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Thorl vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 70-89
16-22 13-20 20-22 21-25
Position#11
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game102.0
vs
Position#8
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game121.0
Allowed / game69.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 2· Icelandic Glacial hollin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Thorl v Alftanes
09 Oct 2025
THOR70
ALFT89
13 Dec 2024
THOR89
ALFT78
02 Nov 2023
THOR84
ALFT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Thorl winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#8
L
99-102
99
102
-3
99avg 87
A16/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
94-95
94
95
-1
93avg 87
H24/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
100-99
100
99
+1
95avg 87
A02/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
95-104
95
104
-9
84avg 87
H06/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
96-109
96
109
-13
96avg 87
A13/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
95avg 87
H28/02
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
95-103
95
103
-8
88avg 87
A06/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
96-108
96
108
-12
88avg 87
A13/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
108avg 87
H27/03
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
L
92-102
92
102
-10
81avg 87
A02/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
21-25
20-33
28-20
24-32
27-16
24-28
19-19
25-37
33-15
21-20
21-27
23-21
14-29
33-24
25-30
15-34
30-28
28-18
23-29
23-26
18-18
19-23
18-11
28-30
30-32
26-13
11-28
11-21
32-33
19-26
34-28
25-24
30-31
29-36
30-28
31-25
23-24
17-28
21-25
200.7Avg total
97.5Scored
103.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)92.0102.0194.0-10.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)92.0102.0194.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)97.5103.2200.7-5.720%
Last 5 (5)98.2104.6202.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)90.198.1188.2-8.040%
vs Similar (16)95.096.2191.2-1.238%
vs Weaker (3)91.394.0185.3-2.767%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Hottur
#11
L
95-99
95
99
-4
87avg 86
A27/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
95-89
95
89
+6
84avg 86
A03/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
107-96
107
96
+11
107avg 86
H07/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
74-107
74
107
-33
58avg 86
A11/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
104-89
104
89
+15
102avg 86
H15/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
78-100
78
100
-22
64avg 86
A21/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
94-92
94
92
+2
93avg 86
H25/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
104-105 OT
104
105
-1
106avg 86
A29/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
90-105
90
105
-15
79avg 86
H03/05
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
121-69
121
69
+52
119avg 86
H02/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
20-22
24-19
27-32
24-29
31-18
15-25
25-17
33-26
19-15
22-24
33-31
24-24
24-25
7-25
19-33
31-22
21-19
23-22
29-26
12-20
28-40
18-24
20-16
28-28
26-20
17-16
23-28
21-28
25-21
14-22
29-18
19-19
24-27
24-30
23-29
36-13
37-17
23-21
25-18
191.3Avg total
96.2Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)121.069.0190.0+52.0100%
Season at home (1)121.069.0190.0+52.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)96.295.1191.3+1.150%
Last 5 (5)97.494.2191.6+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)90.697.0187.6-6.447%
vs Similar (9)91.888.1179.9+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)100.687.2187.8+13.460%
This opponent (Thorl) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
ThorlAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#8
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A16/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H24/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A02/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H06/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A13/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H28/02
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A06/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A13/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H27/03
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A02/10
Premier league
101.8Avg total
49.3Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.850.296.9-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.646.292.8+0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)46.954.1101.1-7.220%-
Last 10 (10)49.352.5101.8-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)50.252.8103.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)44.049.093.0-5.030%-
vs Similar (16)47.250.897.9-3.631%-
vs Weaker (3)53.349.7103.0+3.767%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hottur
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A27/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A03/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H07/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A11/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H15/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A21/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H25/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A29/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H03/05
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
73-30
73
30
+43
H02/10
Premier league
96.6Avg total
50.7Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.445.594.9+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.644.195.7+7.669%-
Last 30 away (14)46.847.294.0-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)50.745.996.6+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)51.246.697.8+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)48.448.096.4+0.453%-
vs Similar (9)47.244.992.1+2.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)54.443.097.4+11.460%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 96.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.422.2
61.0%
54.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.612.0
35.7%
34.0%36.0
🏀 Free throws20.515.9
77.6%
74.2%15.9
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 95.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.924.3
52.9%
54.6%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.5
36.8%
34.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws24.518.3
74.7%
74.2%18.3
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Thorl
LLLLWLLWLL
Alftanes
WLLWLWLWWL
#11
League position
#8
-7.3
Net rating
+1.6
116.0
Offensive rating
114.7
123.4
Defensive rating
113.1
57.4%
Effective FG%
53.8%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.7%
3-point %
36.8%
65.2%
Assist %
50.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 114.7Defence123.4 · 113.1Shooting57.4% · 53.8%3-point %35.7% · 36.8%Ball care15.2% · 15.1%Off. rebounds23.1% · 28.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Thorl   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Thorl wins
1
Alftanes wins
DateGameScore
13/03/25Alftanes v Thorl108-96
13/12/24Thorl v Alftanes89-78
01/02/24Alftanes v Thorl94-104
02/11/23Thorl v Alftanes84-79
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/25AAkranes IA92-102
27/03/25HKeflavik114-119
13/03/25AAlftanes96-108
06/03/25AHottur95-103
28/02/25HStjarnan94-91 OT
13/02/25ATindastoll96-109
06/02/25HGrindavik95-104
02/02/25AHaukar100-99
24/01/25HIR Reykjavik94-95
16/01/25AKR Basket99-102
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/25HArmann121-69
03/05/25HTindastoll90-105
29/04/25ATindastoll104-105 OT
25/04/25HTindastoll94-92
21/04/25ATindastoll78-100
15/04/25HNjardvik104-89
11/04/25ANjardvik74-107
07/04/25HNjardvik107-96
03/04/25ANjardvik95-89
27/03/25AHottur95-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Thorl
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game92.0-92.0
Allowed / game102.0-102.0
Point differential-10.0--10.0
Avg total194.0-194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Alftanes
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game121.0121.0-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential+52.0+52.0-
Avg total190.0190.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alftanes110100%121.069.0+52.0
2 Grindavik110100%109.096.0+13.0
3 Akranes IA110100%102.092.0+10.0
4 Keflavik110100%92.083.0+9.0
5 KR Basket110100%102.098.0+4.0
6 Tindastoll110100%87.085.0+2.0
7 Valur1010%85.087.0-2.0
8 Stjarnan1010%98.0102.0-4.0
9 IR Reykjavik1010%83.092.0-9.0
10 Thorl1010%92.0102.0-10.0
11 Njardvik1010%96.0109.0-13.0
12 Armann1010%69.0121.0-52.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Thorl1613202170
Alftanes2220222589
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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