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Bilbao vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-72
26-14 21-21 18-15 19-22
Position#2
Record13-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game67.6
Bilbao 🏆
vs
Position#4
Record10-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game83.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Quarter-finals· Bilbao Arena
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#24
W
74-65
74
65
+9
68avg 75
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
77avg 75
H11/01
ACB
Sassari
#11
W
77-60
77
60
+17
71avg 75
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
L
84-97
84
97
-13
74avg 75
A19/01
ACB
Breogan
#13
L
71-76
71
76
-5
59avg 75
A25/01
ACB
Cholet
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
65avg 75
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#16
W
91-75
91
75
+16
84avg 75
H02/02
ACB
Le Portel
#24
W
78-74
78
74
+4
82avg 75
A04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
74-89
74
89
-15
68avg 75
A08/02
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
96-83
96
83
+13
88avg 75
H02/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
25-14
10-18
17-23
23-28
14-19
16-23
28-16
20-14
21-19
18-14
18-13
25-17
17-25
19-32
23-23
15-12
22-14
16-26
18-24
18-20
19-20
21-18
17-24
28-20
20-21
20-17
23-17
18-19
20-14
15-17
25-24
23-28
11-16
24-25
16-20
26-22
19-24
28-19
23-18
158.8Avg total
80.1Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.567.6153.1+17.993%
Season at home (7)87.765.1152.9+22.6100%
Season away (7)83.370.1153.4+13.186%
Last 10 (10)80.178.7158.8+1.450%
Last 5 (5)82.880.6163.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.387.6170.9-4.329%
vs Similar (12)80.682.0162.6-1.442%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.968.4153.3+16.591%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#14
W
91-80
91
80
+11
88avg 84
H12/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maroussi
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
72avg 84
A15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Karsiyaka
#13
W
93-81
93
81
+12
89avg 84
A19/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
70-95
70
95
-25
56avg 84
A25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
84avg 84
H29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 84
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 84
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
77avg 84
A09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#4
L
95-101
95
101
-6
92avg 84
A12/02
Turkish Cup
Yalovaspor
#16
W
105-90
105
90
+15
106avg 84
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
23-23
25-17
21-25
20-21
23-26
14-10
20-17
24-17
16-27
25-17
28-20
18-24
15-25
17-25
20-21
20-25
29-20
11-25
22-20
31-25
22-16
14-17
21-25
17-25
22-24
16-14
25-16
23-13
25-26
22-25
13-24
23-24
20-21
27-29
25-27
19-23
32-13
27-35
27-19
172.5Avg total
86.4Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.683.2174.8+8.383%
Season at home (6)92.583.7176.2+8.867%
Season away (6)90.782.8173.5+7.8100%
Last 10 (10)86.486.1172.5+0.360%
Last 5 (5)90.288.2178.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)78.385.0163.3-6.733%
vs Similar (16)90.287.3177.5+2.975%
vs Weaker (10)89.377.0166.3+12.390%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
BilbaoTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#24
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H11/01
ACB
Sassari
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A19/01
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A25/01
ACB
Cholet
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#16
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/02
ACB
Le Portel
#24
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A08/02
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H02/03
ACB
78.2Avg total
40.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.336.878.1+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.438.681.9+4.871%-
Last 30 away (16)39.535.274.8+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.678.2+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.881.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.741.784.4+1.057%-
vs Similar (12)38.838.877.6+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.131.574.6+11.5100%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#14
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H12/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maroussi
#12
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Karsiyaka
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#7
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#8
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/02
Turkish Cup
Yalovaspor
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
87.7Avg total
44.4Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.587.4+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.341.688.9+5.777%-
Last 30 away (17)43.143.186.2+0.035%-
Last 10 (10)44.443.387.7+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.088.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.346.383.7-9.00%-
vs Similar (16)47.143.390.4+3.856%-
vs Weaker (10)43.939.783.6+4.270%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.216.6
48.5%
52.6%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.7
34.6%
34.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.217.2
77.5%
72.6%17.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.125.3
63.1%
52.6%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.77.0
33.8%
34.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.317.8
73.3%
72.6%17.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WLWWLLLWLW
Tofas
WLLWWLLWWW
#2
League position
#4
+2.2
Net rating
+7.0
109.9
Offensive rating
117.5
107.7
Defensive rating
110.5
50.1%
Effective FG%
58.9%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.6%
Turnover %
18.4%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.40
34.6%
3-point %
33.8%
67.7%
Assist %
70.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 117.5Defence107.7 · 110.5Shooting50.1% · 58.9%3-point %34.6% · 33.8%Ball care16.6% · 18.4%Off. rebounds31.9% · 32.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Bilbao   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bilbao wins
0
Tofas wins
No previous meetings.
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HBasquet Girona96-83
08/02/25AManresa74-89
04/02/25ALe Portel78-74
02/02/25HForca Lleida91-75
29/01/25ACholet75-82
25/01/25ABreogan71-76
19/01/25ABarcelona84-97
15/01/25HSassari77-60
11/01/25HUnicaja81-86
08/01/25HLe Portel74-65
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25HYalovaspor105-90
12/02/25AMersin SK95-101
09/02/25ABuyukcekmece83-88
05/02/25ABasket Zaragoza80-79
01/02/25HGalatasaray88-83
29/01/25HFC Porto82-90
25/01/25ABesiktas70-95
19/01/25AKarsiyaka93-81
15/01/25AMaroussi77-74
12/01/25HMerkezefendi91-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game85.587.783.3
Allowed / game67.665.170.1
Point differential+17.9+22.6+13.1
Avg total153.1152.9153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%71%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW83%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game91.692.590.7
Allowed / game83.283.782.8
Point differential+8.3+8.8+7.8
Avg total174.8176.2173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)-100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao1413193%85.567.6+17.9
2 Cholet1211192%89.775.2+14.5
3 Ludwigsburg1211192%83.268.7+14.5
4 Tofas1210283%91.683.2+8.3
5 Dijon1410471%90.880.1+10.6
6 PAOK139469%81.476.7+4.7
7 CSM Oradea128467%82.074.4+7.6
8 Basket Zaragoza128467%87.881.8+6.0
9 FC Porto128467%82.677.1+5.5
10 Levice64267%85.781.2+4.5
11 BC Prievidza85362%83.882.8+1.0
12 Sassari127558%81.273.9+7.3
13 Maroussi148657%84.479.2+5.1
14 Fribourg Olympic137654%85.679.2+6.5
15 Basketball Braunschweig63350%85.881.2+4.7
16 Spojnia Stargard63350%73.370.7+2.7
17 BC Kalev/Cramo126650%80.978.7+2.2
18 Bursaspor63350%85.584.0+1.5
19 Arges Pitesti63350%71.770.3+1.3
20 Alba Fehervar84450%89.693.8-4.1
21 Spirou Charleroi147750%77.982.1-4.1
22 Caledonia Gladiators63350%58.570.8-12.3
23 Anwil Wloclawek125742%88.580.8+7.7
24 Le Portel125742%76.175.8+0.3
25 Norrkoping62433%79.085.5-6.5
26 Limburg62433%76.783.3-6.7
27 Antwerp Giants62433%80.287.7-7.5
28 Kutaisi62433%78.789.0-10.3
29 AEK Larnaca62433%71.085.7-14.7
30 Sporting CP82625%71.579.5-8.0
31 Anorthosis82625%75.884.2-8.5
32 BC Dnipro82625%66.087.1-21.1
33 Sabah Baku61517%73.878.8-5.0
34 Keravnos61517%84.590.7-6.2
35 Parnu61517%68.079.7-11.7
36 CSM Constanta81712%73.591.4-17.9
37 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
38 Szolnoki Olaj6060%73.886.0-12.2
39 Rilski Sportist6060%71.387.0-15.7
40 Trepca6060%57.377.3-20.0
41 Balkan6060%69.389.8-20.5
42 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao2621181984
Tofas1421152272
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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