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Tindastoll vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 101-81
24-28 29-20 22-14 26-19
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game83.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 2· Saudarkrokur
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tindastoll v Keflavik
04 Mar 2027
TIND v KEFL
upcoming
09 Oct 2025
TIND101
KEFL81
10 Apr 2025
TIND100
KEFL75
02 Apr 2025
TIND94
KEFL87
06 Mar 2025
TIND116
KEFL77
23 Mar 2024
TIND79
KEFL92
14 Oct 2023
TIND105
KEFL88
15 Apr 2023
TIND97
KEFL79
08 Apr 2023
TIND107
KEFL81
06 Jan 2023
TIND75
KEFL84
17 Apr 2022
TIND99
KEFL85
11 Apr 2022
TIND95
KEFL94
05 Apr 2022
TIND101
KEFL80
24 Mar 2022
TIND101
KEFL76
18 May 2021
TIND74
KEFL86
02 May 2021
TIND71
KEFL86
03 Oct 2019
TIND77
KEFL86
14 Mar 2019
TIND89
KEFL68
08 Feb 2018
TIND101
KEFL93
22 Mar 2017
TIND107
KEFL80
16 Mar 2017
TIND102
KEFL110
02 Feb 2017
TIND86
KEFL77
28 Mar 2016
TIND98
KEFL68
20 Mar 2016
TIND96
KEFL80
26 Nov 2015
TIND97
KEFL91
20 Nov 2014
TIND97
KEFL74
08 Nov 2012
TIND84
KEFL92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tindastoll winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TindastollIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTindastoll
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
L
92-94
92
94
-2
84avg 88
A25/04
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
105-104 OT
105
104
+1
90avg 88
H29/04
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
105-90
105
90
+15
100avg 88
A03/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
93-90
93
90
+3
85avg 88
H08/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
74-103
74
103
-29
69avg 88
A11/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
110-97
110
97
+13
105avg 88
H14/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
86-91
86
91
-5
73avg 88
A18/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
69avg 88
H21/05
Premier league
Slovan Bratislava
#15
W
80-56
80
56
+24
72avg 88
A01/10
ENBL
Valur
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
85avg 88
A06/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
20-26
16-17
28-23
28-21
21-25
22-14
18-29
19-19
27-24
30-24
29-23
26-22
17-20
26-32
24-16
15-20
19-15
14-26
26-42
27-24
36-34
21-26
26-13
32-19
24-25
17-29
13-18
24-23
24-17
21-24
8-18
20-12
22-19
21-12
17-13
25-21
26-20
13-20
23-24
180.1Avg total
90.9Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.085.0172.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)87.085.0172.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.989.2180.1+1.760%
Last 5 (5)88.082.2170.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)89.290.2179.5-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)97.688.9186.5+8.876%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Haukar
#12
W
104-95
104
95
+9
98avg 83
A13/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 83
A28/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
77-116
77
116
-39
59avg 83
A06/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
107-98
107
98
+9
98avg 83
H14/03
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
52avg 83
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#9
W
119-114
119
114
+5
112avg 83
A27/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
87-94
87
94
-7
86avg 83
A02/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
93-96
93
96
-3
87avg 83
H06/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
75-100
75
100
-25
59avg 83
A10/04
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
92-83
92
83
+9
85avg 83
H02/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-23
20-22
24-27
26-23
22-28
28-31
20-18
21-24
9-32
18-30
27-27
23-27
30-23
31-25
23-21
23-29
19-21
16-30
14-26
18-14
24-25
31-30
36-29
28-30
23-25
29-23
17-25
18-21
25-23
20-25
26-22
22-26
14-22
20-30
19-23
22-25
26-16
20-25
22-23
24-19
190.0Avg total
91.2Scored
98.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
Season at home (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.298.8190.0-7.640%
Last 5 (5)93.297.4190.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)91.097.2188.2-6.227%
vs Similar (13)90.695.8186.5-5.238%
vs Weaker (5)108.096.2204.2+11.880%
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
TindastollKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TindastollLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A25/04
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H29/04
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A03/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H08/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A11/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H14/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A18/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H21/05
Premier league
Slovan Bratislava
#15
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A01/10
ENBL
Valur
#4
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A06/10
Premier league
91.4Avg total
48.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.844.193.8+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.542.294.7+10.386%-
Last 30 away (16)47.445.793.1+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)48.043.491.4+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)52.042.894.8+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)47.942.290.1+5.675%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)50.744.595.2+6.267%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar
#12
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A13/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A28/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
27-62
27
62
-35
A06/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H14/03
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#9
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A27/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A02/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H06/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A10/04
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H02/10
Premier league
96.8Avg total
45.9Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.149.098.1+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.847.397.1+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)48.450.999.3-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)45.950.996.8-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)46.448.895.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)46.750.296.9-3.536%-
vs Similar (13)48.849.298.0-0.331%-
vs Weaker (5)55.046.6101.6+8.4100%-
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tindastolltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tindastoll: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.4
48.7%
54.6%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.413.5
36.1%
34.0%40.5
🏀 Free throws22.616.4
72.6%
74.2%16.4
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.4
52.7%
54.6%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.711.5
32.2%
34.0%34.5
🏀 Free throws26.020.9
80.4%
74.2%20.9
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tindastoll
WWLLWLWWWL
Keflavik
WLLLWLWLLW
#2
League position
#5
+1.1
Net rating
-9.7
110.6
Offensive rating
111.7
109.5
Defensive rating
121.4
51.5%
Effective FG%
50.4%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
13.4%
Turnover %
14.8%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.1%
3-point %
32.2%
67.6%
Assist %
57.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 111.7Defence109.5 · 121.4Shooting51.5% · 50.4%3-point %36.1% · 32.2%Ball care13.4% · 14.8%Off. rebounds26.2% · 27.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Tindastoll   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tindastoll wins
4
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
10/04/25Tindastoll v Keflavik100-75
06/04/25Keflavik v Tindastoll93-96
02/04/25Tindastoll v Keflavik94-87
06/03/25Tindastoll v Keflavik116-77
09/12/24Keflavik v Tindastoll81-70
06/12/24Keflavik v Tindastoll120-93
23/03/24Tindastoll v Keflavik79-92
10/01/24Keflavik v Tindastoll99-86
14/10/23Tindastoll v Keflavik105-88
15/04/23Tindastoll v Keflavik97-79
Tindastolllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/25AValur87-85
01/10/25ASlovan Bratislava80-56
21/05/25HStjarnan77-82
18/05/25AStjarnan86-91
14/05/25HStjarnan110-97
11/05/25AStjarnan74-103
08/05/25HStjarnan93-90
03/05/25AAlftanes105-90
29/04/25HAlftanes105-104 OT
25/04/25AAlftanes92-94
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/25HIR Reykjavik92-83
10/04/25ATindastoll75-100
06/04/25HTindastoll93-96
02/04/25ATindastoll87-94
27/03/25AThorl119-114
19/03/25HValur67-91
14/03/25HStjarnan107-98
06/03/25ATindastoll77-116
28/02/25AGrindavik91-101
13/02/25AHaukar104-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tindastoll
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game87.0-87.0
Allowed / game85.0-85.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total172.0-172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Keflavik
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game92.092.0-
Allowed / game83.083.0-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total175.0175.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alftanes110100%121.069.0+52.0
2 Grindavik110100%109.096.0+13.0
3 Akranes IA110100%102.092.0+10.0
4 Keflavik110100%92.083.0+9.0
5 KR Basket110100%102.098.0+4.0
6 Tindastoll110100%87.085.0+2.0
7 Valur1010%85.087.0-2.0
8 Stjarnan1010%98.0102.0-4.0
9 IR Reykjavik1010%83.092.0-9.0
10 Thorl1010%92.0102.0-10.0
11 Njardvik1010%96.0109.0-13.0
12 Armann1010%69.0121.0-52.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tindastoll24292226101
Keflavik2820141981
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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