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Keflavik vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 67-91
19-21 16-30 14-26 18-14
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Valur 🏆
Iceland
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game77.0
IcelandIcelandic CupIcelandic Cup - Semi-finals· Blue-hollin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Keflavik v Valur
10 Dec 2026
KEFL v VALU
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
KEFL88
VALU81
07 Apr 2026
KEFL82
VALU87
19 Mar 2026
KEFL85
VALU88
19 Mar 2025
KEFL67
VALU91
24 Jan 2025
KEFL70
VALU81
19 Oct 2023
KEFL87
VALU86
10 Mar 2023
KEFL80
VALU111
19 Nov 2021
KEFL79
VALU78
07 May 2021
KEFL101
VALU82
31 Oct 2019
KEFL92
VALU82
10 Mar 2019
KEFL101
VALU77
05 Oct 2017
KEFL117
VALU86
30 Jan 2014
KEFL106
VALU92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Hottur
#11
W
112-98
112
98
+14
110avg 85
H09/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
98-107
98
107
-9
88avg 85
A16/01
Premier league
Haukar
#6
W
96-88
96
88
+8
89avg 85
H20/01
Icelandic Cup
Valur
#5
L
70-81
70
81
-11
56avg 85
H24/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
93-97
93
97
-4
88avg 85
A31/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
81-90
81
90
-9
66avg 85
H06/02
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
104-95
104
95
+9
98avg 85
A13/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 85
A28/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
77-116
77
116
-39
59avg 85
A06/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
107-98
107
98
+9
98avg 85
H14/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
37-24
33-23
19-22
29-23
25-31
22-28
22-25
23-20
22-27
23-20
28-21
22-16
22-21
9-19
17-25
23-27
25-32
18-19
27-19
21-29
21-20
22-20
17-21
34-23
20-22
24-27
26-23
22-28
28-31
20-18
21-24
9-32
18-30
27-27
23-27
30-23
31-25
23-21
23-29
190.0Avg total
92.9Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.579.0167.5+9.5100%
Season at home (2)88.579.0167.5+9.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.997.1190.0-4.240%
Last 5 (5)92.0100.0192.0-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)97.098.3195.3-1.343%
vs Similar (18)88.892.4181.3-3.644%
vs Weaker (4)112.099.5211.5+12.575%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Thorl
#9
L
69-94
69
94
-25
60avg 81
A10/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
87-81
87
81
+6
93avg 81
H16/01
Premier league
Sindri
#7
W
99-77
99
77
+22
100avg 81
A20/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#10
W
81-70
81
70
+11
82avg 81
A24/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
88-76
88
76
+12
75avg 81
H30/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
92-58
92
58
+34
91avg 81
H07/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
91avg 81
A14/02
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
90-87
90
87
+3
80avg 81
H01/03
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
85-81
85
81
+4
86avg 81
A06/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
99-80
99
80
+19
102avg 81
H13/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-23
17-24
17-26
25-21
25-23
21-23
17-18
24-17
25-19
28-22
25-13
21-23
16-22
21-22
19-9
25-17
25-28
16-20
21-17
26-11
17-19
33-15
26-15
16-9
20-24
17-15
32-24
15-21
22-27
29-24
20-19
19-17
21-26
17-16
22-26
25-13
25-11
28-17
31-23
15-29
167.9Avg total
88.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.577.0170.5+16.5100%
Season at home (1)88.077.0165.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)99.077.0176.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.679.3167.9+9.390%
Last 5 (5)92.479.0171.4+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.384.7169.0-0.367%
vs Similar (17)90.184.0174.1+6.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.984.8170.7+1.144%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
KeflavikValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hottur
#11
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H09/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A16/01
Premier league
Haukar
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H20/01
Icelandic Cup
Valur
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H24/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A31/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H06/02
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A13/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A28/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
27-62
27
62
-35
A06/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H14/03
Premier league
99.8Avg total
48.5Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.848.197.9+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.746.497.1+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)48.949.998.8-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)48.551.399.8-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)46.852.699.4-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)49.750.4100.1-0.743%-
vs Similar (18)48.247.395.6+0.939%-
vs Weaker (4)57.248.0105.2+9.2100%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#9
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A10/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H16/01
Premier league
Sindri
#7
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A20/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A24/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H30/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H07/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/02
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H01/03
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H13/03
Premier league
85.3Avg total
43.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.143.386.4-0.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.042.287.2+2.838%-
Last 30 away (14)41.044.585.5-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)43.342.085.3+1.330%-
Last 5 (5)45.838.884.6+7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.741.783.3+0.033%-
vs Similar (17)43.443.286.5+0.235%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.443.987.3-0.433%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
45%
39%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.117.0
53.0%
53.1%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.013.2
33.8%
33.8%39.6
🏀 Free throws22.918.3
79.9%
73.1%18.3
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
45%
39%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.6
58.4%
53.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.111.7
33.3%
33.8%35.1
🏀 Free throws16.611.3
68.1%
73.1%11.3
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
WLLWLLLWLW
Valur
WWWWWWWWWL
#4
League position
#1
-5.3
Net rating
+11.7
110.8
Offensive rating
109.9
116.1
Defensive rating
98.2
51.8%
Effective FG%
54.2%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
14.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.8%
3-point %
33.3%
59.3%
Assist %
67.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 109.9Defence116.1 · 98.2Shooting51.8% · 54.2%3-point %33.8% · 33.3%Ball care14.4% · 16.4%Off. rebounds24.0% · 27.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Keflavik   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Keflavik wins
6
Valur wins
DateGameScore
24/01/25Keflavik v Valur70-81
24/10/24Valur v Keflavik104-80
18/01/24Valur v Keflavik105-82
19/10/23Keflavik v Valur87-86
10/03/23Keflavik v Valur80-111
02/12/22Valur v Keflavik75-100
05/03/22Valur v Keflavik88-74
19/11/21Keflavik v Valur79-78
07/05/21Keflavik v Valur101-82
12/02/21Valur v Keflavik85-72
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HStjarnan107-98
06/03/25ATindastoll77-116
28/02/25AGrindavik91-101
13/02/25AHaukar104-95
06/02/25HIR Reykjavik81-90
31/01/25AKR Basket93-97
24/01/25HValur70-81
20/01/25HHaukar96-88
16/01/25ANjardvik98-107
09/01/25HHottur112-98
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25HGrindavik99-80
06/03/25AHaukar85-81
01/03/25HIR Reykjavik90-87
14/02/25AKR Basket96-89 OT
07/02/25HHottur92-58
30/01/25HNjardvik88-76
24/01/25AKeflavik81-70
20/01/25ASindri99-77
16/01/25HAlftanes87-81
10/01/25AThorl69-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Icelandic Cup 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.588.5-
Allowed / game79.079.0-
Point differential+9.5+9.5-
Avg total167.5167.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Valur
Icelandic Cup 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.588.099.0
Allowed / game77.077.077.0
Point differential+16.5+11.0+22.0
Avg total170.5165.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket330100%94.376.7+17.7
2 Valur220100%93.577.0+16.5
3 Keflavik220100%88.579.0+9.5
4 Stjarnan32167%99.787.7+12.0
5 Alftanes21150%97.083.0+14.0
6 Haukar21150%98.587.5+11.0
7 Sindri21150%82.088.0-6.0
8 Njardvik21150%94.0101.5-7.5
9 Hottur1010%72.073.0-1.0
10 KV mfl.kk.1010%77.087.0-10.0
11 Grindavik1010%77.088.0-11.0
12 Tindastoll1010%70.081.0-11.0
13 Thorl1010%81.0108.0-27.0
14 Breidablik1010%79.0109.0-30.0
15 Selfoss1010%87.0121.0-34.0
16 Snaefell1010%66.0106.0-40.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik1916141867
Valur2130261491
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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