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Thorl vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 114-119
25-24 30-31 29-36 30-28
Position#9
Record9-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game95.5
vs
Position#10
Record9-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game96.5
Allowed / game96.1
IcelandPremier leagueRound 22· Icelandic Glacial hollin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Thorl v Keflavik
30 Jan 2026
THOR78
KEFL98
27 Mar 2025
THOR114
KEFL119
04 Apr 2024
THOR106
KEFL100
21 Nov 2022
THOR116
KEFL102
11 Feb 2022
THOR114
KEFL89
25 Jun 2021
THOR81
KEFL66
19 Jun 2021
THOR88
KEFL83
07 Mar 2021
THOR88
KEFL94
13 Dec 2019
THOR89
KEFL81
07 Mar 2019
THOR99
KEFL103
02 Feb 2018
THOR76
KEFL79
14 Oct 2016
THOR74
KEFL71
16 Oct 2015
THOR101
KEFL104
24 Oct 2014
THOR80
KEFL75
07 Feb 2014
THOR93
KEFL94
07 Dec 2012
THOR108
KEFL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Thorl winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
L
104-106
104
106
-2
89avg 87
A02/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
94-69
94
69
+25
98avg 87
H10/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
99-102
99
102
-3
99avg 87
A16/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
94-95
94
95
-1
93avg 87
H24/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
100-99
100
99
+1
95avg 87
A02/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
95-104
95
104
-9
84avg 87
H06/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
96-109
96
109
-13
96avg 87
A13/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
95avg 87
H28/02
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
95-103
95
103
-8
88avg 87
A06/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
96-108
96
108
-12
88avg 87
A13/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
30-28
26-35
25-18
23-10
24-17
26-17
21-25
30-24
21-25
20-33
28-20
24-32
27-16
24-28
19-19
25-37
33-15
21-20
21-27
23-21
14-29
33-24
25-30
15-34
30-28
28-18
23-29
23-26
18-18
19-23
18-11
28-30
30-32
26-13
11-28
11-21
32-33
19-26
34-28
195.3Avg total
96.7Scored
98.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)91.695.5187.1-3.943%
Season at home (10)91.789.0180.7+2.760%
Season away (11)91.5101.5193.0-9.927%
Last 10 (10)96.798.6195.3-1.930%
Last 5 (5)95.2103.0198.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)90.198.1188.2-8.040%
vs Similar ◀ (16)93.393.7187.0-0.444%
vs Weaker (3)95.392.0187.3+3.3100%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
L
98-107
98
107
-9
88avg 83
A16/01
Premier league
Haukar
#6
W
96-88
96
88
+8
89avg 83
H20/01
Icelandic Cup
Valur
#5
L
70-81
70
81
-11
56avg 83
H24/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
93-97
93
97
-4
88avg 83
A31/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
81-90
81
90
-9
66avg 83
H06/02
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
104-95
104
95
+9
98avg 83
A13/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 83
A28/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
77-116
77
116
-39
59avg 83
A06/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
107-98
107
98
+9
98avg 83
H14/03
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
52avg 83
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
25-31
22-28
22-25
23-20
22-27
23-20
28-21
22-16
22-21
9-19
17-25
23-27
25-32
18-19
27-19
21-29
21-20
22-20
17-21
34-23
20-22
24-27
26-23
22-28
28-31
20-18
21-24
9-32
18-30
27-27
23-27
30-23
31-25
23-21
23-29
19-21
16-30
14-26
18-14
184.8Avg total
88.4Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)96.596.1192.6+0.443%
Season at home (11)97.991.0188.9+6.955%
Season away (10)95.0101.7196.7-6.730%
Last 10 (10)88.496.4184.8-8.030%
Last 5 (5)89.2100.2189.4-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)93.297.4190.6-4.138%
vs Similar ◀ (17)88.992.9181.8-4.141%
vs Weaker (4)112.099.5211.5+12.575%
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
ThorlKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A02/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H10/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A16/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H24/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A02/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H06/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A13/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H28/02
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A06/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A13/03
Premier league
98.5Avg total
48.4Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.349.495.6-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.045.691.6+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)46.552.799.2-6.225%-
Last 10 (10)48.450.198.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.854.499.2-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)44.049.093.0-5.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)46.249.896.0-3.538%-
vs Weaker (3)53.347.0100.3+6.367%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A16/01
Premier league
Haukar
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H20/01
Icelandic Cup
Valur
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H24/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A31/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H06/02
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A13/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A28/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
27-62
27
62
-35
A06/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H14/03
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
97.1Avg total
46.0Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.548.397.8+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.146.997.0+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)48.949.998.8-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)46.051.197.1-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)45.453.098.4-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)47.950.598.4-2.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)48.547.596.0+0.941%-
vs Weaker (4)57.248.0105.2+9.2100%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 95.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.021.7
60.3%
53.7%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.712.4
36.8%
34.4%37.2
🏀 Free throws19.014.9
78.4%
75.6%14.9
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.416.9
52.2%
53.7%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.212.0
31.4%
34.4%36.0
🏀 Free throws22.017.6
80.0%
75.6%17.6
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Thorl
LLWLLWLLWL
Keflavik
LWLLWLLLWL
#9
League position
#10
-2.8
Net rating
-10.0
116.3
Offensive rating
107.0
119.1
Defensive rating
117.0
57.8%
Effective FG%
49.4%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.3%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.8%
3-point %
31.4%
64.5%
Assist %
58.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 107.0Defence119.1 · 117.0Shooting57.8% · 49.4%3-point %36.8% · 31.4%Ball care15.5% · 14.3%Off. rebounds24.2% · 23.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Thorl   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Thorl wins
2
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
19/12/24Keflavik v Thorl105-86
04/04/24Thorl v Keflavik106-100
15/12/23Keflavik v Thorl102-103
17/02/23Keflavik v Thorl83-104
21/11/22Thorl v Keflavik116-102
11/02/22Thorl v Keflavik114-89
04/11/21Keflavik v Thorl80-89
25/06/21Thorl v Keflavik81-66
22/06/21Keflavik v Thorl97-83
19/06/21Thorl v Keflavik88-83
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25AAlftanes96-108
06/03/25AHottur95-103
28/02/25HStjarnan94-91 OT
13/02/25ATindastoll96-109
06/02/25HGrindavik95-104
02/02/25AHaukar100-99
24/01/25HIR Reykjavik94-95
16/01/25AKR Basket99-102
10/01/25HValur94-69
02/01/25ANjardvik104-106
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25HValur67-91
14/03/25HStjarnan107-98
06/03/25ATindastoll77-116
28/02/25AGrindavik91-101
13/02/25AHaukar104-95
06/02/25HIR Reykjavik81-90
31/01/25AKR Basket93-97
24/01/25HValur70-81
20/01/25HHaukar96-88
16/01/25ANjardvik98-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Thorl
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL43%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%60%27%
Points / game91.691.791.5
Allowed / game95.589.0101.5
Point differential-3.9+2.7-9.9
Avg total187.1180.7193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%30%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Keflavik
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeLWLLW55%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %43%55%30%
Points / game96.597.995.0
Allowed / game96.191.0101.7
Point differential+0.4+6.9-6.7
Avg total192.6188.9196.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan2115671%98.287.5+10.7
2 Tindastoll2115671%97.488.4+9.0
3 Njardvik2114767%94.690.6+4.0
4 Valur2113862%89.086.1+3.0
5 Grindavik21111052%94.292.0+2.1
6 Alftanes21111052%91.492.0-0.7
7 KR Basket21101148%93.494.1-0.7
8 IR Reykjavik21101148%88.392.8-4.5
9 Keflavik2191243%96.596.1+0.4
10 Thorl2191243%91.695.5-3.9
11 Hottur2151624%85.092.7-7.7
12 Haukar2141719%86.097.9-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Thorl25302930114
Keflavik24313628119
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