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Tindastoll vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 20:45
Final 116-77
32-9 30-18 27-27 27-23
Position#1
Record14-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Position#10
Record8-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game94.9
IcelandPremier leagueRound 20· Saudarkrokur
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tindastoll v Keflavik
04 Mar 2027
TIND v KEFL
upcoming
09 Oct 2025
TIND101
KEFL81
10 Apr 2025
TIND100
KEFL75
02 Apr 2025
TIND94
KEFL87
06 Mar 2025
TIND116
KEFL77
23 Mar 2024
TIND79
KEFL92
14 Oct 2023
TIND105
KEFL88
15 Apr 2023
TIND97
KEFL79
08 Apr 2023
TIND107
KEFL81
06 Jan 2023
TIND75
KEFL84
17 Apr 2022
TIND99
KEFL85
11 Apr 2022
TIND95
KEFL94
05 Apr 2022
TIND101
KEFL80
24 Mar 2022
TIND101
KEFL76
18 May 2021
TIND74
KEFL86
02 May 2021
TIND71
KEFL86
03 Oct 2019
TIND77
KEFL86
14 Mar 2019
TIND89
KEFL68
08 Feb 2018
TIND101
KEFL93
22 Mar 2017
TIND107
KEFL80
16 Mar 2017
TIND102
KEFL110
02 Feb 2017
TIND86
KEFL77
28 Mar 2016
TIND98
KEFL68
20 Mar 2016
TIND96
KEFL80
26 Nov 2015
TIND97
KEFL91
20 Nov 2014
TIND97
KEFL74
08 Nov 2012
TIND84
KEFL92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tindastoll winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TindastollIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTindastoll
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
W
94-76
94
76
+18
86avg 86
H12/12
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
80-89
80
89
-9
66avg 86
A20/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
116-95
116
95
+21
117avg 86
A03/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
98-88
98
88
+10
81avg 86
H09/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
99-100
99
100
-1
70avg 86
A17/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
97-79
97
79
+18
93avg 86
H23/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
97-85
97
85
+12
88avg 86
A30/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
90-82
90
82
+8
78avg 86
A02/02
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
109-96
109
96
+13
108avg 86
H13/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
89-102
89
102
-13
76avg 86
A28/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
19-17
23-20
24-23
20-18
16-31
20-24
24-16
29-21
31-22
31-31
25-21
20-22
27-16
30-21
21-29
24-29
28-27
25-23
22-21
29-21
17-19
23-14
28-25
23-26
28-22
29-17
17-20
21-20
25-17
24-20
20-25
34-15
28-30
18-28
29-23
13-27
34-20
27-29
15-26
186.1Avg total
96.9Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)96.888.4185.2+8.574%
Season at home (9)98.884.0182.8+14.889%
Season away (10)95.192.3187.4+2.860%
Last 10 (10)96.989.2186.1+7.770%
Last 5 (5)96.488.8185.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.492.4174.8-10.00%
vs Similar (5)87.483.8171.2+3.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)98.489.1187.4+9.374%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Thorl
#9
W
105-86
105
86
+19
96avg 86
H19/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
76avg 86
H02/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
112-98
112
98
+14
110avg 86
H09/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
98-107
98
107
-9
88avg 86
A16/01
Premier league
Haukar
#6
W
96-88
96
88
+8
89avg 86
H20/01
Icelandic Cup
Valur
#5
L
70-81
70
81
-11
56avg 86
H24/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
93-97
93
97
-4
88avg 86
A31/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
81-90
81
90
-9
66avg 86
H06/02
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
104-95
104
95
+9
98avg 86
A13/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 86
A28/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
30-19
20-19
24-17
23-22
20-21
20-30
24-16
23-29
37-24
33-23
19-22
29-23
25-31
22-28
22-25
23-20
22-27
23-20
28-21
22-16
22-21
9-19
17-25
23-27
25-32
18-19
27-19
21-29
21-20
22-20
17-21
34-23
20-22
24-27
26-23
22-28
28-31
20-18
21-24
186.9Avg total
93.7Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)97.094.9191.9+2.142%
Season at home (10)97.090.3187.3+6.750%
Season away (9)97.0100.1197.1-3.133%
Last 10 (10)93.793.2186.9+0.540%
Last 5 (5)87.892.8180.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)99.094.8193.8+4.240%
vs Similar (20)87.791.7179.4-4.045%
vs Weaker (4)112.099.5211.5+12.575%
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
TindastollKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TindastollLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H12/12
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A20/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A03/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A17/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H23/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A30/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A02/02
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H13/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A28/02
Premier league
93.0Avg total
49.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.644.892.4+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.642.389.9+5.364%-
Last 30 away (16)47.646.994.6+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)49.443.693.0+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)50.443.493.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.048.289.2-7.240%-
vs Similar (5)45.037.082.0+8.080%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)50.245.695.8+4.558%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#9
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H19/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H09/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A16/01
Premier league
Haukar
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H20/01
Icelandic Cup
Valur
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H24/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A31/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H06/02
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A13/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A28/02
Premier league
99.7Avg total
50.1Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.646.996.4+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.145.895.8+4.362%-
Last 30 away (14)49.048.197.1+0.936%-
Last 10 (10)50.149.699.7+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)47.649.897.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)52.048.6100.6+3.440%-
vs Similar (20)47.446.393.7+1.140%-
vs Weaker (4)57.248.0105.2+9.2100%-
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tindastolltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tindastoll: 95.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.1
53.5%
53.7%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.013.1
37.4%
34.4%39.3
🏀 Free throws21.816.2
74.3%
75.6%16.2
They take 72.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.117.2
53.6%
53.7%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.614.3
36.1%
34.4%42.9
🏀 Free throws20.115.6
77.6%
75.6%15.6
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tindastoll
LWWWWLWWLW
Keflavik
LWLLLWLWLW
#1
League position
#10
+8.9
Net rating
+0.8
116.5
Offensive rating
112.8
107.6
Defensive rating
112.0
54.8%
Effective FG%
53.9%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
12.4%
Turnover %
14.7%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.4%
3-point %
36.1%
65.7%
Assist %
59.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.5 · 112.8Defence107.6 · 112.0Shooting54.8% · 53.9%3-point %37.4% · 36.1%Ball care12.4% · 14.7%Off. rebounds24.8% · 24.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Tindastoll   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tindastoll wins
6
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
09/12/24Keflavik v Tindastoll81-70
06/12/24Keflavik v Tindastoll120-93
23/03/24Tindastoll v Keflavik79-92
10/01/24Keflavik v Tindastoll99-86
14/10/23Tindastoll v Keflavik105-88
15/04/23Tindastoll v Keflavik97-79
12/04/23Keflavik v Tindastoll100-78
08/04/23Tindastoll v Keflavik107-81
05/04/23Keflavik v Tindastoll107-114 OT
06/01/23Tindastoll v Keflavik75-84
Tindastolllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25AAlftanes89-102
13/02/25HThorl109-96
02/02/25AStjarnan90-82
30/01/25AHottur97-85
23/01/25HGrindavik97-79
17/01/25AHaukar99-100
09/01/25HIR Reykjavik98-88
03/01/25AKR Basket116-95
20/12/24AValur80-89
12/12/24HNjardvik94-76
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25AGrindavik91-101
13/02/25AHaukar104-95
06/02/25HIR Reykjavik81-90
31/01/25AKR Basket93-97
24/01/25HValur70-81
20/01/25HHaukar96-88
16/01/25ANjardvik98-107
09/01/25HHottur112-98
02/01/25HAlftanes87-89
19/12/24HThorl105-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tindastoll
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL74%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%89%60%
Points / game96.898.895.1
Allowed / game88.484.092.3
Point differential+8.5+14.8+2.8
Avg total185.2182.8187.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%78%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keflavik
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL42%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game97.097.097.0
Allowed / game94.990.3100.1
Point differential+2.1+6.7-3.1
Avg total191.9187.3197.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%40%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %11%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan1914574%97.387.1+10.2
2 Tindastoll1914574%96.888.4+8.5
3 Njardvik1913668%93.288.9+4.2
4 Valur2012860%88.586.4+2.1
5 Grindavik1910953%93.590.5+3.0
6 Alftanes1910953%91.390.6+0.7
7 KR Basket2091145%92.994.5-1.6
8 Thorl2091145%91.494.9-3.5
9 IR Reykjavik2091145%88.593.3-4.8
10 Keflavik1981142%97.094.9+2.1
11 Hottur2051525%85.193.1-8.0
12 Haukar2041620%86.097.6-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tindastoll32302727116
Keflavik918272377
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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