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Tirana vs Pogradeci Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 110-65
34-19 33-14 18-15 25-17
Position#7
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game84.0
Tirana 🏆
Albania
vs
Pogradeci
Albania
Position#11
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game94.0
AlbaniaSuperliga· Pallati i Sportit Farie Hoti
Other2026-27
Meetings · Tirana v Pogradeci
24 Oct 2026
TIRA110
POGR65
11 Jan 2026
TIRA124
POGR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tirana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pogradeci winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TiranaAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTirana
Date
Competition
Pogradeci
#11
W
114-71
114
71
+43
113avg 98
A10/04
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
W
151-72
151
72
+79
163avg 98
A13/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
87-84
87
84
+3
83avg 98
H25/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
90-86
90
86
+4
79avg 98
A29/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
87-81
87
81
+6
83avg 98
H02/05
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
86-104
86
104
-18
77avg 98
A09/05
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
77-90
77
90
-13
67avg 98
H13/05
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
84-103
84
103
-19
70avg 98
A18/05
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
H11/10
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
L
86-89
86
89
-3
no box
A18/10
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-16
30-22
41-13
32-20
40-10
35-14
37-24
39-24
26-16
24-28
18-21
19-19
32-11
12-33
26-13
20-29
25-22
20-17
13-23
29-19
22-25
28-29
16-24
20-26
19-18
27-29
9-20
22-23
23-24
26-30
21-21
14-28
24-13
9-23
17-16
15-27
23-22
21-25
24-17
18-25
178.6Avg total
92.7Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.584.0159.5-8.50%
Season at home (1)65.079.0144.0-14.00%
Season away (1)86.089.0175.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)92.785.9178.6+6.850%
Last 5 (5)79.693.0172.6-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.297.8176.0-19.70%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)105.577.2182.8+28.392%
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PogradeciAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPogradeci
Date
Competition
Beselidhja
#1
L
79-145
79
145
-66
64avg 71
H06/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
86-105
86
105
-19
86avg 71
A15/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
72-98
72
98
-26
69avg 71
H07/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
88-94
88
94
-6
87avg 71
A14/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
95-76
95
76
+19
105avg 71
H21/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
65-68
65
68
-3
66avg 71
H29/03
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
L
82-89
82
89
-7
80avg 71
H04/04
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
71-114
71
114
-43
66avg 71
H10/04
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#6
L
89-119
89
119
-30
no box
H13/10
Superliga
Vllaznia
#1
L
54-69
54
69
-15
no box
H18/10
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-43
21-37
20-37
25-28
15-28
27-25
21-29
23-23
10-28
13-25
18-24
31-21
18-23
22-26
16-22
32-23
28-11
18-16
25-22
24-27
11-19
28-10
14-18
12-21
16-28
28-16
20-25
18-20
16-11
22-30
13-41
20-32
12-40
27-30
32-31
18-18
11-19
13-11
10-12
20-27
175.8Avg total
78.1Scored
97.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.594.0165.5-22.50%
Season at home (2)71.594.0165.5-22.50%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.197.7175.8-19.610%
Last 5 (5)72.291.8164.0-19.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)74.8103.2178.0-28.40%
vs Similar (2)88.5104.5193.0-16.050%
vs Weaker (4)85.581.2166.8+4.250%
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: -10.0-10.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: -10.0-10.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
TiranaPogradeci
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TiranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pogradeci
#11
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/04
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
W
75-24
75
24
+51
A13/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H25/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A29/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H02/05
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A09/05
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H13/05
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A18/05
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H11/10
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A18/10
Superliga
90.4Avg total
47.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.739.791.4+12.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.339.191.3+13.273%-
Last 30 away (15)51.140.391.4+10.967%-
Last 10 (10)47.742.790.4+5.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.447.692.0-3.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.048.392.3-4.30%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)53.637.591.1+16.188%-
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PogradeciLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beselidhja
#1
L
34-80
34
80
-46
H06/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A15/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
23-53
23
53
-30
H07/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A14/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H21/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H29/03
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H04/04
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H10/04
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#6
L
39-70
39
70
-31
H13/10
Superliga
Vllaznia
#1
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H18/10
Superliga
84.5Avg total
36.9Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)36.547.584.0-10.917%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.447.983.3-12.523%-
Last 30 away (11)37.946.984.8-9.09%-
Last 10 (10)36.947.684.5-10.720%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.879.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.150.986.1-15.86%-
vs Similar (2)35.042.577.5-7.550%-
vs Weaker (4)43.834.278.0+9.550%-
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tiranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tirana: 105.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.829.4
56.8%
56.6%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.7
38.8%
34.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.014.1
67.1%
67.6%14.1
They take 79.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pogradecitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pogradeci: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.1 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.5
56.0%
56.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.2
35.8%
34.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws9.46.1
64.9%
67.6%6.1
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tirana
LLLLLWWWWW
Pogradeci
LLLLLWLLLL
#7
League position
#11
+20.9
Net rating
-23.7
109.9
Offensive rating
95.5
88.9
Defensive rating
119.2
57.2%
Effective FG%
54.9%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
60.8%
10.1%
Turnover %
11.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.14
38.8%
3-point %
35.8%
59.1%
Assist %
72.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 95.5Defence88.9 · 119.2Shooting57.2% · 54.9%3-point %38.8% · 35.8%Ball care10.1% · 11.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.14Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Tirana   ■ Pogradeci
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tirana wins
0
Pogradeci wins
DateGameScore
10/04/26Pogradeci v Tirana71-114
11/01/26Tirana v Pogradeci124-73
Tiranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26AElbasani86-89
11/10/26HKamza Basket65-79
18/05/26ABeselidhja84-103
13/05/26HBeselidhja77-90
09/05/26ABeselidhja86-104
02/05/26HVllaznia87-81
29/04/26AVllaznia90-86
25/04/26HVllaznia87-84
13/04/26ASkenderbeu151-72
10/04/26APogradeci114-71
Pogradecilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26HVllaznia54-69
13/10/26HSkenderbeu89-119
10/04/26HTirana71-114
04/04/26HPartizani Tirana82-89
29/03/26HApolonia Fier65-68
21/03/26HPBC Flamurtari95-76
14/03/26ATeuta Durres88-94
07/03/26HVllaznia72-98
15/02/26ASkenderbeu86-105
06/02/26HBeselidhja79-145

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tirana
Superliga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.565.086.0
Allowed / game84.079.089.0
Point differential-8.5-14.0-3.0
Avg total159.5144.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pogradeci
Superliga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game71.571.5-
Allowed / game94.094.0-
Point differential-22.5-22.5-
Avg total165.5165.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja220100%104.570.0+34.5
2 Teuta Durres220100%92.572.0+20.5
3 Vllaznia220100%83.067.0+16.0
4 Kamza Basket220100%78.069.5+8.5
5 Skenderbeu21150%103.593.0+10.5
6 Apolonia Fier21150%79.073.5+5.5
7 Elbasani21150%84.591.5-7.0
8 Partizani Tirana31233%72.398.7-26.3
9 Tirana2020%75.584.0-8.5
10 PBC Flamurtari3030%82.394.3-12.0
11 Pogradeci2020%71.594.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tirana34331825110
Pogradeci1914151765
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