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Tindastoll vs Keflavik Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 04 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game102.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 18· Saudarkrokur
Other2026-27
Meetings · Tindastoll v Keflavik
04 Mar 2027
TIND v KEFL
upcoming
09 Oct 2025
TIND101
KEFL81
10 Apr 2025
TIND100
KEFL75
02 Apr 2025
TIND94
KEFL87
06 Mar 2025
TIND116
KEFL77
23 Mar 2024
TIND79
KEFL92
14 Oct 2023
TIND105
KEFL88
15 Apr 2023
TIND97
KEFL79
08 Apr 2023
TIND107
KEFL81
06 Jan 2023
TIND75
KEFL84
17 Apr 2022
TIND99
KEFL85
11 Apr 2022
TIND95
KEFL94
05 Apr 2022
TIND101
KEFL80
24 Mar 2022
TIND101
KEFL76
18 May 2021
TIND74
KEFL86
02 May 2021
TIND71
KEFL86
03 Oct 2019
TIND77
KEFL86
14 Mar 2019
TIND89
KEFL68
08 Feb 2018
TIND101
KEFL93
22 Mar 2017
TIND107
KEFL80
16 Mar 2017
TIND102
KEFL110
02 Feb 2017
TIND86
KEFL77
28 Mar 2016
TIND98
KEFL68
20 Mar 2016
TIND96
KEFL80
26 Nov 2015
TIND97
KEFL91
20 Nov 2014
TIND97
KEFL74
08 Nov 2012
TIND84
KEFL92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tindastoll win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TindastollIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTindastoll
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#15
W
92-69
92
69
+23
92avg 92
A23/09
ENBL
Jonava
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
69avg 92
A27/09
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
85-68
85
68
+17
90avg 92
A30/09
ENBL
Njardvik
#9
W
85-77
85
77
+8
85avg 92
A09/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
109-86
109
86
+23
104avg 92
H15/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 92
A23/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
105-108 OT
105
108
-3
96avg 92
H29/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A05/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
94-87
94
87
+7
no box
H09/11
Premier league
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
H12/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
29-19
12-17
30-15
22-14
14-23
22-21
19-13
22-20
23-8
23-19
17-21
26-15
18-27
21-19
20-16
22-17
32-20
25-21
30-28
20-21
19-24
25-20
14-6
27-19
23-25
36-33
10-19
23-22
23-17
24-18
10-16
19-20
23-23
27-18
25-26
24-22
17-14
18-19
20-14
166.3Avg total
88.4Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.883.7175.5+8.283%
Season at home (3)102.793.7196.3+9.067%
Season away (3)81.073.7154.7+7.3100%
Last 10 (10)88.477.9166.3+10.590%
Last 5 (5)87.281.6168.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)105.0108.0213.0-3.00%
vs Similar (5)100.895.4196.2+5.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)95.685.7181.3+10.083%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 86
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
69avg 86
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 86
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
63avg 86
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
108-90
108
90
+18
105avg 86
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
101avg 86
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
110-130
110
130
-20
94avg 86
A23/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
112-99
112
99
+13
110avg 86
H29/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
100-90
100
90
+10
no box
A05/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
94-113
94
113
-19
no box
A12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-33
13-15
24-20
19-19
18-16
22-17
12-22
26-24
28-22
19-17
16-15
25-27
22-17
16-27
25-21
13-25
31-23
31-29
33-15
13-23
31-24
25-30
26-14
24-22
32-29
29-34
32-32
17-35
35-28
25-29
18-17
34-25
24-22
16-28
29-17
31-23
29-25
22-30
18-35
25-23
190.3Avg total
95.4Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)105.0102.0207.0+3.067%
Season at home (2)109.094.5203.5+14.5100%
Season away (4)103.0105.8208.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)95.494.9190.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)104.4104.4208.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)102.0109.0211.0-7.033%
vs Similar (17)92.292.6184.8-0.547%
vs Weaker (9)99.489.7189.1+9.867%
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
TindastollKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TindastollLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#15
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A23/09
ENBL
Jonava
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A27/09
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A30/09
ENBL
Njardvik
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A09/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H15/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A23/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H29/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A05/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H09/11
Premier league
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/11
ENBL
83.5Avg total
44.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.944.091.9+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.145.294.3+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)46.442.789.1+3.764%-
Last 10 (10)44.738.883.5+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.485.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.044.094.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (5)52.843.496.2+9.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.844.290.9+2.658%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A23/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H29/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A05/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A12/11
Premier league
98.9Avg total
49.4Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.848.094.8-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.246.793.9+0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)46.549.195.5-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)49.449.598.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)53.655.8109.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)52.756.3109.0-3.733%-
vs Similar (17)43.746.189.8-2.429%-
vs Weaker (9)50.450.2100.7+0.256%-
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tindastolltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tindastoll: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.9
56.2%
56.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.110.7
31.4%
33.0%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.019.1
79.6%
73.9%19.1
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.7
55.2%
56.2%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.4
29.5%
33.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws27.321.4
78.4%
73.9%21.4
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tindastoll
WWWLWWWWWW
Keflavik
LWWLWWLWLL
#3
League position
#5
+8.5
Net rating
+2.1
98.5
Offensive rating
98.9
89.9
Defensive rating
96.7
51.7%
Effective FG%
50.7%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
14.1%
Turnover %
11.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.39
31.4%
3-point %
29.5%
70.9%
Assist %
55.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 98.9Defence89.9 · 96.7Shooting51.7% · 50.7%3-point %31.4% · 29.5%Ball care14.1% · 11.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Tindastoll   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tindastoll wins
5
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
26/01/26Keflavik v Tindastoll98-81
09/10/25Tindastoll v Keflavik101-81
10/04/25Tindastoll v Keflavik100-75
06/04/25Keflavik v Tindastoll93-96
02/04/25Tindastoll v Keflavik94-87
06/03/25Tindastoll v Keflavik116-77
09/12/24Keflavik v Tindastoll81-70
06/12/24Keflavik v Tindastoll120-93
23/03/24Tindastoll v Keflavik79-92
10/01/24Keflavik v Tindastoll99-86
Tindastolllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HLausanne Basket79-69
09/11/26HIR Reykjavik94-87
05/11/26AHottur80-73
29/10/26HAlftanes105-108 OT
23/10/26ASindri78-71
15/10/26HArmann109-86
09/10/26ANjardvik85-77
30/09/26ABristol Flyers85-68
27/09/26AJonava77-71
23/09/26ABK Liepaja92-69
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AStjarnan94-113
05/11/26AIR Reykjavik100-90
29/10/26HHottur112-99
23/10/26AAlftanes110-130
15/10/26HSindri106-90
08/10/26AArmann108-90
19/04/26AValur76-90
15/04/26HValur88-81
11/04/26AValur78-79
07/04/26HValur82-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tindastoll
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game91.8102.781.0
Allowed / game83.793.773.7
Point differential+8.2+9.0+7.3
Avg total175.5196.3154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
Keflavik
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game105.0109.0103.0
Allowed / game102.094.5105.8
Point differential+3.0+14.5-2.8
Avg total207.0203.5208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket660100%100.785.8+14.8
2 Alftanes65183%107.091.7+15.3
3 Tindastoll65183%91.883.7+8.2
4 Valur65183%84.278.8+5.3
5 Keflavik64267%105.0102.0+3.0
6 Grindavik64267%90.087.3+2.7
7 Stjarnan63350%97.593.3+4.2
8 Hottur62433%92.0101.5-9.5
9 Njardvik61517%87.394.3-7.0
10 IR Reykjavik61517%92.3102.3-10.0
11 Sindri6060%83.893.0-9.2
12 Armann6060%85.3103.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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