388.4+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.843.389.1+2.569%-
Last 30 away (14)44.243.487.6+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)49.245.294.4+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)53.044.897.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)46.648.194.7-1.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.743.685.2-1.950%-
vs Weaker (5)50.440.490.8+10.0100%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.1
57.7%
53.7%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.3
34.1%
34.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.013.0
72.2%
75.6%13.0
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.8
57.2%
53.7%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.1
30.9%
34.4%21.3
🏀 Free throws22.116.1
72.9%
75.6%16.1
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Thorl
LWLLLWWLWW
Alftanes
WLLWWWWLLL
#9
League position
#6
-16.3
Net rating
+1.1
104.5
Offensive rating
109.3
120.7
Defensive rating
108.2
54.7%
Effective FG%
53.5%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
18.9%
Turnover %
15.4%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.1%
3-point %
30.9%
61.8%
Assist %
60.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 109.3Defence120.7 · 108.2Shooting54.7% · 53.5%3-point %34.1% · 30.9%Ball care18.9% · 15.4%Off. rebounds22.5% · 25.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Thorl   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Thorl wins
0
Alftanes wins
DateGameScore
01/02/24Alftanes v Thorl94-104
02/11/23Thorl v Alftanes84-79
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/24HStjarnan81-108
05/12/24HHottur106-84
30/11/24AStjarnan82-124
15/11/24HTindastoll78-101
09/11/24AGrindavik70-99
01/11/24HHaukar82-81
24/10/24AIR Reykjavik84-73
18/10/24HKR Basket92-97
10/10/24AValur95-88 OT
03/10/24HNjardvik93-90
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/24HSnaefell106-66
06/12/24HStjarnan77-97
29/11/24ATindastoll99-109
14/11/24HGrindavik90-88
08/11/24AHaukar91-86
31/10/24HIR Reykjavik93-87
24/10/24AKR Basket84-72
17/10/24HValur100-103 OT
12/10/24ANjardvik80-89
03/10/24HKeflavik101-108 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Thorl
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW56%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game86.990.282.8
Allowed / game93.090.696.0
Point differential-6.1-0.4-13.2
Avg total179.9180.8178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %11%0%25%
Alftanes
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL44%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game90.692.288.5
Allowed / game93.296.689.0
Point differential-2.7-4.4-0.5
Avg total183.8188.8177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %22%40%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan109190%100.986.4+14.5
2 Tindastoll108280%96.586.3+10.2
3 Njardvik106460%89.987.3+2.6
4 Grindavik95456%96.888.0+8.8
5 Thorl95456%86.993.0-6.1
6 Keflavik105550%100.296.0+4.2
7 KR Basket105550%89.789.3+0.4
8 Alftanes94544%90.693.2-2.7
9 IR Reykjavik104640%85.493.1-7.7
10 Valur93633%91.292.9-1.7
11 Hottur103730%85.893.1-7.3
12 Haukar101910%84.399.7-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Thorl2716222489
Alftanes1721241678
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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