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Keflavik vs Stjarnan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 107-98
30-23 31-25 23-21 23-29
Position#10
Record8-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game96.0
vs
Position#2
Record15-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game98.2
Allowed / game86.5
IcelandPremier leagueRound 21· Blue-hollin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Keflavik v Stjarnan
18 Feb 2027
KEFL v STJA
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
KEFL107
STJA110
17 Oct 2025
KEFL92
STJA71
14 Mar 2025
KEFL107
STJA98
19 Mar 2024
KEFL113
STJA94
26 Jan 2024
KEFL97
STJA89
20 Jan 2023
KEFL115
STJA87
15 Oct 2021
KEFL80
STJA65
23 Apr 2021
KEFL100
STJA81
24 Jan 2020
KEFL77
STJA83
25 Oct 2018
KEFL68
STJA66
07 Dec 2017
KEFL81
STJA92
27 Jan 2017
KEFL103
STJA106
17 Dec 2015
KEFL87
STJA85
20 Oct 2014
KEFL83
STJA74
28 Mar 2014
KEFL93
STJA94
21 Mar 2014
KEFL81
STJA87
09 Jan 2014
KEFL96
STJA93
24 Mar 2013
KEFL100
STJA87
17 Jan 2013
KEFL107
STJA103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
76avg 85
H02/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
112-98
112
98
+14
110avg 85
H09/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
98-107
98
107
-9
88avg 85
A16/01
Premier league
Haukar
#6
W
96-88
96
88
+8
89avg 85
H20/01
Icelandic Cup
Valur
#5
L
70-81
70
81
-11
56avg 85
H24/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
93-97
93
97
-4
88avg 85
A31/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
81-90
81
90
-9
66avg 85
H06/02
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
104-95
104
95
+9
98avg 85
A13/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 85
A28/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
77-116
77
116
-39
59avg 85
A06/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
20-21
20-30
24-16
23-29
37-24
33-23
19-22
29-23
25-31
22-28
22-25
23-20
22-27
23-20
28-21
22-16
22-21
9-19
17-25
23-27
25-32
18-19
27-19
21-29
21-20
22-20
17-21
34-23
20-22
24-27
26-23
22-28
28-31
20-18
21-24
9-32
18-30
27-27
23-27
187.1Avg total
90.9Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)96.096.0192.0+0.040%
Season at home (10)97.090.3187.3+6.750%
Season away (10)95.0101.7196.7-6.730%
Last 10 (10)90.996.2187.1-5.330%
Last 5 (5)89.299.8189.0-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)95.398.3193.7-3.033%
vs Similar (19)87.191.6178.7-4.542%
vs Weaker (4)112.099.5211.5+12.575%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Valur
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
72avg 91
A05/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
86avg 91
H10/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
101-103 OT
101
103
-2
88avg 91
A16/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#5
W
100-88
100
88
+12
101avg 91
A19/01
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#12
W
99-75
99
75
+24
100avg 91
H23/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
108-87
108
87
+21
114avg 91
A30/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
74avg 91
H02/02
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 91
A13/02
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
78avg 91
A28/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
116-76
116
76
+40
111avg 91
H07/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
31-23
13-23
17-18
20-17
30-24
18-19
26-26
24-22
26-16
14-32
24-18
27-24
26-22
28-17
19-25
22-19
26-29
26-13
25-14
20-20
28-15
29-19
31-33
20-21
17-25
20-24
25-20
18-17
28-30
19-19
21-17
26-23
18-18
23-19
11-18
24-19
33-20
34-21
25-16
182.1Avg total
95.6Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)98.286.5184.8+11.775%
Season at home (10)101.584.9186.4+16.690%
Season away (10)95.088.2183.2+6.860%
Last 10 (10)95.686.5182.1+9.160%
Last 5 (5)96.686.0182.6+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.796.0184.7-7.333%
vs Similar (7)87.086.3173.3+0.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)98.786.3185.0+12.479%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
KeflavikStjarnan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H09/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A16/01
Premier league
Haukar
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H20/01
Icelandic Cup
Valur
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H24/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A31/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H06/02
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A13/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A28/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
27-62
27
62
-35
A06/03
Premier league
97.5Avg total
46.7Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.847.796.5+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.046.396.3+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)47.549.196.6-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)46.750.897.5-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)44.254.899.0-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)47.850.898.7-3.033%-
vs Similar (19)47.246.894.0+0.437%-
vs Weaker (4)57.248.0105.2+9.2100%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A05/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H10/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A16/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#5
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/01
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H23/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A30/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H02/02
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/02
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A28/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H07/03
Premier league
90.5Avg total
48.2Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.243.993.0+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.142.992.0+6.153%-
Last 30 away (15)49.344.894.1+4.573%-
Last 10 (10)48.242.390.5+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.688.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.048.393.3-3.30%-
vs Similar (7)46.147.193.3-1.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)50.741.792.4+8.979%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.116.4
51.1%
53.7%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.713.5
34.9%
34.4%40.5
🏀 Free throws20.816.6
79.8%
75.6%16.6
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 94.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.922.4
51.0%
53.7%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.4
36.3%
34.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.415.6
76.5%
75.6%15.6
They take 75.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
LLWLLLWLWL
Stjarnan
WLWLWWWLWL
#10
League position
#2
-6.7
Net rating
+10.5
109.4
Offensive rating
112.1
116.1
Defensive rating
101.6
51.8%
Effective FG%
52.5%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.9%
3-point %
36.3%
60.5%
Assist %
60.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 112.1Defence116.1 · 101.6Shooting51.8% · 52.5%3-point %34.9% · 36.3%Ball care15.3% · 16.9%Off. rebounds24.4% · 32.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Keflavik   ■ Stjarnan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Keflavik wins
5
Stjarnan wins
DateGameScore
12/12/24Stjarnan v Keflavik97-93
19/03/24Keflavik v Stjarnan113-94
26/01/24Keflavik v Stjarnan97-89
26/10/23Stjarnan v Keflavik87-81
20/01/23Keflavik v Stjarnan115-87
11/01/23Stjarnan v Keflavik89-83
13/10/22Stjarnan v Keflavik86-92
16/03/22Stjarnan v Keflavik95-93 OT
21/01/22Stjarnan v Keflavik98-95 OT
15/10/21Keflavik v Stjarnan80-65
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25ATindastoll77-116
28/02/25AGrindavik91-101
13/02/25AHaukar104-95
06/02/25HIR Reykjavik81-90
31/01/25AKR Basket93-97
24/01/25HValur70-81
20/01/25HHaukar96-88
16/01/25ANjardvik98-107
09/01/25HHottur112-98
02/01/25HAlftanes87-89
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25HAlftanes116-76
28/02/25AThorl91-94 OT
13/02/25AHottur86-83
02/02/25HTindastoll82-90
30/01/25AGrindavik108-87
23/01/25HHaukar99-75
19/01/25AAlftanes100-88
16/01/25AIR Reykjavik101-103 OT
10/01/25HKR Basket94-86
05/01/25AValur79-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%50%30%
Points / game96.097.095.0
Allowed / game96.090.3101.7
Point differential+0.0+6.7-6.7
Avg total192.0187.3196.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Stjarnan
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayLLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%90%60%
Points / game98.2101.595.0
Allowed / game86.584.988.2
Point differential+11.7+16.6+6.8
Avg total184.8186.4183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (1)33% (6)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan2015575%98.286.5+11.7
2 Tindastoll2115671%97.488.4+9.0
3 Njardvik2114767%94.690.6+4.0
4 Valur2113862%89.086.1+3.0
5 Grindavik21111052%94.292.0+2.1
6 Alftanes21111052%91.492.0-0.7
7 KR Basket21101148%93.494.1-0.7
8 IR Reykjavik21101148%88.392.8-4.5
9 Thorl2191243%91.695.5-3.9
10 Keflavik2081240%96.096.0+0.0
11 Hottur2151624%85.092.7-7.7
12 Haukar2141719%86.097.9-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik30312323107
Stjarnan2325212998
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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