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Elbasani vs Tirana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-86
22-23 25-21 17-24 25-18
Position#8
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game97.0
Elbasani 🏆
Albania
vs
Tirana
Albania
Position#7
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game79.0
AlbaniaSuperliga· Tomorr Sinani
Other2026-27
Meetings · Elbasani v Tirana
18 Oct 2026
ELBA89
TIRA86
18 Dec 2025
ELBA76
TIRA124
16 Apr 2025
ELBA55
TIRA103
01 Mar 2024
ELBA100
TIRA130
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Elbasani winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tirana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ElbasaniAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormElbasani
Date
Competition
Fieri
#9
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
no box
A11/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
68-118
68
118
-50
62avg 70
A14/02
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
69-147
69
147
-78
no box
A17/02
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
74-93
74
93
-19
60avg 70
A08/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
90avg 70
H15/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
62-91
62
91
-29
44avg 70
A22/03
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
100-81
100
81
+19
93avg 70
H29/03
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
89-139
89
139
-50
68avg 70
A04/04
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
80-112
80
112
-32
70avg 70
H07/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#1
L
80-97
80
97
-17
no box
A09/10
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
13-32
29-15
19-19
14-34
3-29
28-26
23-29
15-39
18-30
21-40
15-38
10-15
12-27
24-27
28-24
16-25
33-23
27-22
17-19
18-33
14-18
12-20
18-20
30-10
24-25
25-18
21-28
22-36
22-33
23-29
22-41
20-36
13-18
17-35
30-23
28-33
11-26
16-20
25-18
187.1Avg total
81.1Scored
106.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.097.0177.0-17.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)80.097.0177.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)81.1106.0187.1-24.930%
Last 5 (5)82.2104.0186.2-21.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.1115.0193.1-37.08%
vs Similar (2)104.588.5193.0+16.050%
vs Weaker (4)95.878.2174.0+17.5100%
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TiranaAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTirana
Date
Competition
Elbasani
#8
W
139-89
139
89
+50
144avg 98
H04/04
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
W
114-71
114
71
+43
113avg 98
A10/04
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
W
151-72
151
72
+79
163avg 98
A13/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
87-84
87
84
+3
83avg 98
H25/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
90-86
90
86
+4
79avg 98
A29/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
87-81
87
81
+6
83avg 98
H02/05
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
86-104
86
104
-18
77avg 98
A09/05
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
77-90
77
90
-13
67avg 98
H13/05
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
84-103
84
103
-19
70avg 98
A18/05
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
H11/10
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-22
33-22
29-23
41-22
11-16
30-22
41-13
32-20
40-10
35-14
37-24
39-24
26-16
24-28
18-21
19-19
32-11
12-33
26-13
20-29
25-22
20-17
13-23
29-19
22-25
28-29
16-24
20-26
19-18
27-29
9-20
22-23
23-24
26-30
21-21
14-28
24-13
9-23
17-16
15-27
183.9Avg total
98.0Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)65.079.0144.0-14.00%
Season at home (1)65.079.0144.0-14.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)98.085.9183.9+12.160%
Last 5 (5)79.891.4171.2-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.297.8176.0-19.70%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)105.977.0182.9+28.996%
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -8.3-8.3Q1: +8.1+8.1Q2Q2: -9.8-9.8Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -8.3-8.3Q1: +8.1+8.1Q2Q2: -9.8-9.8Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
ElbasaniTirana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ElbasaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fieri
#9
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A11/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
17-63
17
63
-46
A14/02
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
33-69
33
69
-36
A17/02
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A08/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H15/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A22/03
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H29/03
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
44-69
44
69
-25
A04/04
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H07/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A09/10
Superliga
89.7Avg total
35.8Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.554.191.6-16.617%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.452.190.4-13.721%-
Last 30 away (16)36.855.992.6-19.112%-
Last 10 (10)35.853.989.7-18.120%-
Last 5 (5)40.453.694.0-13.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.458.193.5-22.80%-
vs Similar (2)42.535.077.5+7.550%-
vs Weaker (4)47.839.587.2+8.2100%-
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TiranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elbasani
#8
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H04/04
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/04
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
W
75-24
75
24
+51
A13/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H25/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A29/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H02/05
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A09/05
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H13/05
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A18/05
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H11/10
Superliga
92.6Avg total
50.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.839.090.8+12.873%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.938.490.3+13.675%-
Last 30 away (14)51.639.891.4+11.971%-
Last 10 (10)50.242.492.6+7.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.090.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.048.392.3-4.30%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)53.836.790.5+17.092%-
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Elbasanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Elbasani: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.221.6
48.9%
56.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.7
32.7%
34.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws15.310.6
69.3%
67.6%10.6
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tiranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tirana: 105.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.829.4
56.8%
56.6%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.7
38.8%
34.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.014.1
67.1%
67.6%14.1
They take 79.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Elbasani
LLLWLWLLLW
Tirana
LLLLWWWWWW
#8
League position
#7
-24.2
Net rating
+20.9
83.6
Offensive rating
109.9
107.8
Defensive rating
88.9
48.9%
Effective FG%
57.2%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
10.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.7%
3-point %
38.8%
40.9%
Assist %
59.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence83.6 · 109.9Defence107.8 · 88.9Shooting48.9% · 57.2%3-point %32.7% · 38.8%Ball care17.8% · 10.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Elbasani   ■ Tirana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Elbasani wins
6
Tirana wins
DateGameScore
04/04/26Tirana v Elbasani139-89
18/12/25Elbasani v Tirana76-124
16/04/25Elbasani v Tirana55-103
12/04/25Tirana v Elbasani140-58
01/03/24Elbasani v Tirana100-130
29/10/23Tirana v Elbasani101-72
Elbasanilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/26AVllaznia80-97
07/04/26HKamza Basket80-112
04/04/26ATirana89-139
29/03/26HPartizani Tirana100-81
22/03/26AApolonia Fier62-91
15/03/26HPBC Flamurtari93-89
08/03/26ATeuta Durres74-93
17/02/26ABeselidhja69-147
14/02/26AVllaznia68-118
11/02/26AFieri96-93 OT
Tiranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26HKamza Basket65-79
18/05/26ABeselidhja84-103
13/05/26HBeselidhja77-90
09/05/26ABeselidhja86-104
02/05/26HVllaznia87-81
29/04/26AVllaznia90-86
25/04/26HVllaznia87-84
13/04/26ASkenderbeu151-72
10/04/26APogradeci114-71
04/04/26HElbasani139-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Elbasani
Superliga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game97.0-97.0
Point differential-17.0--17.0
Avg total177.0-177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Tirana
Superliga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game65.065.0-
Allowed / game79.079.0-
Point differential-14.0-14.0-
Avg total144.0144.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja220100%104.570.0+34.5
2 Vllaznia220100%83.067.0+16.0
3 Apolonia Fier110100%84.070.0+14.0
4 Kamza Basket110100%79.065.0+14.0
5 Teuta Durres110100%96.082.0+14.0
6 Skenderbeu21150%103.593.0+10.5
7 PBC Flamurtari2020%76.090.0-14.0
8 Tirana1010%65.079.0-14.0
9 Elbasani1010%80.097.0-17.0
10 Pogradeci2020%71.594.0-22.5
11 Partizani Tirana1010%52.0112.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Elbasani2225172589
Tirana2321241886
← all games of the day
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