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Thorl vs Hottur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 106-84
29-20 24-28 29-15 24-21
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game94.1
Thorl 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#11
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game92.9
IcelandPremier leagueRound 9· Icelandic Glacial hollin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Thorl v Hottur
05 Dec 2024
THOR106
HOTT84
25 Jan 2024
THOR89
HOTT92
20 Oct 2022
THOR89
HOTT91
07 Feb 2021
THOR97
HOTT89
02 Mar 2018
THOR94
HOTT66
11 Dec 2015
THOR85
HOTT61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Thorl winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hottur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
84-91
84
91
-7
75avg 85
H22/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
97-98 OT
97
98
-1
90avg 85
A25/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
93-90
93
90
+3
83avg 85
H03/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
95-88 OT
95
88
+7
85avg 85
A10/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
92-97
92
97
-5
80avg 85
H18/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
84-73
84
73
+11
78avg 85
A24/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
82-81
82
81
+1
82avg 85
H01/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
70-99
70
99
-29
56avg 85
A09/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
78-101
78
101
-23
68avg 85
H15/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
82-124
82
124
-42
76avg 85
A30/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
17-20
18-17
27-33
28-34
21-18
22-25
16-10
32-20
17-26
22-19
22-25
25-14
12-27
31-20
13-20
20-24
24-27
19-20
29-26
14-19
19-22
30-17
21-15
33-23
15-25
18-12
16-21
23-28
21-24
16-29
10-18
28-18
19-26
22-26
9-31
25-31
15-40
15-23
27-30
179.9Avg total
85.7Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.594.1178.6-9.650%
Season at home (4)86.292.2178.5-6.050%
Season away (4)82.896.0178.8-13.250%
Last 10 (10)85.794.2179.9-8.540%
Last 5 (5)79.295.6174.8-16.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)84.297.1181.4-12.925%
vs Similar ◀ (16)93.493.5186.9-0.156%
vs Weaker (6)98.087.3185.3+10.7100%
This opponent (Hottur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Valur
#1
L
74-94
74
94
-20
54avg 72
A18/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
75avg 72
H22/04
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
108-80
108
80
+28
109avg 72
A03/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
120-115 OT
120
115
+5
114avg 72
H10/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
84-113
84
113
-29
61avg 72
A17/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
76-91
76
91
-15
62avg 72
H24/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
59-99
59
99
-40
38avg 72
A31/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
83-70
83
70
+13
76avg 72
H08/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 72
A14/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
85-88
85
88
-3
73avg 72
H29/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
25-23
16-22
16-29
15-28
18-19
30-30
24-10
24-17
24-19
28-16
32-28
32-27
20-31
20-21
31-24
9-31
24-25
20-25
31-32
12-26
26-21
18-24
20-20
17-29
13-26
15-24
14-20
30-11
15-32
22-14
16-13
25-21
13-19
16-29
26-18
19-25
16-17
25-23
25-23
180.6Avg total
86.6Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.992.9179.8-6.038%
Season at home (4)91.091.0182.0+0.050%
Season away (4)82.894.8177.5-12.025%
Last 10 (10)86.694.0180.6-7.430%
Last 5 (5)76.687.0163.6-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)81.794.2175.9-12.518%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.279.4160.7+1.856%
vs Weaker (3)95.779.3175.0+16.3100%
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -7.5-7.5Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -7.5-7.5Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
ThorlHottur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H22/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A25/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H03/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A10/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H18/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A24/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H01/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H15/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
40-71
40
71
-31
A30/11
Premier league
91.7Avg total
43.0Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.347.293.4-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.546.695.1+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)44.347.691.9-3.338%-
Last 10 (10)43.048.791.7-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)42.451.293.6-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.646.688.2-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)45.849.395.1-3.625%-
vs Weaker (6)53.842.296.0+11.783%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H22/04
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A03/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H10/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A17/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H24/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A31/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H08/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A14/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H29/11
Premier league
86.1Avg total
39.4Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.784.8-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.643.785.3-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.743.784.4-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.446.786.1-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)37.245.482.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.548.288.6-7.724%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.039.879.8+0.256%-
vs Weaker (3)48.332.080.3+16.3100%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.322.1
57.7%
53.7%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.99.5
30.7%
34.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.112.6
69.6%
75.6%12.6
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.617.8
42.8%
53.7%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.9
34.6%
34.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.917.8
77.7%
75.6%17.8
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Thorl
LLLWWLWWLL
Hottur
LLWLLLWWLL
#9
League position
#11
-17.0
Net rating
-8.4
103.1
Offensive rating
102.3
120.1
Defensive rating
110.7
52.5%
Effective FG%
46.7%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.7%
3-point %
34.6%
57.0%
Assist %
53.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 102.3Defence120.1 · 110.7Shooting52.5% · 46.7%3-point %30.7% · 34.6%Ball care17.1% · 16.5%Off. rebounds22.7% · 29.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Thorl   ■ Hottur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Thorl wins
2
Hottur wins
DateGameScore
25/01/24Thorl v Hottur89-92
26/10/23Hottur v Thorl83-84
28/01/23Hottur v Thorl83-86
20/10/22Thorl v Hottur89-91
03/05/21Hottur v Thorl85-100
07/02/21Thorl v Hottur97-89
02/03/18Thorl v Hottur94-66
01/12/17Hottur v Thorl71-80
06/03/16Hottur v Thorl93-104
11/12/15Thorl v Hottur85-61
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24AStjarnan82-124
15/11/24HTindastoll78-101
09/11/24AGrindavik70-99
01/11/24HHaukar82-81
24/10/24AIR Reykjavik84-73
18/10/24HKR Basket92-97
10/10/24AValur95-88 OT
03/10/24HNjardvik93-90
25/04/24ANjardvik97-98 OT
22/04/24HNjardvik84-91
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24HKR Basket85-88
14/11/24AStjarnan80-87
08/11/24HValur83-70
31/10/24ATindastoll59-99
24/10/24HNjardvik76-91
17/10/24AGrindavik84-113
10/10/24HKeflavik120-115 OT
03/10/24AHaukar108-80
22/04/24HValur97-103 OT
18/04/24AValur74-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Thorl
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.586.282.8
Allowed / game94.192.296.0
Point differential-9.6-6.0-13.2
Avg total178.6178.5178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %12%0%25%
Hottur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game86.991.082.8
Allowed / game92.991.094.8
Point differential-6.0+0.0-12.0
Avg total179.8182.0177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan87188%101.986.8+15.1
2 Tindastoll87188%97.283.4+13.9
3 Grindavik85362%98.087.2+10.8
4 Njardvik85362%91.186.5+4.6
5 Keflavik84450%98.696.2+2.4
6 KR Basket84450%88.188.5-0.4
7 Alftanes84450%92.292.8-0.5
8 Thorl84450%84.594.1-9.6
9 Valur83538%90.591.5-1.0
10 Hottur83538%86.992.9-6.0
11 IR Reykjavik82625%84.494.6-10.2
12 Haukar8080%81.4100.4-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Thorl29242924106
Hottur2028152184
← all games of the day
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