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Tofas vs Bahcesehir Kol. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-82
17-22 20-22 25-24 30-14
Position#9
Record6-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game78.7
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#3
Record10-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game78.9
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 13· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Tofas v Bahcesehir Kol.
09 Apr 2027
TOF v BKO
upcoming
26 Dec 2025
TOF92
BKO82
02 Jun 2025
TOF92
BKO96
29 May 2025
TOF94
BKO80
03 May 2025
TOF75
BKO86
29 Dec 2023
TOF88
BKO86
20 May 2023
TOF92
BKO79
05 Feb 2022
TOF78
BKO96
09 Jan 2021
TOF87
BKO80
26 Feb 2020
TOF77
BKO76
27 Apr 2019
TOF87
BKO85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bahcesehir Kol. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
70-92
70
92
-22
64avg 81
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
84-70
84
70
+14
92avg 81
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#12
L
70-80
70
80
-10
62avg 81
A11/11
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#10
L
72-78
72
78
-6
59avg 81
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 81
H23/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
87-92
87
92
-5
89avg 81
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bnei Herzliya
#34
L
81-82
81
82
-1
82avg 81
A09/12
Champions League
Manisa
#11
W
80-62
80
62
+18
78avg 81
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trapani
#25
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
101avg 81
H16/12
Champions League
Besiktas
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 81
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
15-20
18-26
19-27
20-21
23-20
26-13
15-16
22-18
16-21
10-20
22-21
17-16
18-22
13-24
24-16
22-22
25-25
12-13
27-19
19-26
24-20
24-21
20-25
20-18
22-24
23-18
16-22
14-21
16-12
29-8
21-21
18-28
24-18
20-19
22-19
13-19
22-14
15-21
22-19
160.2Avg total
80.1Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.578.7160.2+2.850%
Season at home (6)84.372.0156.3+12.3100%
Season away (6)78.785.3164.0-6.70%
Last 10 (10)80.180.1160.2+0.040%
Last 5 (5)83.880.4164.2+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.181.2158.4-4.138%
vs Similar (17)84.286.4170.6-2.135%
vs Weaker (5)89.274.6163.8+14.6100%
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bahcesehir Kol.TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKol.
Date
Competition
Aris
#13
W
86-76
86
76
+10
84avg 77
A11/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
73avg 77
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
91-99
91
99
-8
78avg 77
A18/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#6
W
91-77
91
77
+14
85avg 77
H22/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#14
L
85-100
85
100
-15
64avg 77
H04/12
Eurocup
Manisa
#11
W
77-70
77
70
+7
67avg 77
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cluj-Napoca
#11
W
84-72
84
72
+12
76avg 77
H10/12
Eurocup
Besiktas
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
80avg 77
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Venezia
#9
L
85-94
85
94
-9
75avg 77
A17/12
Eurocup
Karsiyaka
#15
W
74-71
74
71
+3
68avg 77
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
22-16
19-20
29-17
15-22
26-18
17-18
20-17
30-20
17-24
20-20
24-35
25-16
17-17
25-17
24-27
18-32
18-20
18-31
31-17
20-26
21-19
22-15
14-10
22-20
17-18
17-24
28-10
17-23
19-23
23-30
29-19
14-15
28-14
16-32
27-33
21-21
19-19
23-16
11-15
166.8Avg total
83.9Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.278.9162.1+4.283%
Season at home (6)82.379.5161.8+2.867%
Season away (6)84.078.3162.3+5.7100%
Last 10 (10)83.982.9166.8+1.060%
Last 5 (5)81.680.4162.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.688.6173.2-4.020%
vs Similar (12)86.284.1170.3+2.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.378.6165.9+8.785%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
TofasBahcesehir Kol.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A11/11
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H23/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bnei Herzliya
#34
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/12
Champions League
Manisa
#11
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trapani
#25
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H16/12
Champions League
Besiktas
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.2Avg total
38.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.683.3+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.540.484.9+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)40.740.881.5-0.136%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.479.2-1.620%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.078.4-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.239.580.8+1.850%-
vs Similar (17)42.241.984.1+0.335%-
vs Weaker (5)47.037.884.8+9.2100%-
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A11/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A18/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H22/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#14
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H04/12
Eurocup
Manisa
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cluj-Napoca
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H10/12
Eurocup
Besiktas
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Venezia
#9
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A17/12
Eurocup
Karsiyaka
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
80.8Avg total
40.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.284.1-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.342.383.6-1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)42.442.184.5+0.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.680.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.679.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.845.287.0-3.420%-
vs Similar (12)40.242.582.7-2.342%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.540.884.2+2.754%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.6
53.3%
54.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.2
33.5%
35.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.215.3
68.9%
76.0%15.3
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bahcesehir Kol.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bahcesehir Kol.: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.2
52.9%
54.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.1
26.5%
35.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws23.319.0
81.5%
76.0%19.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LWWLLWLLWL
Bahcesehir Kol.
WLLWWLWLWW
#9
League position
#3
-0.3
Net rating
+0.8
106.0
Offensive rating
110.2
106.3
Defensive rating
109.4
52.0%
Effective FG%
47.6%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
17.6%
Turnover %
15.6%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.5%
3-point %
26.5%
74.8%
Assist %
58.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 110.2Defence106.3 · 109.4Shooting52.0% · 47.6%3-point %33.5% · 26.5%Ball care17.6% · 15.6%Off. rebounds29.1% · 34.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Tofas   ■ Bahcesehir Kol.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tofas wins
6
Bahcesehir Kol. wins
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25ABesiktas72-73
16/12/25HTrapani99-93 OT
13/12/25HManisa80-62
09/12/25ABnei Herzliya81-82
05/12/25ATrabzonspor87-92
23/11/25HAnadolu Efes86-79
16/11/25AMerkezefendi72-78
11/11/25ATenerife70-80
08/11/25HBursaspor84-70
31/10/25AEsenler Erokspor70-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25AKarsiyaka74-71
17/12/25AVenezia85-94
13/12/25HBesiktas88-95
10/12/25HCluj-Napoca84-72
06/12/25AManisa77-70
04/12/25HNeptunas85-100
22/11/25HTrabzonspor91-77
18/11/25ASlask Wroclaw91-99
16/11/25AAnadolu Efes78-75
11/11/25AAris86-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.584.378.7
Allowed / game78.772.085.3
Point differential+2.8+12.3-6.7
Avg total160.2156.3164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)100% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bahcesehir Kol.
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game83.282.384.0
Allowed / game78.979.578.3
Point differential+4.2+2.8+5.7
Avg total162.1161.8162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas12120100%87.776.0+11.7
2 Fenerbahce1210283%89.081.8+7.2
3 Bahcesehir Kol.1210283%83.278.9+4.2
4 Turk Telekom128467%87.778.8+8.9
5 Anadolu Efes127558%88.381.1+7.2
6 Trabzonspor127558%85.882.0+3.8
7 Galatasaray127558%87.184.8+2.2
8 Esenler Erokspor126650%80.276.9+3.3
9 Tofas126650%81.578.7+2.8
10 Petkim Spor125742%82.687.3-4.8
11 Bursaspor125742%78.883.9-5.1
12 Merkezefendi124833%77.083.1-6.1
13 Mersin SK123925%82.686.6-4.0
14 Manisa123925%76.885.0-8.2
15 Karsiyaka1221017%75.688.0-12.4
16 Buyukcekmece121118%78.689.4-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas1720253092
Bahcesehir Kol.2222241482
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