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Thorl vs Hottur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 89-92
23-33 22-24 22-13 22-22
Position#4
Record10-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Hottur 🏆
Iceland
Position#8
Record7-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game83.8
IcelandPremier leagueRound 15· Icelandic Glacial hollin
Other2023-24
Meetings · Thorl v Hottur
05 Dec 2024
THOR106
HOTT84
25 Jan 2024
THOR89
HOTT92
20 Oct 2022
THOR89
HOTT91
07 Feb 2021
THOR97
HOTT89
02 Mar 2018
THOR94
HOTT66
11 Dec 2015
THOR85
HOTT61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Thorl winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hottur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
W
84-79
84
79
+5
75avg 84
H02/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
90-93
90
93
-3
96avg 84
A09/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
120-104
120
104
+16
129avg 84
H17/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
76-103
76
103
-27
61avg 84
A23/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
96-79
96
79
+17
97avg 84
H30/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
86avg 84
H07/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
103-102
103
102
+1
90avg 84
A15/12
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
73avg 84
A04/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
98-92
98
92
+6
87avg 84
H12/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
87avg 84
A19/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
23-23
19-19
18-20
15-21
19-24
30-23
26-25
32-25
29-25
32-17
27-37
17-35
16-18
20-30
23-20
29-16
23-18
17-29
27-16
23-13
30-22
14-27
19-18
28-17
32-31
25-28
18-26
18-15
21-19
24-27
19-29
31-33
22-24
22-23
23-12
24-19
25-20
23-21
19-21
182.9Avg total
92.6Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)89.988.8178.7+1.171%
Season at home (7)92.787.3180.0+5.486%
Season away (7)87.190.3177.4-3.157%
Last 10 (10)92.690.3182.9+2.370%
Last 5 (5)92.089.0181.0+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.393.0177.3-8.70%
vs Similar ◀ (20)91.190.3181.4+0.865%
vs Weaker (7)97.382.3179.6+15.0100%
This opponent (Hottur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Valur
#1
L
69-80
69
80
-11
55avg 76
A17/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
85avg 76
H23/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
85-93
85
93
-8
77avg 76
A30/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
71-83
71
83
-12
56avg 76
A07/12
Premier league
Hamar
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
74avg 76
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#6
W
78-73
78
73
+5
66avg 76
H14/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
67avg 76
H04/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
86-78
86
78
+8
78avg 76
A11/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
85-88
85
88
-3
78avg 76
H18/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#1
L
93-123
93
123
-30
85avg 76
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
24-26
9-17
8-21
21-12
19-21
29-21
20-18
16-20
23-30
23-15
23-28
18-20
12-25
22-16
19-22
22-14
19-24
26-24
17-20
22-14
22-25
17-13
17-21
13-22
14-25
25-18
19-13
22-12
27-15
19-14
18-37
24-21
28-35
11-13
22-19
21-29
15-25
31-37
26-32
166.1Avg total
81.1Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.183.8166.9-0.650%
Season at home (7)81.377.6158.9+3.757%
Season away (7)85.090.0175.0-5.043%
Last 10 (10)81.185.0166.1-3.940%
Last 5 (5)82.688.0170.6-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.492.2172.6-11.817%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.883.2166.0-0.538%
vs Weaker (9)87.380.0167.3+7.378%
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -4.2-4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -4.2-4.2
ThorlHottur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H02/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A09/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H17/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A23/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H30/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H07/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A15/12
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A04/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H12/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A19/01
Premier league
91.6Avg total
48.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.543.288.7+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.441.989.3+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)43.944.388.2-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)48.143.591.6+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)50.842.693.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.341.080.3-1.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)45.444.990.2+0.555%-
vs Weaker (7)48.639.488.0+9.171%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#1
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A17/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H23/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A30/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A07/12
Premier league
Hamar
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H04/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A11/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H18/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#1
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
84.1Avg total
41.0Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.083.3-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.041.980.9-2.938%-
Last 30 away (14)41.844.386.1-2.543%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.184.1-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.686.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.246.385.6-7.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.944.984.8-5.025%-
vs Weaker (9)42.037.679.6+4.467%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.123.9
59.6%
51.2%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.611.4
32.9%
34.2%34.2
🏀 Free throws13.19.9
75.6%
74.4%9.9
They take 74.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.2
49.6%
51.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.5
32.1%
34.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.2
72.2%
74.4%12.2
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Thorl
WWLWWWLWLW
Hottur
LLWLWWLLWL
#4
League position
#8
+2.7
Net rating
-5.6
114.8
Offensive rating
99.3
112.0
Defensive rating
104.9
54.9%
Effective FG%
48.9%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
16.7%
Turnover %
19.4%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.9%
3-point %
32.1%
62.3%
Assist %
54.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 99.3Defence112.0 · 104.9Shooting54.9% · 48.9%3-point %32.9% · 32.1%Ball care16.7% · 19.4%Off. rebounds33.5% · 27.8%Free throws0.18 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Thorl   ■ Hottur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Thorl wins
1
Hottur wins
DateGameScore
26/10/23Hottur v Thorl83-84
28/01/23Hottur v Thorl83-86
20/10/22Thorl v Hottur89-91
03/05/21Hottur v Thorl85-100
07/02/21Thorl v Hottur97-89
02/03/18Thorl v Hottur94-66
01/12/17Hottur v Thorl71-80
06/03/16Hottur v Thorl93-104
11/12/15Thorl v Hottur85-61
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24AHaukar91-81
12/01/24HStjarnan98-92
04/01/24AValur82-90
15/12/23AKeflavik103-102
07/12/23HHamar86-80
30/11/23HTindastoll96-79
23/11/23ANjardvik76-103
17/11/23HBreidablik120-104
09/11/23AGrindavik90-93
02/11/23HAlftanes84-79
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HKeflavik93-123
18/01/24HNjardvik85-88
11/01/24ABreidablik86-78
04/01/24HGrindavik71-78
14/12/23HAlftanes78-73
10/12/23AHamar84-82
07/12/23ATindastoll71-83
30/11/23AHaukar85-93
23/11/23HStjarnan89-72
17/11/23AValur69-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Thorl
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%86%57%
Points / game89.992.787.1
Allowed / game88.887.390.3
Point differential+1.1+5.4-3.1
Avg total178.7180.0177.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hottur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game83.181.385.0
Allowed / game83.877.690.0
Point differential-0.6+3.7-5.0
Avg total166.9158.9175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur1411379%94.383.4+10.9
2 Njardvik1410471%93.587.8+5.7
3 Thorl1410471%89.988.8+1.1
4 Keflavik149564%94.690.0+4.6
5 Alftanes149564%83.679.3+4.4
6 Stjarnan148657%87.984.5+3.4
7 Grindavik148657%90.989.9+0.9
8 Tindastoll147750%87.185.1+2.0
9 Hottur147750%83.183.8-0.6
10 Haukar1431121%87.790.4-2.7
11 Breidablik1421214%85.098.4-13.4
12 Hamar140140%83.399.6-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Thorl2322222289
Hottur3324132292
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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